ValpoVike

They held it at 150kts for the 5pm.

Yes, should have said westward progress. It seems to have started wobbling south and a bit north rather than westward. But, definitely hard to tell.

It looks like it is starting now from last several frames of satellite. It seems to have slowed down significantly.

The shift east is concerning for Kingston. Melissa will be approaching from an angle that could inundate Kingston with storm surge.

That track would be quite disastrous for Jamaica as it rakes most of the island with the front right quadrant. Not to mention the huge amount of moisture that will be lifted and squeezed out by the mountains.

Both the euro and gfs had this late last week for the 16th, but then lost it. Fingers crossed!

Way too early but I can’t resist. Models are showing the first snowfall for the front range mid month.

Yes and good amounts of rain. I have picked up .64” from a couple of rounds. Radar shows more coming from central CO.

LOL I was thinking exactly the same thing this morning! Arguing about climate on a weather forum reminds me of a quote from Dr Strangelove. “Gentlemen, there will be no fighting in the war room!”

Not to brag, well maybe just a little, but it has been a good summer for moisture up here. I closed out July with 2.3”. It has been a bit dry in mid August but have picked up .4” recently and I am rather optimistic for more over the next few days.

I had a feeling this post would put a voodoo curse on us. The view from here this afternoon.

Oh, just wow. That is so frustrating. I did quite well yesterday and picked up .90", which brings the July total up to exactly 2.00". It looks like more today and tomorrow is quite likely up here.

Sorry to hear that, you have seemed to have a force field over you for as long as I can remember. Up here, we have done pretty well over the past couple of days and have picked up .53". Not huge, but I will always be happy on any summer day when I pick up over .1"

There were some slow moving storms and a bit of training in central Larimer and my area was put under a FF Warning due to the risk of burn scar flooding. A couple of miles north of me between 1.5"-2" dropped, however at my house I only clocked .04". I'm ok with that as May was very good for me, and thankfully there was no significant flooding from all of that rain falling over the Miller Fork in the burn scar. A couple of years ago, receiving as little as a quarter inch resulted in washed out roads.

This isn’t likely to happen. There is a huge blob of SAL east of the lesser Antilles that will likely be migrating into the gulf ahead of this time period.