Scraff

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

He wants to throw a fit because he isn't happy and so he finds whatever supports his emotional tantrum. If it's a 16 day op then so be it. 

Sounds like some other delusional fool I’ve seen posting on Twitter quite recently. 

Eta: 

2 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

I've moved on to 'February will be rockin'.

Cool. What year you thinkin? Gotta plan ahead. 

14 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

#Truth 

Cup Stand sadly is a collectors item at this point too. Good ol cease and desist from the NHL buried that one quick. Lol.  Anyway—Happy Holidays to all you guys. Off to watch some Polar Express with the wife and daughter vortices. Caramel Cookie Retribution in hand. Cheers!

1 hour ago, yoda said:

18z GFS weak wave for NYE with no real precip... but a small quick hitter late Jan 1 into early Jan 2

I’m going to have to pull out my old college one hitter if we don’t get some snow soon. 

5 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I wish it were Sunday

That’s my fun day....

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

If we dont cash in somehow before then things are going to be ugly in here. Fingers crossed.

Awful lot of “stepping” going on here this morning. It’s like my daughter vortices middle school dance! Just praying we don’t all end up doing the two step shuffle into the panic room for X-Mas. 

26 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said:

I've been surprised by how the land has warmed so naturally there. 

I can’t even imagine what the European soil temperatures are reading right now. 

10 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Atmospheric memory

Shut up JB2. Lol

40 minutes ago, yoda said:

Lulz

We ta..wait that’s been banned. 

19 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Considering banning the following also:

xxx looks "tasty"

"we take" . 

any post from Chuck

I'm taking other suggestions as well.

Don’t forget “roads caving” and “friendsgiving” 

Good morning all! 1st week of January is starting to hold some decent promise. More importantly, how are the daughter vortices coming along? 

6 minutes ago, LP08 said:

12z has the New Years storm again with a little different progression.  Heavy stuff stays south into Southern Va/NC....these always trend north 

**ALEET** Congrats DT! 

13 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Thats perfect. Lets lock that one in.

Yeah baby!! Always great to be the bullseye 10 days out  

Seriously, it’s good to see the signals are coming into better focus. I think we rock in January big time.  Might even have to make a toilet paper and bourbon run in the coming days. 

Someone help me out here. I think @psuhoffmanis trying to tell us something. 

Canceling winter boogey board OC trip. 

Check. 

12 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I guess I've earned myself some trolling...I deserve it. But I would hope if I ask a question about how something works, folks would just explain it. (As some of you graciously have)

Good thing your name is not Chuck.

Eta: OR IS IT!?

Anybody watching Caps / Crybabies? @yoda ?

Meh. Who the F needs deep cold!? You people have some nerve. I’m only here to watch people panic when the rain / snow line gets perilously close every storm. Way more fun in the OBS thread...followed by the panic room. 

6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The hemispheric energies are too low. 

Shut up Chuck! 

The @Maestrobjwa Xmas miracle event. 

12 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Yes it does- into multiple daughter vortices.

30 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Last few GFS runs giving some glimpses how the pattern may evolve. Pretty nice h5 look at the end of today's run. Big ridge out west, a stout east based block building into GL, and several of those daughter vortices in N Canada.

Can we ban the words “daughter vortices”. I have two of them. And damn it if they don’t make my head spin on a constant basis. Let’s go cousin vortices. 

14 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said:

Thanks. I figured temps were marginal even if it showed any precipitation. I’m not sure what his deal is this year...He’s like a little Berk

Good old Tony and his snow train. Like we call Berk “JB2”, we should go ahead and start using “TP” for him. And yes...I’m sure there’s a joke somewhere that includes TP and his shi#*y forecasts. 

28 minutes ago, MD Snow said:

Both GFS and GGEM have something in that time period as well. The only thing we've got to watch at this point. 

My two cents briefly, I learn a ton from all of the smarter posters like PSU and Chill on this board. Still can't grasp everything that is talked about when it comes to winter weather. However, for me, as someone who doesn't get to wrapped up in all of the science, I can make a couple observations that keep me grounded when a lot seems lost. 

1. Models and ensembles are great inside 7 days. Outside of 7 days they shouldn't be given as much weight as they are given on this board.  

2. There have been many times over the years where people here say that it's a terrible pattern and we end up with a small advisory level event. And there are good patterns that give us absolutely nothing. Believe me it happens every year. 

3. Every year we are teased with amazing patterns in the long range that trend to crap as it gets closer. 

4. Often we are about to "put a fork in it" because ensembles show a "torch" in a month only to completely change to a great pattern as it gets closer. 

I know, I know, sometimes they are right but more often than not it seems that they are wrong in the long range. So I say all this to just remind myself that it isn't even officially winter yet. We still have 3 months of chances. We may get a fluke event around Christmas which would be a huge win in my book. I for one will just let the winter play out until making a blanket statement about how terrible it's going to be before it even starts. 

Very good post and lots of truth to that. However, if their was a “dislike” button in here, JI would figure out way to keep hitting it so the dislike totals on your post would cause the server to crash. 

Just now, BristowWx said:

That would be fun.  If only...

Here is the invisible “Its Happening” gif.