Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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Ya should be a fun 2-4 hours .. we will get the heaviest rates but the least duration -
Ya NAM sucks for SWCT great elsewhere especially AMATT
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3km and 12km warm down here ..
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Soundings showed a 750 warm nose up to about oxc earlier but ya 00z even colder this is showing up as freezing rain on ptype
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HRRR would suck for a lot of SNE, in between bands then dry slot mixing .. south coast gets a sick band then another one rt 2 north
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Wild. First time that we get a legit NAMd.. We had a completely wrong head fake in December that never verified. Finally just gives some reassurance that a system is not falling apart on approach. Nice to see. I agree with Scott on two jack zones. One thing is for sure it’s going to puke heavy dendrites before the mix moved into CT. Should be fine 10pm to 2am.
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Do it!
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Short and simple is when multiple teleconnections (NAO and PNA in this case) go from positive to negative and vice versa large precipitation event often results for the North East.
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Hopefully the block does its work and it redevelops south of Long Island …
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Signal for next weekend is wild at this range
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Ya, also noticing a strong PNA rise which would imply an Archembault event possible on that time frame
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Possible yes but EPS still looks amazing just have to get through the transition cutters potentially the 13-17th.. classic KU pattern post the 17th
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Still there monster -NAO merging with Pacific block merges over Davis Strait
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I’m in 100% agreement with this.
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My snow completely gone again .. maybe will see that on Tuesday PM
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Yup another south jump on GEFS and now Euro op is a whiff. Our concerns are growing with next weeks potential pattern .. Ops match whiff cut cut
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Barely it’s about the same
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HREF is on the warmer further north side .. gets freezing rain / mix to mass border
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GEFS last three runs definitely grabbing onto the HRRR idea of primary to Binghamton.. Have to monitor that closely .. They have warmed pretty significantly since 00z.. This is mostly a CT issue ATM
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GFS on it's own
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GFS seems to be on its own regarding Tuesday/Wednesday . Ensembles and other globals are further north..
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GFS would be 8"+ in northern CT several hours in the goods..
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RGEM shows how to get 8"+ in CT.. BC of the direction of the storm that band has the potential to train over a large area we will see how wide and intense it gets.. There will be two bands have to watch out for the area in between both bands, will be a relative min ..
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ya for 8+ all has to go right, still can I think there will be a really nice pretty wide band of heavy snow for a while , we will see how long it lasts
