CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Well both weeks are probably well AN so no argument from me with his take. Maybe a few days to cool off. The new weeklies confirm the old ones.
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Gfs would be nice. Both suites of guidance showing something. Tough to buy and easily could trend warmer.
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He wasn’t giving us fake news either. Anyways who knows.
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Wolfie that’s exactly what he said. Colder week 3.
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??
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He’s right. It’s a torch until end of month.
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I think we definitely would need the NAO help for anything fun. Not sure I buy the flat look with the ridge anomalies over the GOM. I could be wrong, but I feel like with time, the SE ridge would probably show itself more as we get closer, so we would need help in the NAO region.
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Some guidance has been hinting at overrunning or SWFE look later next week.
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Maybe he meant the ones last week?
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MJO has been propagating, but the colder phases have been associated with our warmer interludes. P 3-4-5 has been more on the colder side.
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I saw that. I remember when that happened too. And yeah, those kids and the coaches. Incredible.
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EPS would work, but already a red flag with the GEFS look.
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GEFs suck.
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Gfs trying for rain to snow Friday
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50/50 low gone wild on EPS. Would be nice to get that.
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I’m ready to sacrifice right now.
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I mean it’s certainly warm, but this pattern would suck in 1620 as well. You can debate if the marginal events would produce, but a low tracking over Buffalo has been rain since the dawn of time.
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Check those guys out. https://www.facebook.com/UCB.CSSL?mibextid=LQQJ4d
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Talk about a cool place to work. Not sure if anybody follows them, but those guys get to weenie out and do all bunch of stuff, but for science.
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And to clarify, they are 110% for the year!! Not just up to now. They said that typically happens in late March.
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Yeah that will change after the snow melts. The central Sierra snow lab is already 110% of SWE climo.
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Man this just gave me movement. Juicy srn system with my high moving in.
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It’s not CC lol.
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But that also is not true.
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Just an example and I know it’s a snap shot but I’ve seen this all winter. Despite colder thicknesses, same look. High to the south and low in the plains. Verbatim probably snow to mix, but this period is one to watch if we are to try and enter something wintry or just same stuff over and over. Can we try and break the spell and somehow have this favorable or will it trend to a cutter?
