allgame830

21z RAP coming in with a solid bump NW so far through 12 hours compared to 20z. per NE Forum

Are you at your daily limit yet for posting???? Models more often then not over adjust when south rather than north.

In all fairness the last school closing the forecast was 2-4/3-6 so why wouldn’t they close this time. I understand your point.

I do believe we see a tick back north for the 0z runs…. The new RAP ticked slightly north and the newest HRRR held serve

I never said anything about 12+…. 6-12 in the JP zone which will be 30 miles north and south of NYC

Yeah I think like I said before north of 84 is iffy right now 2-4/3-6…. But Northern Westchester/Putnam south will be just fine here. Biggest of the year

Ok boss! Check back tomorrow. Never said it’s totally accurate but this over excessive with ahhh the models are showing too much blah blah…. Look at the damn radar and compare which I see none of that! All speculation and guessing from you.

Oh ok gotcha! “Rolling my eyes”……

Fair enough…. But it’s still 6-12+ area wide

Sooo what’s with all the complaining LOL…. Snow starts in like 12 hours NOT 3 days

Weaker??? 12z runs showed just above 3 of them all sub 990…

Easy bro I think we are just fine up here…. I think the problem starts north of 84 unless there is a bump back north. Also every single model besides the UKMET and EURO have 8-12+

RIGHT!!!! Looked what happened a few years ago in Nov!!

Ok chief!

Yeah like my wife up… Northern Westchester

Omg so many annoying people on here…. I live well outside the city so don’t care… but you all forget the late season snow where it actually accumulated mind you this is in Feb!!!!! Jfc

Yes but for the city they have some room now for those shifts. I think north 287 is a guaranteed 6-12 range… 4-8 for city

Agreed. Also the EPS mean was better

Gotcha! Thanks for clarifying that. also @MJO812 the EPS mean is definitely better the op.

So then what exactly are you implying? You saying the 6z euro is crazy?

Usually see a gradual push back north in last 24 hours anyway…. Euro only model doing this so I don’t think it should be that much of a concern

Me neither. At this point we can afford that late last minute push north.

Relax @MJO812 lol…. Only model what that depiction!

Better have this trend happening 24-36 hours out

Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 327 PM EST Sun Feb 11 2024 CTZ005>008-NJZ002-103-NYZ069-070-121000- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.240213T0600Z-240213T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0002.240213T0600Z-240213T2300Z/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Western Passaic-Western Bergen-Rockland- Northern Westchester- 327 PM EST Sun Feb 11 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 10 inches. * WHERE...Parts of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York, and all of interior southern Connecticut. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 6 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/nyc