dendrite

GFS is still mostly southern stream driven…that was juiced coming out of TX vs 6z. I can’t help but think the northern stream phasing in will be a bigger player in the end.

Of course you’d have to be clearing every 6hrs as well. A more prolonged event with amounts that high and you start dealing with the weight of the snow upon itself.

I can’t believe there are trees still standing in northern MN

If you need advice posting from tapatalk consult lava rock. (Or apparently primshine too)

What I mean is getting a lot of convection firing down south and having the latent heating (condensation) pump the downstream ridge more.

Let’s crank the latent heating

We already have a NAM at home.

What’s confusing?

I sense a little Ray jack fetish with him. He likes systems where he’s getting more than anyone else…even if it’s 1-3”. He’s quieter when he’s getting 10” and I95 is pulling 15-20”.

The last diamond dust ons in CON. Sad. CON,1994-01-20 02:00,KCON 200200Z 19003KT 10SM CLR M27/M29 A3047 RMK SLP330 T12671289 CON,1994-01-20 03:00,KCON 200300Z 00000KT 10SM CLR M27/M29 A3048 RMK SLP333 T12721289 CON,1994-01-20 04:00,KCON 200400Z 00000KT 10SM CLR M27/M30 A3048 RMK SLP333 T12721300 CON,1994-01-20 05:00,KCON 200500Z 10003KT 10SM IC CLR M29/M31 A3048 RMK ICB30 SLP333 T12941311 CON,1994-01-20 06:00,KCON 200600Z 00000KT 10SM IC CLR M32/M34 A3047 RMK SLP330 60000 T13171339 CON,1994-01-20 07:00,KCON 200700Z 02004KT 10SM IC SCT005 M29/M32 A3049 RMK K LYR SCT SLP337 T12941322 CON,1994-01-20 08:00,KCON 200800Z 02004KT 10SM IC SCT005 M31/M33 A3049 RMK K5 SCT/ SLP338 T13061333 59085 CON,1994-01-20 09:00,KCON 200900Z 00000KT 10SM IC SCT005 M32/M35 A3049 RMK K5 SCT/ SLP337 T13171350 51007 CON,1994-01-20 10:00,KCON 201000Z 00000KT 10SM BKN005 M32/M35 A3050 RMK ICE30 K5 -BKN SLP339 T13221350 CON,1994-01-20 11:00,KCON 201100Z 02004KT 10SM IC BKN005 M31/M35 A3052 RMK ICB20 K5 -BKN SLP348 T13111350

And to Will’s point…when I said “nothing to suppress it” I wasn’t implying that a cutter was an option. Just that there’s technically room to go more north.

There’s really nothing to suppress the downstream flow anymore over our region ahead of the system. I think if we could tuck that PV lobe a little more SW we could amplify it a little more and get that trough tilting negative. But the vortmax is already plowing through LI sound on the 6z euro.

EPS killed the radio star

I think you already did. You may be the coldest in the county. Is that unshielded?

-2.3°

Yeah that’s a juicy run up here

Beer

Check this 6z gfs sounding over AL. Near -30c at the sfc and near 0c at h85.

Let’s get $5/lb oranges

GFS 2m fantasy like when it gives us 113° in July

24” for Wilmington and 11” for Methuen when all is said and done?

Way too early to be worrying about coastal front exhaust.

At least his 9.7 beat Scott’s 9.4