dendrite

15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Since this will be the first cat 3 or 4 in that region is it cuz of global warming ?

Yeah...you know what CNN is insinuating with their headlines. This is just a statistical anomaly plus geometry challenged region.

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Top 3 hottest? Yeah not sure about that.

I could see it. I was looking at the top Seps in CON and how the monthlies looked and it looks easily doable. Most of the top ones have been in the last 5-10 years too.

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s honestly not hard to fathom a top 3 hottest Sept in the northeast based on the current look . I don’t think you’ll disagree.

I think there’s a higher than normal chance for that…sure. Especially with torchy mins. 

41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Good luck there 

Let me guess. Neverending summer for another 2 months with no breaks. Got it.

Looks pretty warm overall in the extended, but there will be mild downs. We’ll sneak some late fronts in around that ridge centered way to our SW.

Have only needed AC a few days and they were all July. I don't quite understand the problem some have with sheets sticking to the body, but that should get checked.

OFA winter forecast is out. lol

https://www.almanac.com/winter-extended-forecast-farmers-almanac

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

The other aspect, it was 99/80 at one max point at MDW and ORD there...  If you take the DP down, they would have been hotter.

Yup. It seems to struggle with that BL moisture pooling in the corn belt. It’s like it has dust bowl physics built in to the geography and all moisture just evaporates to the moon.

Yeah I'm not buying 115/37 at 45N in Minny on 9/3 with 32C 850s

47 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It was 26C 850 mb over ORD last week ... just sayn'

And it was spitting out 30C+ at H85 there. It's been 3-5C too high with the plume where it's mixing up to H5. I'll stick with the euro numbers that are plenty warm enough.

Tone that down due to the overmixing

36 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Does the forum admin really want the main Weather and Disco to be spam bombed ?

Thanks for the heads up 

4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

Congrats Cedar Key. They’re due for a biggie. 

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

360 eh

Yeah I get it...there will be more blue come verification since it's getting washed out in the means, but it's still a sign of the times that heights are biased warmer across the entire NHEM

1 hour ago, eekuasepinniW said:

I've hit 80 degrees 3 times this August.

Just one 90 degree day this year.

Maybe the first year in my 37 year history here that every square inch of our lawn stayed lush green all year.

One of the worst summers ever.

Only 1 80+ here and no 90s yet.

The 80s this year were Apr 2, May 2, Jun 5, Jul 19, Aug 1

19.36" so far for JJA

Look at all of that blue

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

Sucks we won't see a freeze for a while.  Maybe November for some.  Rough

Fine by me. It'll give my pawpaws more time to harden off.

3 hours ago, SnowLover22 said:

I was hoping it would be a little bit snowier than Geneva in the Finger Lakes region of NY. I am a skier so I am hoping for enough snow for that! 
 

I did hear there are many great ski resorts near where I am.

We get more snow than Hobart. ITH normal is about 63" and Meredith COOP is about 80". Plymouth may be a hair less in the shadow zone. In winters with numerous overrunning events (SWFEs) we can really rack up the 6-10 inchers.

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m not saying record heat for weeks .. but the worry is looking like it’s going to happen. Extended WAR and ridging now that fall is about to begin. Just when you want cool and crisp in Sept and Oct .. endless summer sets in. It’s become our Climo and I guess it’s what we all expect it now .. Only good piece I guess is that with WAR backing so far NW.. it entertains canes getting way far north if things set up right 

Looks more like a pig ridge centered over the TN/MS valley in much of the extended ens. Expect an occasional cold front with that.

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The old rule tried and true.. when Alaska and Pac NW are cold.. the northeast goes well AN

Works OK with long wavelengths. Voodoo this time of year.

49 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said:

Just moved to Plymouth NH to start my masters degree. Anyone around there that can give me a sense of the winters up here?

Long, cold, and dark. CAD reigns supreme. Don't expect any blockbuster events unless a deformation band somehow makes it up there and rots.

Looks good. Heart of the ridge where it has been with an up and down pattern averaging AN here. Perfect for September.

4 minutes ago, drstuess said:

Was with family in WI this week. Gfs consistently had 110+ forecasted 5 days out. Right idea and hit 100, but way overdone.

Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
 

95-100 vs 110-115 is a big deal. It always looked hot up there. The problem is the overmixing. It’s been trying to paint a desert-like 115/45 out there when reality is dews verify 75-80 with near 100 temps. That’s what it’s doing again in the Great Lakes and OH Valley. So take that 110/45 and make it 98/78. Both are miserable.

It’s trying to get the mixing layer up near 500mb a week into September. It’s going to inflate 850 temps by doing that as well. Just toss it all. 
 

10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Not boring?

That’s a 101 at HFD

That’s a real hoot trying to rip 110° in the Great Lakes for a week in September.