2017 was the first real Christmas I've ever seen snow fall like that. Will is right, 7a was too early here IIRC, but we blitzed for like 90 minutes and had under 3".
My temp is fine, but I don't trust my Davis for rain, I have my other standard gauge. Davis seems to work ok when it's a steady rain with no wind..but that is few and far between. I just need to tweak it, but that seems like a PITA.
No signs of warmings yet and it did take a few punches, but at least this isn't a concentric circle near Santa's fanny. That elongation to the south at least helps a bit.
I feel like I need to walk on egg shells when saying this stuff. Not directed at you.....just saying I am not cancelling anything.
I'm not sure what to think right now given the look. I agree the AO/NAO right now is certainly not a black hole like 11-12 looked at this time. So that is good.
I mean it's the same person who thinks they live at KBDL in the summer and KORH in the winter, so it's not a surprised they seem geographically challenged.
Also forcing looks strong on maritime continent. I think that will pull back the ridging to a more dateline look into December. Just my guess. Hopefully the AO/NAO aren't raging +.
I know the sub surface is warming, but still strong easterlies at 850..moving a bit towards the west again. Not sure what to think.
The end of the EPS try to show something. I could see lower heights progress from this image shown, to the weeklies. I'm not cancelling winter....just stating that concerns me a bit.