buckeyefan1

Meanwhile, there is plenty of time for this raging ice storm to become a severe weather event or wintertime fun

It's like the state farm commercial.....you almost had it

The up is a beautiful place

Now you're just rubbing it in

****Trigger Warning****

SPC ...Day5/Saturday - Mid South and the Tennessee Valley to the Southern Appalachians... Severe weather will likely be ongoing at the beginning of the period from the early morning thunderstorms across Arkansas and vicinity. There may be a slight lull in storm coverage/intensity during the diurnal minimum Saturday morning, as the lead wave continues northeastward and the primary trough approaches from the west. However, by midday, significant height falls will start to overspread the warm sector and widespread storm development is anticipated. The location of overnight convection will have a significant impact on the zones within the broader risk area where a higher severe weather threat will exist. However, all guidance shows a broad warm sector with a broad 50 knot low-level jet, which would foster an environment favorable for all severe weather types. The greatest uncertainties are related to the northward extent of the risk and the surface low track. Given the widespread convection expected north of the warm front, a convectively reinforced warm front could set up farther south than the surface low track may suggest. Also, global guidance still varies with the intensity and location of the surface-low as it tracks northeast. The track and intensity of this surface-low will have some impact on the storm evolution and intensity within the warm sector, especially as it relates to storm mode and the tornado threat. Maintained 15 percent probabilities from the previous Day 6 forecast with an expansion on the southern and eastern extent to account for the threat continuing late Saturday night. ...Day6/Sunday - Portions of the Southeast into the Carolinas... A severe-weather threat will likely persist into the Southeast and Carolinas after 12Z on Sunday, but the magnitude of the threat varies greatly. Most guidance shows a remnant squall line moving through the region. With extensive cloud cover, slightly lower moisture quality, and decreasing ascent, a significant severe threat would not necessarily be most likely. However, there is still considerable uncertainty during the Day 6 timeframe, and several of the GEFS members, including the operational GFS, have a deepening surface cyclone somewhere east of the Appalachians on Sunday. This would lead to a more significant severe-weather threat than ECMWF guidance would suggest and will need to be monitored as a possibility. ..Bentley.. 12/28/2021

76 yesterday at GSP and it was a beautiful morning for a hike

If it would dig just a touch more.......sigh

I agree. It's just that tiny spot in southern California that makes me salty

Aren't we all at this point

It's soooooo close to being everything we are looking for. Sigh. Maybe I need to ask my witchy friends to come over for a winter fun ceremony and banish that depressing death ridge

Happy festivus!!

Ewwwwwwwwwwwww

I should've verified what the nbc weather person said this morning on tv Thanks for the correction.

While most of the states continue to search for any sign of old man winter, northern Egypt recorded their first ever snow with a trace

Indeed

Nice to see you posting beautiful lady! IKR?! I'm taking consolation in the fact that the NE/MA weenies are suffering too

It's soooooo close, yet soooooooooo far

*raises glass* Here's to an amazing New Year filled with winter mayhem, long range systems that verify and weather weenie friends to experience it with

Sooooo freaking frustrating to be so close, yet so far

I'm sad you had to cancel For sure the pups will be glad to go hiking instead of relaxing at their B&B I'm opening up a map of about a 100 mile radius, closing my eyes and letting the curser land wherever and that's where I will go.