Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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What are you thinking for best analog for jan 7? Reminds me of a mini Jan 96 lite
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Of course that’s an option on the table. 50/50 right now. Glad we have something to track at least.
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The storm may ride straight through Hartford and rain to CNE. The storm may bury us all, and it may miss us to the south. But the temp anomalies Saturday have nothing to do with it.
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Dude you are adding some much other BS into this. I’m not saying it’s 100% going to snow. Go back and read the whole thread. I swear some of you lack reading comprehension and social skills. The map he posted has no value towards the storm l, and I just proved it. That is my ONLY argument period now get over it.
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You are making this conversation more complicated now. The conversation was only about his map showing temp anomalies next Saturday for a snowstorm on Sunday. That has no relevance on the outcome of the storm. I’ll play his game though. Here’s the gfs temp anomalies next Saturday then the next day 10-25” of snow across much of that area.
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North you meant I believe. But yes I agree , some dont understand meteorology it seems
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I have to respectfully disagree with you, the antecedent airmass has nothing to do with the precipitation outcome in this case with that synoptic setup. High pressure is in the perfect spot to funnel in cold air. The messier solutions you see on the Euro are because of the fact that the European guidance hugs the coast . It’s as simple as a favorable track will lock in the cold and most likely bring snow.
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A perfect track for SNE, a few ticks south of 12z.. PA gets buried with 15-25”
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You are right you posted two maps with no context that mean absolutely nothing in regards to forecasting this threat just bc the pretty colors fit your view. Happy new year.
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Did I post the 2m temps or did you? You are certifiably crazy .. Who on earth posts Day 6 2m temp anomalies before the storm, it makes zero sense. You cannot win this argument man get a life. We have had 30 degree temp anomalies the day before a snowstorm, what is your point? The simple point is that if the storm takes a favorable track it will snow. Posting Saturday's anomalies bring no forecasting skill to this forum.
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You are showing temp anomalies Saturday for a Sunday storm? Grasp for straws much? That map will change 100 times and is only dependent on storm track.
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Temp anomaly maps don’t show much the day before a modeled snowstorm
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Eps has the PV split again
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Long range continuing to improve as well after the 1/10 storm .
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Most GEPS members are interior hits for 1-7 as well as several GEFS members .. Euro op last night was an interior hit.. I'd say right now risks are 60% south and 40% its a hugger..
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Lol why are you so obsessed with Jan 4/5 I think everyone gave up on that. It's on life support(1/30 ensembles show even advisory) but this storm can still help create the 50/50 for the Jan 7 Storm.
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I'm confused by your statement that High is perfect verbatim on gfs.. it's like 23 degrees with heavy snow just inland lmao .. the immediate shore maybe have some issues, that's just verbatim what GFS shows ...
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I’m staying with my reverse psychology until we get what. Enjoy the rain
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Thats just a hugger with east winds SWFE is usually further west
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Need consistency in the 4-6 day range to get the correct dose of drugs
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I saw that, is that even physically possible.
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One of the more interesting surface evolutions I’ve seen modeled. I know I’m a weenie for analyzing day 11 gfs 18z but it produces heavy snow east of the low?
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Inside hugger Miller B. Still rain for us but nice to see the option of the St Paul cutter trending east on some guidance
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It’s funny bc you said pack ..
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Put the beer down and step away from the computer
