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Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I know I beat on the "I hate snow because I have to drive in it" drum, and I'm sure it gets old for some. I'll just have to reign in those kinds of posts I suppose. Thanks for the kind words all! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Voyager out. I guess I'll stick to lurking and just post obs and keep my opinions to myself. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I've been fortunate the past few years to not be out in the really bad storms or squalls, but what happened on I-80 today is why, due to my career, I dislike winter and snow as much as I do. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Only if I shake a snow globe...lol -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Light snow in Tamaqua as well... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ok, I can't delete the @daxx, so it's going to show here, but I selected this part of your post to make a point. I do believe that the best forecasters go not only by the science of meteorology, but from local experience with microclimates, terrain, and most everything else you mentioned. I don't think you can have one without the other. Case in point, my Debbie Downing summer severe events in my backyard. I know my climo and my terrain, and I know that 90% of the time, the last ridge (that I-81 rides) will eat up a line of storms. Many times, after dropping off said ridge, they reform and nail the Pocs and the Lehigh Valley. I can post with relative certainty, that storms won't be as severe here as in other locations. Even Sandy can be taken as a case in point for what is the Tamaqua terrain and microclimate. In that storm, we were one of the few areas that DID NOT lose power or have significant wind damage. It was "relatively" calm and benign compared to places just a few miles away. Most of that night, we had some moderate gusts, but all the while, the mountains that surround the town proper were roaring like a lion. I could hear the extreme wind, but not really feel it. Don't be afraid to post what YOU feel when it comes to YOUR location. Some will take offense, but to me, I think it makes for good discussion. Not everything has to be cut and dry technical. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This is the 7:00am estimates from the NWS. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
For some perhaps, but over this way, I only got 0.18" from both rounds. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ice on trees, wires, cars, and anything else not blacktop or concrete. Strange ice event. My sidewalks and street are just wet with no treatment having been applied, neither before or current... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It started as snow here in Tamaqua and lasted about 15 minutes before it flipped to freezing rain... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Going to the winter weather pages of the various office is a lesson in futility. It appears that none of the offices discussed, nor coordinated, with each other before putting out their probabilistic maps. For me (being 5 miles from both the BGM and PHL zones): CTP: 1-2 PHL: 3-4 extrapolated west BGM: 4-6 extrapolated south If I were a betting man, I'd go with CTP's numbers, but the ice potential is all over the place as well with less than a tenth (CTP), but .10 to .25 (PHL) extrapolated. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Waiting for the snow/sleet mess to start. I'm off tomorrow, so I don't care what it does. I'll just sit in my living room and watch it out the window. Side note, I really hope my group has a ticket for me for Sunday, as I scored a charter to the Eagles/Cowboys game and the weather in Philly will be nice! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Surprised the advisories kind of wrap around Schuylkill County. Lehigh, Carbon, and even Luzerne have 'em, but we don't. Wonder if at some point overnight, one gets issued. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
For this weekend's rainer, I'm kind of liking the NAM's dryslot idea. In my world, the idea of an all day, moderate soaker, while I drive into, out of, and sit for 8 hours in NYC, is not a particularly pleasant way to spend a Saturday afternoon/evening. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Had about a quarter inch in Tamaqua, a dusting in Hazleton, and about the same until I got past Hamburg on 61, then about a quarter to half inch the rest of the way to Lancaster. Sitting at Sight & Sound Theater right now, and the sun is eliminating whatever had accumulated here. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Being a pro driver, one of the things I hate about winter is salt spray on the roads. Nothing worse than a 1-2 inch minor event that brings every Penndot truck out. It's needed and welcomed as I'd rather drive on a wet road vs an icy one, but the dirty salt spray and having to hit the washers every 5 minutes gets annoying when you spend 6+ hours behind the wheel each day... That being said, I'd gladly take a pass on the post front slop tomorrow and hope for a warning event for next week. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
But back to reality on Monday...lol -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Closest I've ever come to a 100" winter was this one. Another one of these would make most in this sub-forum quite happy... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I can always tell when the models aren't showing anything good. The forum goes silent... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yup. Got blown all over the place coming down 81 today. Now sitting at 7th and Division Sts in the 'burg until 4:00pm... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
And I'm of course in Mount Pocono today, so it's snowing again here... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That's all that matters to me... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Man, that would be a perfect scenario for me. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Voyager replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Here in Tamaqua as well. Nothing (melted half inch) in town, but tree coated whiteness on the hilltops. -
The coating we had earlier this morning from yesterday's sleet and freezing rain and this morning's brief light snow episode is melted. We haven't had anything but flurries here, and the current temp is 36.