SACRUS
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GFS AI AIGFS total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24
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GFS AI AIGFS
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2/1 12z Summary NYC ICON: 0 GFS AI AIGFS: 0.2 GFS: 0.7 GGEM: 0.8 UKMET: 0.1 GEFS: 0.3
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2/18 12z ICON Total QPF
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ICON north of 00z but still a miss
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Seasonal numerical forecasting euphoria to the doldrumms . if you go back and check the threats / discussions from Jan 17/18 and the NC storm similar challenges with coastal formation and even some of the same models run to run changes. Each situation is unique and perhaps as we go deeper into the season we can ween off the seasonal trends.
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yeah just a little south of 12z by 850 miles
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2/18 00z GGEM also a miss
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GFS 1/10 of 12z
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2/18 00z GFS
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Total QPF GFS AI AIGFS:
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00z GFS AI AIGFS
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00z GFS AI AIGFS:
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2/18 00z GFS AI AIGFS
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2/18 00z Summary Total QPF NYC ICON: 0 GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 GFS: 0.3 GGEM: 0.3 UKMET: 0.2
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2/18 00Z ICON goes the wrong way Total QPF
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Warmest daily dep from avg since Jan 22nd.
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Today's split EWR: 48 / 34 (+5) NYC 47 / 35 (+5)
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18z GFS AI AIFGS Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24
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18z GFS AI AIGFS
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GEFS a bit west / wetter 18z vs 12z
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2/17 18z GFS total QPF >1.1 into NYC
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Looked good overall - tad s/e weaker 12z 126 vs 18z 120 but seemed like a slower phase and would be a a nice hit FWIW at 120 on the ICOn anywas.
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12z mostly sweet suite - onto 18z
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Sunny here - came out about an hour ago 47 / 37 Foggy night in store
