dendrite
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Everything posted by dendrite
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We white again
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31.6° flurries
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I’ve noticed the past couple of days the H85-92 cold advection in N ME getting less “push” and figured it may translate toward the tuck our way. We really rely on that ageostrophic wetbulbing in these setup to succeed. Instead it’s mostly been stale sfc air all day with everyone in the lower els 32-34.
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32.2° Hasn’t hit 32.0° all day.
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Euro has consistently had the best solutions for up here. Ukie is a little bit more south with the best goods.
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In Waterbury VT that is called a flake
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Down to 32.5° now
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Nice run for S/C NH
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GFS looks a bit like the 18z euro for Friday...nice little snower for S/C NH
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I would've predicted Go West first, but this is a worthy selection.
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I liked it better when the GFS would always have unphased trash way OTS.
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NAM a hair overdone with the cold, Euro overdone with the warmth. RGEM this morning looks pretty good with the colder air deep into the CTRV, torch along S coast, and low 50s around Kevin.
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The problem is the front lagging a la 1888. Plenty of easterly inflow aloft back to WNE. It's a weird, rare solution so we smile at it and wait for 18z.
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Metfan snowin, CT sleetin, and the chickens rainin.
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That's a good comparison lol. I always remember looking at the KU book for that storm and wondering how that would look in modeling today.
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I see 49° on your Davis so it must be climbing quickly. Shabbs 63°!
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Sarcasm?
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Think of it as an ensemble. Multiple CFS runs over a 10 day period and then a monthly forecast is computed from the mean.
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Euro poppin 65-70 south of the Pike tomorrow. Really jelly that we're getting wedged up here.
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Yeah...I mean BDL had 2.8" through 2/15 in 1980 and still finished in double digits. Like Will said, I'm sure the stars of suck aligned at one point for a sub 10" season, but it's tough to do today.
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Sheet freezing drizzle in CON right now...a little glaze on the truck, but not too bad.
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RGEM 65
