SACRUS
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Posts posted by SACRUS
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The heaviest rain looks to be out of the area in the next hour
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Just now, Stormlover74 said:
Looks like from yesterday
Been a lingering glitch on the site for a year or so now. Until a new thread is started.
Another source
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Clearing line approaching (hope this isnt a cahed image)
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EWR Jun Departures
2018: -0.3
2017: +0.3
2016: +0.3
2015: -0.4
2014: +0.4
2013: +0.9
2012: +0.1
2011: +2.0
2010: +3.8
2009: -3.6
2008: +2.9
2007: +0.3
2006: +0.1
2005: +2.2
2004: -0.2
2003: -3.2
2002: -0.1
2001: +1.5
2000: +0.0
1999: +1.8
1998: -2.4
1997: -1.4
1996: +0.5
1995: +0.5
1994: +5.3
1993: +3.4
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4 minutes ago, Snow88 said:
This is beautiful
Who wants 90s?
90's is so 2010's - lets go for 100's 1966 style
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California-like day out there today. This will make 3 great weekends in a row overall since the Motherss day awfulness . Guidance continues to keep summer / heat at bay but i still think once past fathers day we warm things up and EWR / LGA even NYC will grab 90's before July in the last 10 days of June.
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8 years ago 2011 temps hit 100 in the area a 3 day precursor to the July frunace.
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Through the first week and despite a lack of heat, overall warm in the area. These will likely be eroded 6/9 - 6/15
Dep thru 6/7
NYC: +1.9
EWR: +2.2
LGA: +2.5
JFK: +1.6
ISP: +2.5
TTN: +1.6
PHL: +2.3 -
Some high clouds fog burn off but shaping up to be the nicest day for a while / till next weekend maybe
(not sure why its showing yesterdays loop)
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2 hours ago, bluewave said:
You know that there is an extreme -NAO pattern in June when we can’t reach the 90’s with a 588 DM ridge.
500 - 600 miles too far north.
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Cruises to Greenland
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1 hour ago, bluewave said:
Newark would probably need at least 5 days of 90 by June 30th to stay competitive. Then 25 or more days after July 1st to reach 30 days. This has been the 2010’s pattern necessary to reach 30 days. 2013 came up just short as summer essentially ended early on July 23 following the epic WAR pattern.
Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.Ending DateNumber of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Mar 1 to Jun 30Missing Count2019-06-30 1 24 2018-06-30 9 0 2017-06-30 8 0 2016-06-30 6 0 2015-06-30 6 0 2014-06-30 2 0 2013-06-30 6 0 2012-06-30 8 0 2011-06-30 5 0 2010-06-30 16 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.Ending DateNumber of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Jul 1 to Oct 15Missing Count2018-10-15 27 0 2017-10-15 14 0 2016-10-15 34 0 2015-10-15 29 0 2014-10-15 13 0 2013-10-15 19 0 2012-10-15 25 0 2011-10-15 26 0 2010-10-15 38 0 Good stats blue and thanks for sharing. I am thinking newark is in the 29-31 (90 degree days) overall/
Lets see if we can heat things up after fathrs day around jun 19.
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44 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:
Could end up being an average summer, which would feel downright cool versus what we're used to.
But it's also possible that the -NAO translates into hotter weather by mid July.
Saw that in 2013. Does look heatless (90-less) through fathers day. Period to watch would be 6/18 and beyond do see 850's building into the Lakes/Ohio valley on guidance that period.
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1 hour ago, bluewave said:
The 2010’s definition of a cooler summer is under 30 days reaching 90 degrees at Newark for the year. This would only be the 4th year this decade should this Euro seasonal verify.
Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.YearNumber of Days Max Temperature >= 90Missing Count2018 36 0 2017 22 0 2016 40 0 2015 35 0 2014 15 0 2013 25 0 2012 33 0 2011 31 0 2010 54 0 Other than 2010 / 2012 number of 90 degree days was lower in June
2018:
PHL: 30 (April: 0; May : 1 ; June: 4 ; Jul: 11; Aug: 10 ; Sep: 4 )
EWR: 36 (April: 0; May: 4 ; June: 5; Jul: 9 ; Aug: 14; Sep: 4 )
TTN: 29(April: ; May: 2 ; June: 4; Jul: 8 ; Aug: 11; Sep: 4)
LGA: 38 (April: 0; May: 4; June: 4; Jul: 10; Aug: 16; Sep: 4)
ACY: 38 (April: 0; May: 3; June: 5 ; Jul: 11 ; Aug: 13 ; Sep: 4)
TEB: 41 (April: 0; May: 4 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 10 ; Aug: 18; Sep: 4 )
NYC: 21 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 3; Jul: 6; Aug: 7 ; Sep: 3)
JFK: 8 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1; Jul: 2 ; Aug: 4; Sep: 1)
ISP: 8 (April: 0; May: ; June: ; Jul:2 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: 1)
New Bnswk: 33 (April: , May: 2, June: 4, July: 10; Aug: 13 ;Sep:; 4 )---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017
PHL: 27 (April: 0; May: 3 ; June: 6 ; Jul: 11 ; Aug: 5; Sep:2 )
EWR: 22 (April: 0; May: 3 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 9; Aug: 2 ; Sep: 3 )
TTN: 17 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 4; Jul: 6; Aug: 2 ; Sep: 2)
LGA: 17 (April: 0; May: 3 ; June: 3 ; Jul: 8 ; Aug: 2 ; Sep: 1)
ACY: 17 (April: 0; May: 3 ; June: 3 ; Jul: 9; Aug: 2 ; Sep: )
TEB: 24 (April: 0; May: 3 ; June: 5; Jul: 10 ; Aug: 3 ; Sep: 3)
NYC: 13 (April: 0; May: 3 ; June: 3; Jul: 5 ; Aug: 1; Sep: 1)
JFK: 9 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 5 Aug: ; Sep: 1)
ISP: 8 (April: 0; May : ; June: 2 ; Jul: 6; Aug: ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 23 (April: 0; May: 3; June: 8 ; Jul: 9; Aug: 2; Sep: 1)-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2016:
PHL: 45 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3; Jun: 5 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 16 ; Sep: 5
EWR: 40 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 3 ; Jul: 16; Aug: 13 ; Sep: 5
TTN: 35 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 4; Jul: 13; Aug: 12 ; Sep: 4
LGA: 32 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 1; Jul : 15; Aug: 10 ; Sep: 3
ACY: 30 (Apr: 0 ; May: 1 ; Jun: 4 ; Jul: 12; Aug: 10; Sep: 3
TEB: 35 (Apr: 0 ; May: 4 ; Jun : ; Jul: 15; Aug: 11; Sep: 5
NYC: 22 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: ; Jul: 10; Aug: 7; Sep: 3
JFK: 15 (Apr: 0 ; May: 0 ; Jun:1 ; Jul: 7 ; Aug: 6; Sep: 1
ISP: 15 (Apr: 0 ; May: ; Jun: ; Jul: 7 ; Aug: 7; Sep: 1New Brunswick: 39 (Apr: 0 ; May: 4 ; Jun: 3; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 11; Sep: 5
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2015:
PHL: 37 (Apr: 0 ; May: 1; Jun: 7; Jul: 10; Aug: 12; Sep: 7
EWR: 35 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2; Jun 4; Jul: 11; Aug: 13; Sep: 5
TTN: 27 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2; Jun: 4; Jul: 6; Aug: 9; Sep: 6
LGA: 20 (Apr: 0 ; May: 0 ; Jun:3; Jul : 6; Aug: 8; Sep: 3
ACY: 21 (Apr: 0 ; May: 0 ; Jun: 5; Jul: 4; Aug: 8; Sep: 3
TEB: 38 (Apr: 0 ; May: 4 ; Jun : 5; Jul: 8; Aug: 12; Sep: 8
NYC: 20 (Apr: 0 ; May: 0 ; Jun: 1; Jul: 5 ; Aug: 8; Sep: 6
JFK: 12 (Apr: 0 ; May: 0 ; Jun: 1; Jul:3 ; Aug: 6; Sep: 2
ISP: 7 (Apr: 0 ; May: 0 ; Jun: 0 ; Jul: 3 ; Aug: 2; Sep: 2New Brunswick: 36 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 3; Jul: 11; Aug: 14; Sep: 6
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2014
PHL: 19 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: 3; Jul: 11 ; Aug: 3; Sep: 2; Oct:0 )
EWR: 15 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2; Jul: 8 ; Aug: 2; Sep: 3; Oct: 0 )
TTN: 11 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2; Jul: 7 ; Aug: 0; Sep: 2; Oct: 0 )
LGA: 6 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 0 ; Jul: 3 ; Aug: 1; Sep: 2; Oct: 0)
ACY: 8 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 4 ; Aug: 0; Sep: 2; Oct: 0 )
TEB: 24 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 6 ; Jul: 9 ; Aug: 4; Sep: 4; Oct: 0 )
NYC: 8 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 0 ; Jul: 3 ; Aug: 3; Sep: 2; Oct: 0)
JFK: 2 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 1 ; Jul: 0 ; Aug: 0 ; Sep: 1; Oct: 0)
ISP: 0 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 0 ; Jul: 0 ; Aug: 0; Sep: 0; Oct: 0)
New Bnswk: 17 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 4; Jul: 6; Aug: 3; Sep: 4; Oct: 0)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2013
PHL: 20 (April: 0; May:3 ; June: 4; Jul: 12 ; Aug: ; Sep: 1; Oct: )
EWR: 25 (April: 0; May:2 ; June: 4; Jul: 15 ; Aug: 3; Sep: 1; Oct: )
TTN: 16 (April: 0; May:2 ; June: 3; Jul: 10 ; Aug: ; Sep: 1; Oct: )
LGA: 21 (April: 0; May:2 ; June:2 ; Jul: 15 ; Aug: 1; Sep: 1; Oct:)
ACY: 17 (April: 0; May:2 ; June: 4 ; Jul: 11 ; Aug: ; Sep: 1; Oct: )
