ValpoVike

About 5" up here, pretty much aligning with the forecast yesterday. I did get to get my new plow out on the UTV to test it

Yes, even a half inch should accomplish that.

It has been consistent. Snowfall is bouncing around though.

To pile on, I made my winter tire swap appointment for next Saturday, so yep.

LOL, it's been in the 60's up here in the Estes Valley all week. Frankly, I am not complaining yet as I have a suspicion that that winter will come on strong in December.

The models wavered a bit over the past few days, but have now picked this back up. Fingers crossed that we finally get some snow in the lower elevations next week.

They held it at 150kts for the 5pm.

Yes, should have said westward progress. It seems to have started wobbling south and a bit north rather than westward. But, definitely hard to tell.

It looks like it is starting now from last several frames of satellite. It seems to have slowed down significantly.

The shift east is concerning for Kingston. Melissa will be approaching from an angle that could inundate Kingston with storm surge.

That track would be quite disastrous for Jamaica as it rakes most of the island with the front right quadrant. Not to mention the huge amount of moisture that will be lifted and squeezed out by the mountains.

Both the euro and gfs had this late last week for the 16th, but then lost it. Fingers crossed!

Way too early but I can’t resist. Models are showing the first snowfall for the front range mid month.

Yes and good amounts of rain. I have picked up .64” from a couple of rounds. Radar shows more coming from central CO.

LOL I was thinking exactly the same thing this morning! Arguing about climate on a weather forum reminds me of a quote from Dr Strangelove. “Gentlemen, there will be no fighting in the war room!”