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Finally mixing in Takoma Park, still 36.7

Still just rain in Takoma Park

1 minute ago, Kay said:

I hardly ever look at the forum on phone but people say turn your phone sideways to see locations.

I gotta click each person if I’m on phone browser.  Maybe the app would be different, 

Speaking this into existence: GFS will come west with a nice CCB over the metros 

14 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

Dropped the high end scenarios too

Still pretty absurd that DC is “expecting” two inches with a 15 inch high end - one day out.

Just now, Jake Wx said:

lol if this verifies DC is going to do … a tad better than 2-4” 

Well this NAM is not providing any desperately needed certainty lol.  This really is going to be a nowcast event with a massive range for DC/MD going into it   

1 minute ago, EHoffman said:

I really think they're gonna go WWA for DC and immediate burbs

Eh I think 3-6” gets a warning usually and 2-4״ just seems to have such a boom potential on pretty much all guidance 

Prayers up for Randy 

Would be surprised if the WSW isn’t expanded south tonight 

Truly can’t remember a storm trending like this within 48 hours, with GFS (sort of) leading the way synoptically 

I’ve got a flight landing at DCA at 12 PM on Sunday and Southwest already telling me I can switch it because of the incoming weather.  Can’t imagine it will be affected during the early part of the day… May even switch to 2 PM so I can get a little more sleep …

Just now, bncho said:

This is a gorgeous panel 

Yeah pretty surprised they did not put up a watch regionwide 

Just now, bncho said:

i'm trying to hold a conversation with my FRIENDS while eating while PBPing. hard job I know

In my high school experience (20 years ago), people actually appreciated my nerding out on weather models, especially when it impacted whether we’d have school the next few days

Even if a low end warning level event verifies we will be talking about this one for a long time.  

2 minutes ago, balltermen said:

Can someone give me like 2 sentences on what models haven't come around yet. i assume 0z Euro will be telling. 

I purposely avoided tracking this one fearing a Lucy, but maybe I brought good luck?

I think most models are in the 2-6ish inch range at this point (although increasing) and we would have a decent idea of what’s coming, if not for the GFS… making a legendary Hail Mary play to stay relevant 

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

There actually has been a slow bleed here. This is what the Gfs did last week when Friday's 12z had 6", and then it bled down to 1.5" only to end up with no snow. Just sayin'.

I’ll take a very slow bleed if my starting point is three feet and I’m 72 hours out 

Has weather.com given this thing a stupid name yet?  Is Jim Cantore coming to DC?  Has Joe B said something ridiculous? 

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Windy too....WB 0Z GFS 

 

Super blizzard on the coast    

We’re 60ish hours out and GFS calling for two feet of snow.  And everyone else mostly saying maybe we get a solid advisory storm.  Just lol 

Just now, Terpeast said:

Definitely a different path to the promised land. It almost looked like it was gonna miss the phase and cave spectacularly, but it still somehow spun up a more miller A like coastal (or miller a/b hybrid)

Threading the needle a little too much here, but I’m entertained 

Would be a really nice period of some moderate-heavy snow after dark 

Just now, Jake Wx said:

New 00z NBM PARA 

Where do I sign 

1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

You rang .

I'll be in downtown TP tonight because my kids have music lessons there, maybe I'll stop by! 

House of Musical Traditions…?

TP Bev Co is underrated - we live half a mile down the road