CoastalWx

I’ll say this again for the 115th time. Please ignore those maps.

I think the dynamics are influencing this. Better lift and it’s cooler etc. I don’t like seeing a low pressure cluster F like it shows. Screws up moisture transport.

A machine learning model that’s GFS based. That’s like teaching Kevin to understand soundings.

I don’t see that happening one bit.

None

All of SNE? Haven’t looked much where you are but you’ll be near the line as well. Right now I’d feel good near Ray to ORH on north. From inside 495 to Kev that’s where the biggest uncertainty exists. If the euro is right they get 5-8 easily. But that warming from 925-850 is what the issue is. Early in the season and winds at that level are south before turning east and northeast. Not really a recipe for good snow. Ideally you want those winds to come around like NW-N to NE and even E is fine. Now that can be compensated with strong lift through the DGZ. A bit early to determine where that will be. I’m thinking C-1” here near the end.

Gfs is a huge hit from about 495 N and W. On the line for Kev.

Ignore the clown maps

Nice try to pull more info out of Me. I think I would be surprised if you were skunked.

I feel like we beat this to a pulp enough already. You’re definitely close to the line. I’d feel most comfortable right now from about Worcester to say Salem New Hampshire on North and West. Didn’t say that on purpose for Ray, but he may be close to the line too. if the euro is right, maybe shift that south 25 miles or so.

Yes. The warming from 925-850 there gives them less confidence in CT.

Given that Greenland Ridge and trough orientation, the 10th to the 11th may be something to watch. Based on EPS.

Reggie is solid N and W of 128. Not far from RRFS.

Yep. We nervous.

NAM giving it away like Matt Stafford with 2:30 left.

NAM is leaving SNH powerless

NAM back to a no show for SNE

So I did see a different map posted that showed like specific amounts not those ridiculous ranges. I’m not sure what happened there.

There will be one of those

I think you’ll really enjoy that area in the summer. I’ve actually never been to that town specifically, but anywhere along buzzards Bay there is nice.

This is kind of where I like the nam when it starts getting into its range it can kind of show that stuff.

Lower confidence there. I tend to agree. Can always hoist early tomorrow.

One thing in previous years that we kinda didn’t have around here to flip to snow, was insane rates. I suppose this one in theory could have that, so I guess that’s the only thing to hope for.

I think with the thermal fields aee closer to reality on euro, but the problem is you have to understand what it’s trying to show you in our area. In my professional opinion, it’s just a little too warm for a majority of this to fall as snow. Especially south and east of 95. I think we could flip at the end and that’s kind of what I’m hoping for. It also may briefly start as snow too.

Brett, your area and especially up through Foxboro, Sharon, etc. has the best chance of getting closer to those clown amounts. But even that is gonna be high. You really will need to rip a hole through the atmosphere I think to get something that would wetbulb to 32 and get you those amounts. After three years of seeing -1 to -2 at 925 and nothing but cat paws to show for it. I feel like I’m on repeat here especially early in the season. We’ll see. i’m not being pessimistic trust me there’s no one who wants things to break right more than me, I just hate when people get all disappointed because they thought they were gonna get more than actuality because they bought some of those clown amounts. So yeah south and east of 95 I definitely would not believe those amounts.