SACRUS

54 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

the major heat is still coming but thursday looks wetter and cooler with barry's remnants having trended stronger on the euro

Been tracking the track and timing if the remnants and see a scenario where clouds and storms come in Wed PM and linger into Thu. 

82/58 here just a perfect summer day.

10 AM:

ACY: 80
New Brunswick: 80
TEB: 79
EWR: 79
PHL: 79
LGA: 78
JFK: 78
ISP: 
BLM: 77
NYC: 76
TTN: 76
 

Today will have full sunshine and may allow temps to over perform.

10AM:   79 here bright sunshine

Today will be the last day with 850MB Temps below 16C till about Jul 24/25th where most days between 7/16 - 7/24 will see 850 temps  18-22C, peaking next weekend at 23-24C. 

Wed/Thu (7/17-18) : I still think the timing of the remnants of Barry, even if very limited,  limit high temp maxes  Wed/Thu with clouds coming in Wed PM and lingering part of or most of Thu.  These things always come in ahead of models. Despite the clouds temps should still make 90 in most places and DTemps will push into the mid to upper 70s so quite oppressive even if maxes are cut short from clouds.

Fri - Mon (7/19-22) : the heat is on and possible some records during the hottest time of the year, although most of these, especially 2011 look safe but time will tell.

Records:

7/19:
NYC: 102 (1977)
EWR: 100 (2013)
LGA: 100 (2013)
JFK: 97 (1963)
TTN: 99 (1991)
ISP:93 (2013)
PHL: 100 (1930)

7/20:
NYC: 101 (1980)
EWR: 101 (1980)
LGA:  101 (1991)
JFK: 96 (2013)
TTN:  99 (1991)
ISP: 97 (1991)
PHL: 99 (1930)
 

7.21:
NYC:  104 (1977)
EWR: 103 (2011)
LGA: 100 (1991)
JFK: 99 (1991)
TTN: 101 (1930)
ISP: 101 (1991)
PHL: 100 (1930)

7/22:
NYC:  104 (2011)
EWR:  108 (2011)
LGA:  104 (2011)
JFK: 103 (2011)
TTN: 106 (2011)
ISP: 100 (2011)
PHL: 103 (2011)
 

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

Islip hit 94

thanks the maxes hadnt updated yet

7/14:

ISP: 94
EWR: 92
ACY: 92
LGA: 92
TEB: 91
JFK: 91
PHL: 91
New Brunswick: 91
BLM: 90
NYC: 89
TTN: 89

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2019:

PHL: 12 (April: 0; May: 1  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 7; Aug:  ; Sep:  )
EWR: 11 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 4 ; Jul:  6; Aug: ; Sep:  )
TTN: 6 (April: ; May:  ; June: 3; Jul: 3 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
LGA: 8 (April: 0; May: ; June: 4 ; Jul: 4; Aug: ; Sep: )
ACY: 12 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 5 ; Jul:  5; Aug:  ; Sep: )
TEB: 11 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 7  ; Aug: ; Sep:  )
NYC: 3 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 1 ; Jul: 2; Aug:  ; Sep: )
JFK: 3 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1; Jul: 2 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
ISP: 4 (April: 0; May: ; June: 2 ; Jul: 2; Aug:  ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 5 (April: , May: , June: 3, July: 2; Aug: ;Sep: ;  )

89 degree days

EWR: 3
PHL: 2
LGA: 5
New Brnswck: 5
NYC: 3
JFK: 3
TEB: 1
ISP: 1
ACY: 1
TTN: 1

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

7/14:

ISP: 94
EWR: 92
ACY: 92
LGA: 92
TEB: 91
JFK: 91
PHL: 91
New Brunswick: 91
BLM: 90
NYC: 89
TTN: 89

2 minutes ago, Isotherm said:

5th swing and miss here with a 89.2F high. Leveled off at 88F now. It's become the season of 89s here. TTN also 89 today it appears.

Southern half of the state dealt with quite hazy and cloudy conditions.  Made to 91 here closer to the New Brunswick reading than TTN here.  It hasn’t been the two weeks of 88,89 for sure .  

1PM Roundup;

ISP: 91
ACY: 91
LGA: 90
EWR: 90
JFK:
New Brunswick: 89
TEB: 89
PHL: 89
BLM: 88
NYC: 88
TTN: 87

13 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

86.0* here at Noon.

I think July 26 will be a big clash of air masses day and then nature will spend the rest of the month  taking back a warmest ever July or a Top Ten finish, we seemed destined for now.

7/25-28 (still way out there) seems to break the heat.  It'll be interesting to see if it may be just a temp reprieve before more heat the last few days.  

More filtered sun and clouds now but up to 88 here in CNJ.

11AM Roundup;

ACY: 89
ISP: 89
JFK: 88
TEB: 87
EWR: 87
BLM: 86
PHL: 86
LGA: 85
TTN: 85
New Brunswck: 85
NYC: 84

Outside of rain/storms (clouds) most guidance has heat potential of 850 temps 16C or greater through 7/24 before the tail end of the long range pushes a trough into the east.

