ValpoVike

Flood warning for central Douglas county for up to 3" have already fallen. Congrats Smokey! Moving north to my backyard, we have a flood advisory. Picked up a very fast 0.60" and still coming. My July total just crossed 3", with >95% of that over the past 10 days.

Back building rapidly too.

You guys have some nice storms building from the SW. Be sure to unplug the force field projector.

I get both of your frustrations, and it seems like you have lived in a donut hole for the past couple of years. I was only responding to comments regarding the monsoon bust, which it clearly is not busting. Obviously, the SE metro begs to differ but that is more localized rather than indicative of the status of the region as a whole.

I just picked up 0.81” in under 40 minutes.

Usually the peak is late July thru most of August. There are also a lot of misconceptions about the monsoon. It typically affects the high country and occasionally storms push down into the plains.

Perhaps you should examine your expectations and not over-index on social or broadcast media. But even with that said I have noticed several Mets on social media being careful to say that not everyone will get rain on any particular day. Today a lot of people west of the metro would disagree with you. Except for Friday and partially Saturday, many locations have seen good precipitation. That goes for the past 2 weeks actually. Also, it is more of a pattern and not an event. The pattern allows storms to form on the western slopes.

I agree that this is pretty typical for Monsoon-time. The monsoon doesn't produce days and days of widespread heavy rain aside from a few lucky spots....but in years where it fails, it has severe consequences and it's absence has a remarkable effect. A big example is the 2020 "non-soon" which essentially created a summer of very low humidity + heat and that didn't end well.

For sure, northern front range did very well this week. Even Thornton did quite well. Sorry you guys didn’t.

I picked up 0.42" on Tuesday night about 30 minutes after the start of the dry lightning storm, and 0.80" on Wednesday. Today looks like a repeat of yesterday, so really pleased so far. After today, it looks like a couple of days of limited moisture up here then rain chances go up again Sunday thru most of next week.

Currently, we have the biggest dry lightning storm I have ever seen up here. Continuous ground to lightning, in every direction. It had better rain.

One thing comes immediately to mind, and that is criteria for Red Flag. One of the criteria for RF conditions is RH values roughly <20% along with wind and fuel conditions. Temp and dewpoint can vary, but as long as that criteria is met despite temp/dewpoint variations then the conditions meet one requirement for RF warnings.

I also had been missing out with storms going north and south of me, and mostly by a wide margin. However this morning we had a nice, gentle 3 hour rain. It only amounted to 0.19" but I'll take it.

The stratosphere has high ozone concentrations. My understanding is that in spring and early summer, intrusions are fairly common in mountain areas due to altitude. It also lowers RH substantially. Maybe a met can chime in with more details and some insight on the mechanics which I would love to understand.