TEB: 28 (April: 0; May:2 ; June: 6 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 2 ; Sep: 1; Oct: 1 )
NYC: 17 (April: 0; May:2 ; June: 3 ; Jul: 10 ; Aug: 1; Sep: 1; Oct: )
JFK: 9 (April: 0; May: ; June:2 ; Jul:7 ; Aug: ; Sep: ; Oct: )
ISP: 10 (April: 0; May: ; June:2 ; Jul: 8 ; Aug: ; Sep:; Oct:)
New Bnswk: 23 (April: 0; May:2 ; June: 3; Jul: 14 ; Aug: 3 ; Sep: 1; Oct:)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2012
PHL: 39 (April: 0; May 2: ; June:7 ; Jul: 21; Aug: 8 ; Sep: 1 )
EWR: 33 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 6 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 7; Sep: 2 )
TTN: 29 (April: 1; May: 2 ; June: 7 ; Jul: 15 ; Aug: 3; Sep:1 )
LGA: 28 (April: 0; May: 2; June:6 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 6; Sep: )
ACY: 26 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: 3; Sep:1 )
TEB: 36 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 9; Sep:2 )
NYC: 19 (April: 0; May: ; June:5 ; Jul: 10; Aug: 3; Sep:1 )
JFK: 16 ((April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 8 ; Aug: 2 ; Sep:1 )
ISP: 11 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 6; Aug: ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 35 (April: 1, May: 2, June: 6, July: 17; Aug: 8;Sep:1; )
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2011
PHL: 33 (April: 0; May: 3; June: 5 ; Jul: 21 ; Aug: 4 ; Sep: )
EWR: 31 (April: 0; May: 1; June: 4; Jul: 22; Aug: 4; Sep: )
TTN: 26 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 3; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 4; Sep: )
LGA: 18 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: 3 ; Jul: 13; Aug: 2 ; Sep: )
ACY: 32 (April: 0; May: 1; June: 6 ; Jul: 21 ; Aug: 4; Sep: )
TEB: 28 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 4 ; Jul: 18 ; Aug: 4; Sep: )
NYC: 20 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 3 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 3; Sep: )
JFK: 13 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 1 ; Jul: 10; Aug: 2 ; Sep: )
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2010
PHL: 55 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 15; Jul: 19; Aug: 12; Sep: 7) *4 89
EWR: 54 (April: 1; May: 2; June: 13; Jul: 21; Aug: 11; Sep: 6) *3 89
TTN: 52 (April: 0; May: 3; June: 10; Jul: 21; Aug: 13; Sep: 5) *5 89
LGA: 48 (April: 1; May: 2; June: 12; Jul: 18; Aug: 11; Sep: 4) *3 89
ACY: 46 (April: 1; May: 1; June: 14; Jul: 14; Aug: 11; Sep: 5)
TEB: 41 (April: 1; May: 2; June: 10; Jul: 16; Aug: 8; Sep: 4) *4 89
NYC: 37 (April: 1; May: 1; June: 4; Jul: 16; Aug: 12; Sep: 3) *12 89 / 3 88
JFK: 31 (April: 0; May: 1; June: 8; Jul: 12; Aug: 7; Sep: 2) *3 89 -
Up to 78 here but about an hour or so from mainly cloudy conditions. SO should just break 80.
Guidance was not enthused on any type of heat through around fathers day. Still believe some sneaky heat can encroach the area on/around Jun 9 but will need t watch. Beyond there current pattern could shift to a hot one towards late Jun and into July.
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WIld looking sat loop
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Feeling once beyond this period and on/around Jun 8/9 we may see more ridging into the northeast. Perhaps the next and for most first chance at 90s. We'll see if troughing wants to linger near the northeast.
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Up to a very nice 82 today. Its nice having a full day of sun again.
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Just south and west of the front
ABE: + 4.7
TTN: +1.6
PHL: +2.4
ACY: +3.1
DOV: +5.4
BWI: + 5.1
DCA: +5.0 -
1 hour ago, doncat said:
No sun at all here that I saw...Temps in the 70's were just sw of me but didn't make it, much like yesterday.
Hit 77 here today limited sun. Wrong side of the front if you preferred warmer/drier weather these past few days. Looks like troughiness into the east (overall) the next week. Well see if ridging and the next shot at warmth materializes on/around Jun 8ish.
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77 here and rising. near 90 about 9 miles to my southwest
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Now up to 80 / 70
sun out but storms looming to the west in EPA
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Jukped up to 77 here DT : 69
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Shaping up to be a beautiful Memorial day. Mostly Sunny all day with temps near or in the low 80s.
Past Memorial Days Highs;
2018 5/28 : 71 (0.0)
2017 5/29 : 61 (0.14)
2016 5/30: 83 (1.39)
2015 5/25: 90 (0.0)
2014 5/26: 88 (0.00)
2013 5/27: 76 (0.00)
2012 5/28: 91 (Trace)
2011 5/30: 92 (0.32)
2010 5/31: 89 (T)-
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June 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
in New York City Metro
Posted
The area has been a cloud magnet for sure and it looks like clouds will throw a wrench in chance at 90 or widespread 90s sun - tues next week.