Many 88 and 89 degree days of the last 2 weeks should see now lower to mid 90s this week outside wed and/or thu (Barry's remnants).  Guidance brings the remnants east wed evening into Thu but expect things to speed up as they always do and that may keep wed more cloudy and part or majority of thu, beyond there fri-sun (next weekend 7/19 - 7/21) look very hot around the hottest time of the year... 

90 degree days 7/14 - 7/24 projections, i feel the continued theme of rain/clouds will keep 2-4 days below 90 but quite oppressive (dewpoints)

EWR: 7
LGA: 7
NYC: 3 or 4

95+ days

EWR: 2
LGA: 3
NYC: 2

7/13:

EWR: 89
LGA: 89
TEB: 88
New Bnswk: 88
ACY: 88
PHL: 88
BLM: 87
TTN: 86
ISP: 85
JFK: 85
NYC: 85
 

3PM 

EWR: 87
PHL: 87
LGA: 86
TEB: 869
New Brunswck: 86
BLM: 85
JFK: 84
NYC: 84
TTN: 84
ISP: 83

2PM becoming mostly sunny now

LGA: 86
EWR: 86
ACY: 86
TEB: 85
PHL: 85
New Brunswick: 85
BLM: 85
JFK: 84
NYC: 84
ISP: 84
TTN: 83

 

1PM ;

BLM: 85
EWR: 85
ACY: 84
ISP: 83
PHL: 83
LGA: 83
JFK: 83
TEB: 83
New Brunswick:  83
NYC: 82
TTN: 81

ECM has the center of Barry's remnants near IL/KY Wed morning then tracking east later Wed / Thu.  Should this timing hold up id expect tue and maybe wed to soar to the mid/upper 90s  with a wetter wed pm/ thu.  Beyond there ECM wants to pump the ridge into Mid west which would keep things warm - hot here and potentially feature consistent storms.  betting a warm and wetter is the way to go.

GFS and ECM with 850 temps of 18-21C Wed - Fri (7/17-19) next week.  Remnants of Barry nearby should equate to more clouds and storms but if one of those 3 days see mostly sunny conditions could see some upper 90s.  Beyond there (7/22 - late July) overall hot setup continues 

7/12:

ACY: 90
EWR: 90
ISP: 90
JFK: 90
TEB: 90
New Brunswick: 89
LGA: 89
PHL: 89
BLM: 88
NYC: 87
TTN: 87

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2019:

PHL: 11 (April: 0; May: 1  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 6; Aug:  ; Sep:  )
EWR: 10 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 4 ; Jul:  5; Aug: ; Sep:  )
TTN: 6 (April: ; May:  ; June: 3; Jul: 3 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
LGA: 7 (April: 0; May: ; June: 4 ; Jul: 3; Aug: ; Sep: )
ACY: 11 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 5 ; Jul:  4; Aug:  ; Sep: )
TEB: 10 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 4 ; Jul: 6  ; Aug: ; Sep:  )
NYC: 3 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 1 ; Jul: 2; Aug:  ; Sep: )
JFK: 2 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1; Jul: 1 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
ISP: 3 (April: 0; May: ; June: 2 ; Jul: 1; Aug:  ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 4 (April: , May: , June: 3, July: 1; Aug: ;Sep: ;  )

89 degree days

EWR: 2
PHL: 2
LGA: 4
New Brnswck: 5
NYC: 2
JFK: 3
TEB: 1
ISP: 1
ACY: 1

 

7/12:

ACY: 90
EWR: 90
ISP: 90
JFK: 90
TEB: 90
New Brunswick: 89
LGA: 89
PHL: 89
BLM: 88
NYC: 87
TTN: 87

2PM;

EWR: 89
LGA: 88
ACY: 88
ISP: 87
New Brunswick: 87
PHL: 87
JFK: 87
TEB: 87
BLM: 86
TTN: 86

NYC: 82

Despite the clouds temps still warm and some of the warmer spots may snatch another 90 especially if skies clear a bit more later this afternoon.

1PM;

ISP: 87
ACY: 87
New Brunswick: 86
PHL: 86
BLM: 86
JFK: 85
TEB: 85
LGA: 85
TTN: 85
NYC: 84
EWR: 84

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

First, we get the heavy convection tonight with the tropical PWAT feed down to Barry and front. 0z Euro shifted the track of Barry to our south next week. So it gives us more rain and less heat than earlier runs. The further south track may be a result of the continuing record -NAO streak. So the exact Barry track will determine how much heat and rain we get. 

New run

Old run

Agreed and have been of the belief the caveat in extreme heat next week Tue - Sat will be the remnants of the system in the Gulf and its eventual trek east.  You have to imagine a day or two of clouds and storms to low the heat punch.    Either way even beyond there (7/21 and beyond) looks to continue hot with 850s 16-20.  So heat if anything may ne delayed or shortened but not denied.