I mean how many times have we seen that and it goes from offshore to a local jack....or am 18" storm here to 6"-->rain with a jack near Albany. Maybe this one is different...but I just feel like it comes west.
I think the weenie band stuff is that one band prior to the onset of the meaty stuff. You can see it on some QPF fields. It's a band of snow well ahead of the main stuff.
I'm not sure the main storm will have much of a big band well NW as it deepens quickly and consolidates. Maybe early on, but it contracts quickly.
Yes I said that near dawn yesterday for my area and Tblizz. That wasn't far fetched for the coast. I agree with Will in that a bigger event is not far fetched. That's how I felt since then.
Yes, after 6z yesterday I said a track near ACK or the elbow. Obviously that may be tough to accomplish, but on the other hand, I'll take the over on 1-2". If I'm wrong, oh well. It's weather forum. I don't forecast.