SACRUS

Larger area or cluster of storms forming in South NJ. See where they go.

78/73 here humid and mostly cloudy. Southerly flow bringing the humidity and some showers. Clouds and showers moving through should allow for partly sunny conditions this afternoon. We'll see how much we can warm things once we clear out. Mon - Tue more warmth with 90s again in the warmer spots. Wed (8/26) more of a Northerly flow and a brief 12 - 18 hour cooldown before stronger heat arrives Thu (8/27) and perhaps Friday or part of Friday (8/28) ahead of remnants of Laura. Sat (8/30) - Tue (9/1) cooler ahead of more warmth. Looking in the way beyond looks a bit back and forth the opening week of the month before a more sustained warmth towards the second week. I think we will have a better handle with guidance once we resolve Marco and Laura's remnants.

8/22 LGA: 92 EWR: 92 New Brnswck: 91 BLM: 89 TEB: 89 NYC: 88 TTN: 88 PHL: 87 ISP: 86 JFK: 86 ACY: 86

8/22 LGA: 92 EWR: 92 New Brnswck: 91 BLM: 89 TEB: 89 NYC: 88 TTN: 88 PHL: 87 ISP: 86 JFK: 86 ACY: 86

2PM LGA: 89 EWR: 89 New Brnswck: 88 BLM: 88 TTN: 86 JFK: 86 PHL: 86 NYC: 86 TEB: 85 (storm) ACY: 84 ISP: 83

Looks to run +5 - +7 or more each day today - Tue. Wed still up in the air of extent of the strong heat by Thu/Fri models look to bring in 95(+) potential heat, then potetntial wet/warm with remnants of Laura Fri PM / Sat. Cooldown looks similar to this week 2-3 days then flow goes warm again by 9/4.

1PM Roundup LGA: 88 EWR: 88 TEB: 87 New Brnswck: 87 NYC: 86 BLM: 85 ISP: 85 PHL: 85 JFK: 84 TTN: 84 ACY: 83

GGEM more in line with the ECM for the northward extent of the stronger heat for Thu/Fri.

81/72 clouds moving out mostly centered over the southern part of the area S-NJ, but even there should clear out by early afternoon. Warmer spots first 90s today in 9 days(8/12). Warmer spots heatwave Sat - Tue (8/25). Storms possible Sun (8/23) and more widespread Mon night. Tuesday (8/24) more 90s, especially in the warmer spots but likely a broader area, before northern flow brings a brief 8 - 12 hour relief on Wednesday (8/25) maybe just northern areas TTN south may still reach 90s. Stronger heat Thu (8/27) and Fri (8/28) with 850MB temps surging to >18c to near 20c on WSW flow. Record heat possible these two days. The remnants of Laura are currently projected to pass through some time Friday and that will determine if Friday can get to record heat levels. Weekend cooler for 48 hours before warmer more humid flow returns by the 31st. WAR may bring more warmth / heat by 9/4.

8/21 LGA: 88 New Brnswck:87 EWR: 87 BLM: 86 TEB: 86 PHL: 85 ACY: 84 TTN: 84 NYC: 84 JFK: 82 ISP: 81

72/63. The warmup begins today with highs pushing into the mid and perhaps upper 80s. Clouds plentiful south and west of the area but so far its remaining partly to mostly sunny. The weekend looks warm with 90s likely in the warmer spots especially Saturday. Sunday warm but storms and clouds may limit any upper 80s / near 90s. Rockies ridge slowly pushes the strong heat into the plains, Miswest and out way next week, as the western Atlantic ridge backs west into the southeast pumping heights into the region and hooking the heat. Mon - Wed upper 80s and low 90s with storm chances each day. Thu (8/27) - Fri (8/28) that 2 day strong heat that could push record temps and challenge season highs. Tropics look aimed at the Gulf and any subsequent moisture may miss or not arrive till next weekend (8/29). Sharp cooldown looks to follow the strong heat for a 2 day stint Sat (8/30 / Sun 8/31) before more warmth builds back into the area.

8/20 LGA: 83 EWR: 83 New Brnswck: 82 BLM: 82 PHL: 82 ACY: 81 TEB: 81 TTN: 80 JFK: 79 NYC: 79 ISP: 78

I would too, but potential exists with some guidance showing 850MB temps >18c between Wed and Fri. Friday may be muddied up by tropical moisture. Either way a hot week looks likely starting this weekend before the next break towards next weekend (8/30/31)

68 off a low of 52 last night coolest in a while. Today splendid day sunny and low 80s / low humdity. Lows again tonight 50s inland. Friday starts what should be a 9 day warm-up above to much above normal with potential record heat lumped in for a 2 day period. By Saturday the warmer spots will see 90s again after a 9 day reprieve. Sunday pending on storms and associated clouds should get more 90s. Heat dome still standing but trough pushing into the Pacific northwest will allow some weakness and eventual push east into the plains and with it the incrediblly strong heat will spill east into the plains, GL, MW and our area within 5 - 6 days, Mon (8/24) - Tue (8/25) : more 90s especially for the warmer spots but becoming more widespread as 850MB temps increase to >16c. By Wed (8/26) - Fri (8/28) potential record heat with only clouds or tropical effects hindering upper 90s to above. By next weekend (8/29) trough pushes into the region. Beyond there WAR remains southeast of the region flexing west at times. Rockies ridge boppping between AZ and KS. Looking overall warm into the end of the month.

