SACRUS

In the middle of a late season heatwave 4 years ago (2018) just a year after the cold (2017) labor day with many upper 40s/low 50s. 1985 also late season heat.

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Today may be the last shot in a while at upper 80s to around 90 for the warm spots in NJ. Unusually  strong -NAO for early September will cool things down going forward. So expect more comfortable highs in the 70s this week before 80s return by next weekend. 

 

 

 

 

 

It will be interesting to see and track, but the Rockies Ridge may be forced east by the middle of next week and setup more ridging towards the end of next week / next weekend (mid month) timeframe 9/16.

74 / 69 with some sun poking through.  Majority of the steady rain to fall late today and Tue (9/6) - into Wed (9/7) looking like a solid 2+ for most spots. 

Rockies ridge locked in ad the Western Atlantic Ridge builds west this coming weekend.  Drier but still cool Thu (9/8) more humid onshore / southerly flow by this Friday (9/9) and into the weekend. 

Front is slow to clear by early next week and cutos off west of the region, likely comes through at some point next Tue (9/13) / Wed (9/14) perhaps more heavy rainfall .). 

Longer range Rockies ridge pushes east into the plains and GL by mid month and overall warm / with building heights for the second half of the month.

9/4

EWR: 93
New Brnswck: 91
PHL: 91
NYC: 90
BLM: 89
TTN: 89
LGA: 89
ACY: 88
TEB: 87
JFK: 86
ISP: 85
 

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2022:

PHL: 46 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 5; Jul: 19 ; Aug: 18 ; Sep: 1
EWR: 50 (Apr: 0 ; May: 4 ; Jun 6 ; Jul: 20; Aug: 18; Sep: 1
TTN: 31 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: 14; Sep: 
LGA: 30 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3  ; Jun: 3; Jul : 11; Aug: 13; Sep: 
ACY: 33 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 3 ; Jul: 16; Aug: 12; Sep: 
TEB: 35 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun : 3 ; Jul: 13 ; Aug: 16; Sep: 
NYC: 25 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun:1 ; Jul:  10 ; Aug: 11; Sep: 1
JFK: 16 (Apr: 0 ; May: 1 ; Jun: 1; Jul: 9 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: 
ISP: 13 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 5  ; Aug: 5; Sep: 

New Brunswick: 42 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 3; Jul: 17; Aug: 18; Sep: 1 )
BLM: 28 (Apr: 0; May: 4 ; Jun: 2 ; Jul: 12 ; Aug: 10) 

89 Degree Days:

NYC: 5
TEB: 2
PHL: 4
New Brsnswk: 4
ACY: 3
JFK: 7
LGA: 3
TTN: 6
BLM: 5
EWR: 3
ISP: 7

 

 

 

9/4

EWR: 93
New Brnswck: 91
PHL: 91
NYC: 90
BLM: 89
TTN: 89
LGA: 89
ACY: 88
TEB: 87
JFK: 86
ISP: 85
 

Larger breaks in the clouds should get the warm spots to notch another 90 before the rain.

1PM ROundup

EWR: 89
BLM: 88
New Brnswck: 88
TTN: 86
NYC: 86
PHL: 86
LGA: 85
JFK: 85
ACY: 85
TEB: 84
ISP: 83

May be a few hours of partly cloudy before we are cloudy in the PM.

Rain into WPA.

74 / 67 and some clouds and sun.  Clouds likely in the way of any 90s today ahead of the rains Mon (9/5) - Wed (9/7).  Solid 2 or more for many, i think this may over perform and like that from dry to deluge, it was just a matter of time.  By Thursday (9/8) we are clearing out as the Western Atlantic Ridge is building west more humid/warm flow by this Fri (9/9) and into next weekend.  Front slowed west of the region could be slow to clear or may cut off by Mon 9/12.  Beyond there ridge looks to rebuild and push overall warm air into the EC in the way beyond.  If no 90s today next shot may not come till next weekend or after mid month.   

Record heat 4 years ago in 2018 with mid / upper 90s the next 2 days.

18Z Euro is 1 - 3 for the region.  Majority of the rain is now forecast later Mon and into Tue PM.

9/3

PHL: 88
TTN: 84
New Brnswck: 83
EWR: 82
TEB: 82
LGA: 82
NYC: 82
ACY: 81
ISP: 80
BLM: 79
JFK: 79

73 / 63 up from 58.  A beautiful day on tap for with partly sunny and low / mid 80s.  Depending on clouds tomorrow, the warmer spots could get to 90 and Labor day but clouds and rain timing will determine that.  Best widespread rain chance with 1 or more for most.  By Wed (9/7) we are clearing out and the Western Atlantic ridge builds back along the Northeast coast by Fri (9/9) with next warmup into next weekend and beyond.  Possible to tack on more 90s for the warmer spots.

