SACRUS
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
84 / 72 rising quickly. Heat is on the next 84 hours. Mid - upper 90s today, mid - upper 90s tomorrw (100 in the hot areas), same for Wed , pending on clouds. Thursday race to the front / storms and clouds but looks topped in the 80s. Storms and slow moving boundary could produce strong storms and local flooding where the line sets up between Thu AM and Fri PM. Behind the front a period of cooler - mainly onshore flow the first week of next month. Ridge rebuilds into the middle of the country and expands east - rising heights and a more southerly flow by the 8th transitioning to a warm-hot / humid period. 7/28 - 7/31 : Hot / Humid - Storms focused on Thu-Fri could be locally 2-4 inches 8/1 - 88 : Cooler - Onshore - drier overall 8/8 - beyond : Warm - Hot / Humid wetter overall -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
83 / 76 enhanced from corn sweat? Likely the SSW flow. -
Highs: PHL: 91 TEB: 90 EWR: 90 ACY: 89 New Brnswck: 89 TTN: 88 LGA: 88 BLM: * 85 missing data / intra hour highs JFK: 85 NYC: 84 ISP: 81
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Highs: PHL: 91 TEB: 90 EWR: 90 ACY: 89 New Brnswck: 89 TTN: 88 LGA: 88 BLM: * 85 missing data / intra hour highs JFK: 85 NYC: 84 ISP: 81 -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Made it to 90 here, a side note TPA reached 100 for the first time in Tampa history. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Perhaps a late run at 90 for some. 88/ 76 here -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Heating up quick here now 86 / 76 -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sun poking through with more clearing working in as the light rain clears. 81/ 75 -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Clouds keeping a lid on temps at 79 as the dew point temp rise to 75 -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
NNJ rain looks mainly light-mod quick moving -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Should be in NJ by 11 and if holds to the city before 12:30/noon. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Rain / storms approaching the NW/NJ border -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Good map to show source and projected smoke carry https://firesmoke.ca/forecasts/current/ -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Ridge to the north keeps the area cooler the next 7- 8 days from Friday (1st) likely opening the first week -3 to -5. The rebound as the flow comes around to a more humid one and heat west builds east. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Mostly attributed to storms today and then Thu/Fri with the front with the main focus (then) which could be a slow moving boundary -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Records: Highs: EWR: 101 (2005) NYC: 98 (1963) LGA: 100 (2005) JFK: 97 (1963) Lows: EWR: 57 (1977) NYC: 55 (1920) LGA: 59 (1962) JFK: 59 (2001) Historical: 1819: A hurricane affected the coast from Louisiana to Alabama. New Orleans was on the fringe of the storm and suffered no severe damage. Ships at the Balize experienced a strong gale for 24 hours that only grounded three ships. Lakes Pontchartrain and Borgne rose five to six feet during the storm, with farms along the lakes flooded by the storm tide. Forty-one lives were lost on the U.S. Man of War schooner Firebrand, a 150-ton gunship, while it lay off the west end of Cat Island. At 15 least 43 people died in all. 1926 - A hurricane came inland near Daytona Beach, FL. The hurricane caused 2.5 million dollars damage in eastern Florida, including the Jacksonville area. (David Ludlum) 1926: A destructive Category 4 hurricane struck Nassau during the evening hours on the 25th. The hurricane passed just east of Cape Canaveral early on the 28th and made landfall near present-day Edgewater, Florida. 1930: High minimum temperature was 81° and the maximum of 99° gave a daily mean of 90° in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1939 - The temperature at Lewiston, ID, hit 117 degrees to establish an all-time record high for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1943 - On a whim, and flying a single engine AT-6, Lieutenant Ralph O'Hair and Colonel Duckworth were the first to fly into a hurricane. It started regular Air Force flights into hurricanes. (The Weather Channel) 1943: A "surprise," Category 2 Hurricane moved ashore near Galveston, Texas. Due to World War II, all news underwent censorship, including any weather reports making this the surprise storm. The hurricane killed 19 people and caused millions of dollars in damages. Of particular note, Lieutenant Colonel Joe Duckworth and Lieutenant Ralph O'Hair flew an AT-6 Texan into the eye of the hurricane, becoming the first flight into the eye of the storm. 1987 - Thunderstorms in Minnesota spawned a tornado which moved in a southwesterly direction for a distance of thirty miles across Rice County and Goodhue County. Trees were uprooted and tossed about like toys, and a horse lifted by the tornado was observed sailing horizontally through the air. Thunderstorms drenched La Crosse, WI, with 5.26 inches of rain, their second highest 24 hour total of record. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Hot weather prevailed in the north central U.S. Williston, ND, reported a record high of 108 degrees. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the eastern U.S., and in southeastern Texas. Richland County, SC, was soaked with up to 5.5 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced locally heavy rains in the southwestern U.S. Yuma, AZ, experienced their most severe thunderstorm of record. Strong thunderstorm winds, with unofficial gusts as high as 95 mph, reduced visibilities to near zero in blowing dust and sand. Yuma got nearly as much rain in one hour as is normally received in an entire year. The storm total of 2.55 inches of rain was a record 24 hour total for July. Property damage due to flash flooding and high winds was in the millions. (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Wisconsin and northern Illinois to New England, with 103 reports of large hail and damaging winds through the day. Thunderstorms in Wisconsin produced hail three inches in diameter near Oshkosh, and wind gusts to 65 mph at Germantown. (The National Weather Summary) 1993: The Great Mississippi River Flood of 1993: Rising water stopped all rail traffic through Kansas City, MO. Flood crests from the Missouri and Kansas Rivers pushed toward Kansas City, MO at the same time, prompting fears that the crests would arrive simultaneously, pushing water over the city's flood control levees. Fortunately, the crests arrived six hours apart, with water levels just lapping at the very tops of the levees. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1995: Powhatan County, VA a woman received minor injuries when lightning struck her near the front door of her house. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History) 1995: A heat wave began on this date across the southwest and continued through the 29th. Record highs included: Coachella, CA: 120 °F, Phoenix, AZ: 118 °F, San Jacinto, CA: 113 °F, Tucson, AZ: 113 °F, Riverside, CA: 112°, Banning, CA: 111 °F, Moreno Valley, CA: 111 °F, Sun City, CA: 111 °F and Yucaipa: 110 °F and Winslow, AZ: 103 °F. A male tourist from Ohio drowned in a rip current at Lake Worth Beach, FL. Strong easterly winds associated with the approach of Tropical Storm Erin caused the rip current. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1996: On this date 6.68 inches of rain fell at Oak Grove, AL, west of Birmingham. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1998: Across the western U.S. record highs included: Thermal, CA: 123°, Borrego Springs, CA: 119°, Yuma, AZ: 118°, Yakima, WA: 106°, Medford, OR: 106°, Eugene, OR: 105°, Olympia, WA: 99°, Seattle, WA: 95° and Quillayute, WA: 86°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2001: A severe thunderstorm produced a 100 mph wind gust 8 miles north of Hardin; MT. Several 5 to 6 foot diameter trees were blown down. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2002: A severe weather outbreak produced tornadoes and downburst wind damage across parts of Lower Michigan. A tornado with top winds around 80 mph touched down about one mile east of Augusta in Kalamazoo County. The tornado passed through Fort Custer in western Calhoun County, about one mile northwest of the Battle Creek airport. The damage path was approximately 800 yards wide and path length was 3 miles long. After the tornado ended, downburst damage continued for several more miles in Calhoun County. A severe thunderstorm struck a campground and mobile home park along Swan Lake in southern Allegan County. Trees were blown down onto mobile homes and small boats were blown out of the lake. Top winds with the downburst were estimated at 70 mph. Locally heavy thunderstorms and flash flooding affected parts of Ohio. Among the worst hit places were Dayton and Wilmington with 3.77 inches and 3.72 inches of rain respectively. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
71 / 69 partly cloudy 0.10 / some light rain overnight. Most storms/rain to the north , an area in PA. On/off clouds mid 80s today with storms this afternoon. Flow comes around from this onshore one , more N/NNW tomorrow brining a return of the heat, flow flattens later Tue - Thu with strong heat Tue/Wed for the area. Thursday a race to the clouds / front which looks like the afternoon , any delay and the heat is prolonged a day. Storms Thursday / Fri morning with the front could see some heavier totals. Cooler period for a week to 9 days with drier / canadian air, flow comes around to a warm-hot humid one by the 8/9th. 7/27 : Onshore / cooler storms 7/28 - 7/31 : Hot/Humid - Storms Thursday heat peak Tye/Wed 8/1 - 8/9 : Cooler - overall - Drier 8/9 - beyond : Warm- Hot / Humid / wetter overall -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Also was missing a few days highs which could have skewed the monthly -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Storms approaching CPA -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Highs: PHL: 88 TEB: 87 EWR: 85 JFK: 85 NYC: 85 LGA: 85 ACY: 84 New Brnswck: 84 ISP: 84 TTN: 84 BLM: 80 * missing readings -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Wrapping around / on shore -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
85 / 62 - smoky -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
82 / 66 DT dropped a bit from the morning -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nearest rain into Pitt/W-PA -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
SACRUS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Can see that smoke and the NE flow will transport it this a way
