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LithiaWx

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Posts posted by LithiaWx

  1. 35 minutes ago, yotaman said:

    Oh what a miserable day today. Already 96/77 for a HI of 113. Hoping for a good T-storm today.

    Do you use a home thermometer to report your temps?  NWS says new bern is 91/75/102 with a high of 92 today. 

  2. 6 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

    Through 2 pm, record temperatures included:

    Augusta: 100° (old record: 99°, 1964)
    Charleston, SC: 99° (old record: 97°, 1964 and 1967)
    Columbia, SC: 100° (old record: 99°, 1914)
    Myrtle Beach, SC: 97° (old record: 95°, 1989)
    Savannah: 99° (old record: 96°, 1898 and 1964)

    Cities within 2° of their daily record included: Atlanta: (92°), Macon (97°), Tallahassee: (98°), and Wilmington, NC (96°)

     

    KATL did tie the record high of 94 later in the afternoon.

     

    I believe that is four days in a row with record highs in Atlanta. It’s been awfully hot. 

    • Like 1
  3. 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said:

    That's very impressive. The 101° at Savannah tied the May record (May 30, 1898 and May 31, 1945). It was also the hottest there this early in the season. The 100° at Wilmington was also that city's hottest May temperature on record.

    Atlanta high for today was set later this afternoon again today when it hit 95.  That breaks the old high of 94.  

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  4. 38 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

    Select records for today included:

    Atlanta: 94° (tied record set in 1911 and tied in 1916 and 1936)
    Charleston, SC: 100° (old record: 98°, 1953) **Hottest since July 13, 2016 when the temperature also hit 100°**
    Columbia, SC: 100° (tied record set in 1953)
    Raleigh: 94° (tied record set in 1953)
    Savannah: 101° (old record: 100°, 1953) ** Hottest since June 20, 2011 when the temperature also hit 101°**
    Wilmington, NC: 100° (old record: 98°, 1953) **Hottest since June 16, 2015 when the temperature also hit 100°**

    Macon, GA came in at 100.  That is the all time may record high now.  Broke the old record of 99

    • Like 1
  5. 5 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

    Updated for Atlanta:

    Through May 21, Atlanta has a mean temperature of 73.3°. May 1-21, 2019 is tied with 2015  for the 12th warmest such period on record. Records go back to 1879.

    Based on applying sensitivity analysis to the latest guidance, there is an implied 71% probability that May 2019 will become the warmest May on record. The record warm average temperature for May is 74.8°, which was set in 1996 and tied in 2018. May 2019 appears very likely to finish with a mean temperature somewhere from 75.0° to 76.7°.

    Thank you Don.  I steady 5-7 days of 93-97 is on the way.   Very early for a prolonged heatwave like that. 

    • Like 1
  6. 13 minutes ago, jburns said:

    FYI, Reporting John Wow in a storm thread probably is a waste of time. Even more than once.

    When someone has an opinion I don’t like my first reaction is to report them in hopes of censoring the voice.  I can’t just read and move on I must make sure I do everything possible to make sure nobody can see it.

     

    Deep thoughts by Jack Handey

  7. 2 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

    Here is the definition for moderate from SPC.  I'd say it fit the bill.

     

    100% met the first part of that statement.  The second half is prefaced with (usually reserved for) probably can be debated if there were widespread damaging winds.  Didn’t see reports of intense tornadoes (I believe this is EF2+) but if there were widespread damaging winds then you don’t need that part.  Since it’s prefaced with (usually reserved for) probably don’t need the widespread damaging winds either.  

  8. 25 minutes ago, jburns said:

    It's what we do now. Things that used to be just a bad weather day have become state of emergencies.  The news blares headlines about 80 million people being in the path of severe weather or a bomb cyclone is about to rake the nation.  I can't find a local TV news outlet where the anchor just gives the news instead of delivering a dramatic reading. There is no doubt we have magnitudes of  information above a generation ago. Too bad 90% of it is bullshit and hype.

    Leave it to teach to eloquently sum up what I was trying to convey. 

  9. WxSouth has turned to the darkside.  The event was definitely overhyped and a bust in that sense.  Sure there were tornadoes and wind damage but the event was supposed to encompass much more than just NC and even there it seemed it was progged to be worse than what was actual reality. 

  10. 28 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

    The LLJ is literally record setting over NC tomorrow for this time of the year especially the eastern half of the state with 925 winds 50-60 knts and 850's over 70-75 knts......a strong rain shower will mix that down so I think it is possible to see winds at least 40-50 along the line even where the storms are weakest...with plenty of 55-75 reports mixed in.

    The latest HRRR is rough, semi discrete line with a following squall line....the timing sucks too would put it around 4-8pm on a Friday when it is crossing central/eastern NC.....

    1560833545_HRRRMA_prec_radar_018(1).png.6ff4d1a9f409253a13b3fb2cdc9aee1f.png

    Where can records be found for these LLJ winds?

     

    Wind is very hard to estimate but the line that came through here was whipping would not have been surprised if it was 40-45mph for a brief time. 

  11. 11 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

    Yeah if ever there was a setup for widespread straight line wind damage this is it....to add to that this last frame from the last HRRR run has a lot of small semi discrete cells right where you dont wanna see them...

    HRRRMA_prec_radar_018.png.a8d95c3deab0b27d1c7447010d2239c7.png

    Widspread straight line wind event hopefully is an overstatement.  I’m seeing wind damage as well but more being drawn down in the stronger cells as opposed to a derecho event.  I haven’t seen guidance showing a derecho but that doesn't mean it isn’t there either. 

  12. 3 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:

    We are in the dead of night and they are moving quicker, no surprise

    it was hyped up pretty decently.  Midnight isn’t exactly the dead of night either,  it’s not like it’s 5am.  Jmo,  hopefully for those who like severe things will crank up farther east into eastern NC tomorrow with some heat and less north to south orientation of the dynamics. 

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