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Burghblizz

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Everything posted by Burghblizz

  1. Burghblizz
    A significant shift is doable because we are talking about phase/no phase and the timing. So I wouldnt be suprised if it jumps one way or another in the next 24 hours of models
  2. Burghblizz
    Final official total was 8.5”. Felt like less in most places due to long duration and compacting - but NWS does a good job counting every inch properly. Credit on their forecast too. This was a pain, but 6-8” over 48 hours was a good call. (if we catch a band later, not sure we can count it )
  3. Burghblizz
    We wound up with around 7”. Same main issue getting the intial batch going.
  4. Burghblizz
    Still sends SLP up the Piedmont to the Delmarva. It closes off too late (compared to yesterday) and doesn’t have an expansive shield. But the players are there.
  5. Burghblizz
    There is a much more consolidated batch entering eastern Allegheny county. Not sure everything behind it holds together, but looks like the best shot at some more steady snow. Also, nice vertical lake enhanced band in central Ohio. Never seen WWA in vertically stacked counties like that - lol. Not the greatest storm for us, but still doing some interesting things.
  6. Burghblizz
    I mean “technically” 2.2003 and 2.2010 were Miller B’s. But they also had a huge primary storm with a great track prior to hitting blocking. We also had a nice one in 12.2003, and probably a few others. But I really don’t like the textbook exploding Miller Bs for our area.
  7. Burghblizz
    Same - looks like some are making some progress. Overall will crack 40” today with more opportunities in the pipeline
  8. Burghblizz
    A Hard fought 3.3” so far officially as of 7:00
  9. Burghblizz
    2010 didn’t quite have the extreme ‘93 and 94 rates (3-4” hour), but it have some have prolonged really good rates. I remember getting like 8” in 5 hours from 7 to midnight. And then there was another period from like 3 to 6 AM where we tacked on another 5”
  10. Burghblizz
    I like this look from the HRRR for this evening
  11. Burghblizz
    All good! I know you weren’t really tracking this one the whole time, but this is the way it’s been really the last few days. It’s always been kind of a long duration, moderate event, with this outside shot of scoring big.
  12. Burghblizz
    It was more like 24 hrs - but it also had some nice bursts. Hoping the same here
  13. Burghblizz
    Kpitsnow and his complaints.
  14. Burghblizz
    You can have him
  15. Burghblizz
    She was saying that on Twitter too. We’ll see if it materializes. We didn’t come out guns blazing this time, but still will be interesting. About an inch or so in Monroeville. Relatively windy with this current burst
  16. Burghblizz
    HRRR still likin us
  17. Burghblizz
    This is not news. It’s always been trying to get a nice front end, and then see how the coastal develops over the second 24-36 hour period. This version of the NAM didn’t produce the way some others have. The other thing we have been watching is the heaviest intial band slipping a bit south. This NAM shows that a bit too.
  18. Burghblizz
    We’ll let yinz know how this front end is looking
  19. Burghblizz
    Shift changes
  20. Burghblizz
    Great analysis
  21. Burghblizz
    It will be fun nowcasting the intial surge. Need to get off to a good start
  22. Burghblizz
    Agree - we are in a good spot between those two mitigators (agitators). But they lurk. I like that our swath has widened. I tend to think that even though that intial heavier burst is just to the south, mixing is much more of an issue. So I’d still bet North Hills does better than South Hills, even though total QPF is lighter
  23. Burghblizz
    Euro has that intial heavier band setting up just south. Eventually evens out a bit. This all would require clean front end and a prolonged back end - but looks very much in play. Love the relative wide swath everywhere
  24. Burghblizz
    Shows about 1.3” QPF too. Its still a little dicey with temps - but has a 12” bullseye in NE AGC. More slop to the south
  25. Burghblizz
    If you were hoping for some coastal love, the NAM won’t disappoint. Fires like 20” back to Indiana county - Everywhere else around AGC foot-ish. Still trying to mix south a bit
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