SACRUS

83 here at 9:!5

36 minutes ago, uncle W said:

after today the June average temperature in NYC should be 71.4...the 1991-2010 30 year average is 71.7...this could be another month that's below average but above normal....

I flunked flank.

6/28:

LGA: 93
PHL: 93
TEB: 92
New Brunswck: 91
ACY: 91
TTN: 91
EWR: 90
ISP: 90
NYC: 89
BLM: 88
JFK: 88

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2019:

PHL: 4 (April: 0; May: 1  ; June: 3 ; Jul: ; Aug:  ; Sep:  )
EWR: 4 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 3 ; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep:  )
TTN: 2 (April: ; May:  ; June: 2; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep: )
LGA: 3  (April: 0; May: ; June: 3 ; Jul: ; Aug: ; Sep: )
ACY:  5 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 3 ; Jul:  ; Aug:  ; Sep: )
TEB: 3 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 3 ; Jul:   ; Aug: ; Sep:  )
NYC: (April: 0; May:  ; June: ; Jul: ; Aug:  ; Sep: )
JFK: 1 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep: )
ISP: 1 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1 ; Jul: ; Aug:  ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 2 (April: , May: , June: 2, July: ; Aug: ;Sep: ;  )

89 degree days

EWR: 1
PHL: 1
LGA: 2
New Brnswck: 1
NYC: 2

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

6/28:

LGA: 93
PHL: 93
TEB: 92
New Brunswck: 91
ACY: 91
TTN: 91
EWR: 90
ISP: 90
NYC: 89
BLM: 88
JFK: 88

14 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Interesting that City and NJ terminals are all reporting EAST winds, and LI terminals North winds...very weird. 

ENE here in CNJ running a degree within Thu at same time.

11AM Roundup:

TEB: 91
ACY: 88
JFK: 87
EWR: 87
PHL: 87
New Brunswck: 87
BLM: 85
 ISP: 85
TTN: 85
LGA: 85
NYC: 84
 

No july thread yet but looking ahead to jul 4 - 7 (Thu - Sun) could be the next heatwave for the area.  Wed (7/3) warmer spots could touch 90 but more widespread on the 4th into the next weekend.

10AM ROundup; Hot in the city today

ACY: 88
JFK: 85
TEB: 85
EWR: 85
LGA: 84
BLM: 84
TTN: 84
New Brnswick: 84
PHL: 82
NYC: 82
ISP: 79

Jul 4th week 6/29 - 7/6 looking very summery  aside from storms overnight Sat - Sun & Tues night looking mainly warm - hot / dry. 7/4:  85 - 90
 

6/27:

PHL: 92
BLM: 92
New Brnswck: 91
EWR: 91
JFK: 91
ACY: 91
LGA: 90
TEB: 90
TTN: 90
NYC: 89
ISP: 88

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2019:

PHL: 3 (April: 0; May: 1  ; June: 2 ; Jul: ; Aug:  ; Sep:  )
EWR: 3 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 2 ; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep:  )
TTN: 1 (April: ; May:  ; June: 1; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep: )
LGA: 2  (April: 0; May: ; June: 2 ; Jul: ; Aug: ; Sep: )
ACY:  4 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 2 ; Jul:  ; Aug:  ; Sep: )
TEB: 2 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 2 ; Jul:   ; Aug: ; Sep:  )
NYC: (April: 0; May:  ; June: ; Jul: ; Aug:  ; Sep: )
JFK: 1 (April: 0; May: ; June: 1; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep: )
ISP:  (April: 0; May: ; June:  ; Jul: ; Aug:  ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 1 (April: , May: , June: 1, July: ; Aug: ;Sep: ;  )

89 degree days

EWR: 1
PHL: 1
LGA: 2
New Brnswck: 1
NYC: 1

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

6/27:

PHL: 92
BLM: 92
New Brnswck: 91
EWR: 91
JFK: 91
ACY: 91
LGA: 90
TEB: 90
TTN: 90
NYC: 89
ISP: 88

1000AM:

EWR: 86
TEB: 85
LGA: 85
BLM: 85
New brnswick: 85
ISP: 84
TTN: 83
JFK: 82

NYC: 81

6/26

ACY: 91
EWR: 91
TEB: 91
PHL: 90
LGA: 90
New Brnswick: 89
BLM: 89
TTN: 88
ISP: 87
NYC: 87
JFK: 86

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2019:

