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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. Yeah…think of those deformation bands where you have different flow trajectories coming together and stretching of the parcels yet we’re still pulling 25:1 at the sfc. It’s not as gusty above the frictional layer either so there’s probably less opportunity for collisions?
  2. +3C 850s with a min of 9F at CON. Not sure I’ve seen it that extreme. lol But yeah, we’re super dry and mixed right off the BL so there’s some potential for high end inversions.
  3. MOS is really going wild with the radiating after Xmas despite well AN midlevel temps. Seems too aggressive to me, but it’ll be interesting to see how it plays out.
  4. I really need one more tick south to get into the 1-3” here. There’s that initial finger of fronto that pushes through and then the lower level dry slot for SNE and most of CNE before the fropa approaches. Best accums will be north of that dry nose moving W to E
  5. Ginx already mentioned WU. This is a good one too. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?obs=true&wfo=sto
  6. https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/mesomap.cgi?state=MA&rawsflag=3 Here’s the Davis one. You may need to change it from AQ to temp. https://www.weatherlink.com/map
  7. - Actually thought you’d be colder than that in the valley. -2° used to be a warm morning out there.
  8. Nah I’ll stay right here and continue bitching about it.
  9. High 10.8°. Colder than my lowest of 13° last year…probably have to go back to the 7° on 2/4/23.
  10. You guys in SNE are basically relying on some snow with the cold fropa and it starts drying up once it gets past the western hills. Low to mid levels are bone dry before then so any stray echoes are likely virga. Even up here it’s probably < 1”.
  11. Best forcing has always been near the canadian border with this. There’s a reason why you want them sliding south of you. Congrats Sherbrooke.
  12. Some of that was me. You get a week of 850s above 0C and you figure torched mins and at least a couple of days where you go westerly and push 50-60 across the region. I think I posted a few days ago that it wouldn’t necessarily be tulips and skip-its at the sfc, but we may actually be able to radiate the first half of this stretch and keep some teens and 20s overnight to really keep it iced up before the step up climb in mins sets in toward NYE.
  13. I personally don’t think the week after Christmas changed that much. Mid levels are torched relative to the season, but it’s a little fake with the dry airmass. We’ll probably have a lot of poor mixing days even if we have some sun.
  14. Yeah it’s all pretty marginal. 850s are warm, but dry so there’s room to wetbulb down near 0C up there. It looks a bit like early spring in the mid levels. Turn the flow westerly and we would torch…bring in precip or turn it E-NE and it’s a bit raw.
  15. Today should be CON’s first day with a colder daily departure than -10 since 11/21/23…over a year. Since that day there has been 56 days with a daily departure greater than +10.
  16. Mitch is down to -4.7°. The bodies may not thaw out even with a cutter.
  17. Congrats everyone on higher heating costs And DAW has been consistently 5F too warm all night. @OceanStWx can we just unplug the ASOS so Pope can’t use it?
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