Larimer and Weld doing quite well, it is getting heavy up here. Radar seems to be filling in east and southeast of Denver, so I think everyone eventually gets into the party.
Estes is in a bowl shaped valley. There are no hotels nearby in any direction, so you are probably as close as you can get without sleeping in a car . Sometimes that little bowl makes a small difference, sometimes no effect.
The para has been looking really weird for the past couple of runs. For example, going from Boulder up to Nederland the QPF actually drops with elevation. Generally a similar look up and down the front range. Odd. Maybe not as juicy column?
Here is a link to a weather station and webcam from one of my neighbors, north of Estes Park by about 8 miles and in a prime spot to perform in this storm. A bit foggy currently. http://www.retreatweather.com/West-Image.php
Very thick fog up here. I live on a steep sloping hill side, and cannot see the bottom of my property which is about 300' down. Definitely getting moist out there.
12z HRRR is ticking up for Denver and points north by an additional .5", and an additional 1" in the foothills.
Does anyone have any ideas on why the Para GFS is outputting lower QPF in the foothills than those down along the urban corridor? Quite odd.
Welcome to EP. Yes the fog has been thick since yesterday afternoon. Which hotel did you choose? Hint: Claire's downtown or the Notchtop have the best breakfasts :).