PHL: 2 (April: 0; May: 1  ; June: 1 ; Jul: ; Aug:  ; Sep:  )
EWR: 2 (April: 0; May: 1 ; June: 1 ; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep:  )
TTN: (April: ; May:  ; June: ; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep: )
LGA: 1  (April: 0; May: ; June: 1 ; Jul: ; Aug: ; Sep: )
ACY:  2 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 1 ; Jul:  ; Aug:  ; Sep: )
TEB: 1 (April: 0; May:  ; June: 1 ; Jul:   ; Aug: ; Sep:  )
NYC: (April: 0; May:  ; June: ; Jul: ; Aug:  ; Sep: )
JFK:  (April: 0; May: ; June: ; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep: )
ISP:  (April: 0; May: ; June:  ; Jul: ; Aug:  ; Sep: )
New Bnswk:  (April: , May: , June: , July: ; Aug: ;Sep: ;  )

89 degree days

EWR: 1
PHL: 1
LGA: 2
New Brnswck: 1

 

6/26

ACY: 91
EWR: 91
TEB: 91
PHL: 90
LGA: 90
New Brnswick: 89
BLM: 89
TTN: 88
ISP: 87
NYC: 87
JFK: 86

10AM Roundup

New Brnswick: 82
TEB: 82
EWR: 82
JFK: 81
ACY: 81
LGA: 80
PHL: 79
TTN: 79
ISP: 78
NYC: 78
BLM: 78

First widespread 90s for many (even the park?) the next 4 days ahead of the next front sunday.  July 4th week 7/1-7/5 and beyond looking warm starting 7/3.

June dep thru 6/25

PHL: -0.1
TTN: -0.3
LGA: -0.4
EWR: -0.6
NYC: -0.7
JFK: -0.7

6/25 Highs

ACY: 89
EWR: 88
PHL: 88
New Brnswick: 88
TEB: 88
LGA: 87
TTN: 87
BLM: 86
NYC: 84
JFK: 81
ISP: 74
 

On 6/19/2019 at 5:44 AM, SACRUS said:

Still a ways away (15 days) but latest guidance hinting at height rising and 850 temps of 16-18, signalling a warm Independence day.  Details and any storms or fronts / timing to be worked out.

Shaping up to be a a warm 4th of July .  Coming weekend looks hot Saturday with CF some time sunday with a cooler Mon (7/1)  and warming Tue (7/2) and hot wed 7/3) and thu (7/4)

Still need to work out timing with an storms beyond Sunday (6/30)

Thu - Sat potential first heatvwave and a wamer-hotter independence day / weekend looks possible...  

6/24 Highs

TEB: 89
EWR: 87
LGA: 86
TTN: 86
BLM: 86
New Brnswick: 86
PHL: 86
ACY: 85
ISP: 84
NYC: 84
JFK: 83

Glorious day

6/23 Highs

EWR: 87
LGA: 86
TEB: 86
JFK: 85
New Brunswick: 85
ACY: 85
BLM: 84
PHL: 84
ISP: 84
TTN: 83

NYC: 83
 

6 hours ago, bluewave said:

The chart I posted is for the entire CONUS, not NYC metro specifically. Warm minimums make it difficult to get cool monthly departures here during the warm season. We would b at -2.0 right now if the minimums kept pace with the maximums.

June so far

NYC

Max...-2.0....Min....-0.2....avg....-1.1

LGA

Max...-2.2....Min....+0.5....avg....-0.9

EWR

Max...-2.0....Min.....+0.4....avg....-0.8

Saw that , just pointing out similar June departures last 5 years.  This year may wind up being warmer.

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Coolest first 3 weeks of June during the 2010’s for the CONUS.

https://mobile.twitter.com/commoditywx/status/1142137469015613441

The latest June demand estimate of 237 national population weighted cooling degree days is the lowest/coolest reading since 2009's 230 result, ten years ago.

 

 

 

This June should finish equal or warmer overall  (departures) than 2012 - 2018 despite the wetness and lack of heat.

EWR: -0.7 (thru 6/22) so far

EWR Jun Departures

2018:  -0.3
2017: +0.3
2016:  +0.3
2015:  -0.4
2014:  +0.4
2013: +0.9
2012:  +0.1
2011: +2.0
2010:  +3.8

Between the rain and cooler week days the weekends have been mostly very nice since Memorial Day and today is shaping up to be one of the nicest.

Sunny an 80 here.

Believe THu - Fri /Sat (6/27-29) finally offer a shot at widespread 90s and the first for many. 

Models a bit more split now  on next weekend and fourth of July week so more to come as we progress through this week.