Ginx snewx
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Everything posted by Ginx snewx
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850 and 2M temps were ugly on EPS. That EPO looks great but all the cold dumps into the West and we have a huge SE ridge. That's a big flip from last week.
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Well again it can be a big storm that scrapes, doesn't have to be a bomb or a fish storm.
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Let's just say 970 s are always intriguing this close.
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Seemed offshore to me
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Could come closer for an advisory event even a 12 21 09 like line of heavy versus advisory.
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Yea I dont understand the either or stuff. A fringe can bring a 2 to 4 band
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I know that if my Aunt had balls she would be my uncle. I cant call this a trend. It is yet another solution. I mean many EPS members had a similar scraper solution and some big had hits.
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Sad that the temps are so warm. Gonna need dynamics or else its drizzle mist
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Too late with the phase, the wishes for late bloomer might be too true. Sucks but Hazey kind of winter
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Fully expect as usual the week of my birth to have snow otg and in the air.
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Epic stretch of mild weather
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Even the cops are pulling over weenies this winter
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Polishing a Euro turd today.
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When you trade great winter storms for forecast verification, what the point? I would rather horribly bust in favor of a big winter storm, it's not like you do it for a living.
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Getting a better idea though. Flags are flying
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That hasn't been in the cards for quite a few cycles. Hazey kind of winter on the GFS. Last minute save hopefully. We will know Wednesday
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Ray is happy
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We're on to 6z
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Icon has been pretty good around here this winter anecdotally for sensible wx.
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Last I saw it still out scored the GFS
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Yea not a torch but not a weenie look. It is winter after all just not a pattern that screams big deep winter.
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I would say that the week from the 3rd to the 9th is when we would have the best chance and hope that SE ridge,negative PNA is transient after. Teleconnections are not that encouraging
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We have about a week of good but not liking how it ends
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Disagree . That period between Nov 8th and Dec 8th had a lot of similarities, no 2 analogs being exact but hemispherical close enough. Judging by 2 m temp similarity not as cold but analogs are based on upper air
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The 89 pattern analog appeared Nov 3rd. The Nov 8th to Dec 8th period was -6 to -8. Feb 1990 is on the analog list this morning