8/30

PHL: 94
New Brnswck: 93
TTN: 93
EWR: 90
TEB: 89
LGA: 89
NYC: 89
BLM: 88
ACY: 88
JFK: 86
ISP: 85

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2022:

PHL: 45 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 5; Jul: 19 ; Aug: 18 ; Sep: 
EWR: 49 (Apr: 0 ; May: 4 ; Jun 6 ; Jul: 20; Aug: 18; Sep: 
TTN: 31 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: 14; Sep: 
LGA: 30 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3  ; Jun: 3; Jul : 11; Aug: 13; Sep: 
ACY: 33 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 3 ; Jul: 16; Aug: 12; Sep: 
TEB: 35 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun : 3 ; Jul: 13 ; Aug: 16; Sep: 
NYC: 24 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun:1 ; Jul:  10 ; Aug: 11; Sep: 
JFK: 16 (Apr: 0 ; May: 1 ; Jun: 1; Jul: 9 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: 
ISP: 13 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 5  ; Aug: 5; Sep: 

New Brunswick: 41 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 3; Jul: 17; Aug: 18; Sep: )
BLM: 28 (Apr: 0; May: 4 ; Jun: 2 ; Jul: 12 ; Aug: 10) 

89 Degree Days:

NYC: 5
TEB: 2
PHL: 4
New Brsnswk: 4
ACY: 3
JFK: 7
LGA: 2
TTN: 5
BLM: 4
EWR: 3
ISP: 7

 

 

8/30

PHL: 94
New Brnswck: 93
TTN: 93
EWR: 90
TEB: 89
LGA: 89
NYC: 89
BLM: 88
ACY: 88
JFK: 86
ISP: 85

76 / 70 and on way to some more 90s for many in the area.  Overall warmth continues with a brief cooldown Thu (9/1).  Warmer by the weekend before next front and possible widespread rain later Sunday and into the first week of Sep.  beyond that ridge rebuilds by later next week and an overall warm looking into the beyond.

8/29

PHL: 92
New Brnswck: 92
TEB: 90
TTN: 90
LGA: 87
EWR: 87
ACY: 86
BLM: 86
JFK: 85
NYC: 85
ISP: 84

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2022:

PHL: 44 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 5; Jul: 19 ; Aug: 17 ; Sep: 
EWR: 48 (Apr: 0 ; May: 4 ; Jun 6 ; Jul: 20; Aug: 17; Sep: 
TTN: 30 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: 13; Sep: 
LGA: 30 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3  ; Jun: 3; Jul : 11; Aug: 13; Sep: 
ACY: 33 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 3 ; Jul: 16; Aug: 12; Sep: 
TEB: 35 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun : 3 ; Jul: 13 ; Aug: 16; Sep: 
NYC: 24 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun:1 ; Jul:  10 ; Aug: 11; Sep: 
JFK: 16 (Apr: 0 ; May: 1 ; Jun: 1; Jul: 9 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: 
ISP: 13 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 5  ; Aug: 5; Sep: 

New Brunswick: 40 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 3; Jul: 17; Aug: 17; Sep: )
BLM: 28 (Apr: 0; May: 4 ; Jun: 2 ; Jul: 12 ; Aug: 10) 

89 Degree Days:

NYC: 4
TEB: 1
PHL: 4
New Brsnswk: 4
ACY: 3
JFK: 7
LGA: 1
TTN: 5
BLM: 4
EWR: 3
ISP: 7

 

 

8/29

PHL: 92
New Brnswck: 92
TEB: 90
TTN: 90
LGA: 87
EWR: 87
ACY: 86
BLM: 86
JFK: 85
NYC: 85
ISP: 84

Up to 92 here.  

Clearing

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

78 / 69 onshore Easrtly flow with clouds starting to burn off.  Brief 'cooler' day today capped in the low/mid 80s before more warmth builds back Mon (8/29) Tue (8/30) and Wed (8/31) with more chance at 90s as the drier conditions and sunny skies should allow temps to over perform guidance.  Two day cool down by Sep 1 and 2nd before warming back up labor day weekend.  Overall warm to hot at times into next month.

8/27

PHL: 93
New Brnswck: 92
JFK: 91
EWR: 91
TTN: 90
NYC: 90
ISP: 90
TEB: 89
ACY: 89
LGA: 88
BLM: 86

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2022:

PHL: 43 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 5; Jul: 19 ; Aug: 16 ; Sep: 
EWR: 48 (Apr: 0 ; May: 4 ; Jun 6 ; Jul: 20; Aug: 17; Sep: 
TTN: 29 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: 12; Sep: 
LGA: 30 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3  ; Jun: 3; Jul : 11; Aug: 13; Sep: 
ACY: 33 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 3 ; Jul: 16; Aug: 12; Sep: 
TEB: 34 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun : 3 ; Jul: 13 ; Aug: 15; Sep: 
NYC: 24 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun:1 ; Jul:  10 ; Aug: 11; Sep: 
JFK: 16 (Apr: 0 ; May: 1 ; Jun: 1; Jul: 9 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: 
ISP: 13 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 5  ; Aug: 5; Sep: 

New Brunswick: 39 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 3; Jul: 17; Aug: 16; Sep: )
BLM: 28 (Apr: 0; May: 4 ; Jun: 2 ; Jul: 12 ; Aug: 10) 

89 Degree Days:

NYC: 4
TEB: 1
PHL: 4
New Brsnswk: 4
ACY: 3
JFK: 7
LGA: 1
TTN: 5
BLM: 4
EWR: 3
ISP: 7

 

 

8/27

PHL: 93
New Brnswck: 92
JFK: 91
EWR: 91
TTN: 90
NYC: 90
ISP: 90
TEB: 89
ACY: 89
LGA: 88
BLM: 86