Eh. We’ll see. Ridge out west is good so there is that. But we torch through the 15th and it just takes a bunch of things to go right to get something good after. Maybe trough overhead in the mean is a better chance of decent cold.
With convection we know how things like to peal to the right. The hope is you get the big lift coinciding with just enough cold. I’m not even sure sleet is a big deal in borderline areas with 925s not that cold. Almost either rain or snow.
Before he tries to put words in my mouth again, I guess it’s possible it could be major there… But right now a lot of the red flags for major icing there on checked off. At least IMO.