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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. Yep, it seems to have "found" the cad a little better now
  2. This is my fear of where the problems will truly occur. Wind picks up as this storm pumps on exit...After we have coated trees and power lines from the zr precip. Sunday noon and after could just be one breakage and compiling catastrophe after another.
  3. Not really the meso area of our wedge will behave differently in this evolving situation than what is happening west of the apps.
  4. With these temps currently modeled I think so.
  5. Yeah, but seems to almost reflect the wedge the best like we are used to seeing in the classic fashion.
  6. I saw where a certain met stated the gfs is poor at capturing the surface waves like depicted in this event vs say the euro or ukmet. Any truth to that?
  7. BamWx guy sees this as some sort cutter xfer more or less with snow well north but we will have some cad effects in nc/sc/ga but no snow out of it.
  8. Some of those panels have rain pretty far inland
  9. Maybe but that warming inland trend needs to stop and we have 3 more days still.
  10. Have to like where that vort's headed. Could change on next run again though.
  11. The foothills drought is just as real as my 3.1 inches. Just to help you keep it in perspective
  12. Inside 8hrs which tends to be more reliable RAP or HRRR?
  13. apples & walnuts. Poor comparison, but I'll just leave it at that.
  14. So by that logic if no models were showing a warm nose in the area then mets would still forecast a warm nose somewhere?
  15. Be nice if the 18z GEFS can also have the 850s south of Wake county
  16. Eric dropped this one in another place... It's also a mean at 36
  17. 12z gfs looks like nam-12km as well with 850s up in northern wake
  18. The NAM looks like lots of mixing but maybe I'm not looking at the latest one.
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