CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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6z EPS is pretty close to a good solution on the 12th. That H5 low is pretty far north which to me may mean the qpf shield would be as well.
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It’s here. But in general everyone overrates the nao. Yes it’s good for biggies etc., but typically overhyped. In New England we can do fine without it. It does allow you to get away with certain things when the Pacific sucks. Blocking typically forces lows under us.
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It goes away after day 11 or so. Pacific driving the bus and takes over after that time. Still some small ridging in Greenland but the -NAO is about gone then. Speaking of, still some big run to run changes but the overall theme is a good look for us imo. Is it textbook? No…..but I’ll take it.
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We watch the 12th.
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It has. It’s been more -PNA and having a better handle.
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This place is insane lol
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I’m glad we have safe traveling weather
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I don't think the strat vort has anything to do with it. It's just nuances in the flow. There is a PV in Canada that has been shooting offspring around and playing with the block...but that is also from the Pacific causing issues. This isn't that sort of classic PV trapped under a block. It is stuck in western Canada and gets booted north. You can see that early on with the H5 anomalies.
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Might be a SWFE look. At least Canada has more money in the bank with that look.
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EPS was fine in the PAC. If anything the GEFS were better lol, but at least they are closer in agreement.
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My assessment is from all guidance, not just the ops. Embrace the rain on the 14th there. Interior NE still has a shot, esp NNE if this were to be a SWFE deal.
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EPS develops the 12th well offshore, but I still would keep an eye on it. It would not take much for some widespread -SN.
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This hasn't changed from rain in NYC for days now.
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Euro gonna be ugly for 14th. No surprise there.
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Yes.
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LOL, not almost there at all. More like a nod.
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I thought the euro made a nod to the Canadian on the 12th.
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Slamming a coating into the hills. Sounds violent.
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That's a big change in the GEFS. Hopefully it holds to add confidence.
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Well GEFS shows significant PAC improvement after day 7.
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The ops will be all over. It's a little piece of the PV that breaks off and has no home. It's like a meteorological Melnea Cass blvd.
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The GEFS don't have the black hole over the Davis Straits like the op has so that's good.
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GEFS might be trying to show this?? But it looks like from a different s/w. What a mess.
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Yeah about 5" there. TSSN too. Just pure paste. This thing just stalls lol. But you can see how the s/w rips off as the block to the north is forming. That's how it gets it done.
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Absolute vomit....like Kevin in an Explorer driving back from a burger bar in West Hartford type puke on the GFS.