Lower DT could allow for the highest temps of the season. Lot of time to track . Been tracking this possibility that heat out west is abnormally intense and it bleeds east peaking Wed - Fri next week.

Clouds lingered loner today than expected like a dinner guest who wont leave.

8/19 ACY: 82 PHL: 81 BLM: 80 New Brnswck: 79 EWR: 78 TTN: 78 JFK: 76 TEB: 76 LGA: 76 NYC: 75 ISP: 73

Clearing working through NW/N-NJ and should see sun in most places in the next hour or by 3.

Some of the darkest (greenish) clouds ive experienced in many years with strong thunderstorm developed just north into N-Middlesex and Union

68, cloudy and light rain. Clouds and light rain back to CPA and looks like if we get any clearing it'll be in 4 - 6 hours (1 - 3 PM). Thu - Fri similar to Tuesday highs low to perhaps mid 80s and cooler less humid nights. Warmth returns this weekend with chance of 90s starting Saturday *8/22) and Sunday (8/23) in the hotter spots. By this coming Monday (8/24) a piece of the heat regime has pushed east into the plains and mid west ,and arrives by Tue as the WAR builds west and lingers through Fri (8/28) or Sat (8/30), peaking Wed and Thu (that 2 day strong heat that been tracking the potential) as it looks now with near or >20c 850MB temps. That furnace out west is impressive and still think we may challenge the seasons hottest temps. Storms will be likely in the period and the caveat to how hot we can get. Beyond 8/30 in the longer range back towards normal for a few days before riding follows the Plain - MW and east progression.

8/18 ACY: 87 LGA: 86 BLM: 86 EWR: 85 PHL: 84 New Brnswk: 84 TEB: 84 JFK: 84 TTN: 83 ISP: 83 NYC: 83

Later update 83/59 - gorgeous day. Looking ahead at a very nice and seasonal few days with highs in the low to perhaps mid 80s. Heat dome lingering a few more days out west before shifting a bit east towards the Plains. We warm things up 8/22 - 8/27 with next chance of 90s in the areas as 850 MB temps >16c and with a piece of that strong heat >18c pushing etast into the area by mid week (8/25-26) possible with storms becoming possible during the peroid.. Also need to watch topics. Flow is flatter towards the end of next week and once we clear or get through any influence from the tropics it looks warm overall.

8/17 EWR: 84 TEB: 83 New Brnswck: 83 LGA: 83 PHL: 83 TTN: 82 NYC: 81 ACY: 80 ISP: 79 BLM: 79 JFK: 78

75/60 amazing out after a dreary Sunday. 0.22 in the bucket. Aside from some storms later today and Wed looking dry this work week. Highs generally in the low to mid 80s Mon - Fri (8/17 - 8/21). Rockies Heat Dome in place through 8/20 before slowly nudging east into the plains. 8/22 - 8/24 The western Atlantic ridge expands west by Friday and into the weekend allowing heights to come up and warmer air to produce th next opportunity for 90(s) in the area. Looks like piece of stronger heat is shooting across from the west into early next week. Have to watch the progression of the western ridge and if we get enough ridging to keep things on the hot side next week 8/24 and beyond. Tropics coming to life in the Gulf later this week too. Still think we see piece of the tremendous heat building out west eject east for a 2 day period.

67 and 0.17 of rain so far. Coolest day overall since Fay (7/10) likely daytime highs below 70? Sun is about 100 miles west into C- PA. Rockies heat dome locked and loaded the next 7 - 10 days. Overall near to slightly above normal around these parts once past today for this coming week 8/17 - 8/21 with lots of low - mid 80s. Storms possible Mon and Wed PM but the week looks good overall. Pending on any storms next weekend (8/22 - 23) offers the next opportunity to reach 90, especially in the warmer spots before trough pushes into the east. Beyond next weekend and into the final week of August 8/24, Rockies ridge nudging into the plains and piece of that heat is heading east should allow for much warmer close to the month with chance of 90s and perhaps a piece of the stronger heat gets here for a 2 day window. Beyond there have to watch for Plains ridge to establish and WAR pushing west.