pasnownut

of course Im jipped again....

Nah...we good. Really was more of an expansion N w/ QPF fields. Look at southern edge. It pretty much held. That either gives us wiggle room, or I could see this norther adjustment tick back south a bit. T-12 hrs till we know. 6z 12z

and fwiw, we have 4 legit threats inside 8 days. Rest up...

4 hits. Verbatim #1 we all know about 2-4 dealeo - southern slider #2 saturday night special for the lover in all of us 1-3 ish northern 1/2 winners...padding stats #3 tuesdayLSV special w/ SE 1/3 of Pa 4-10" NW to SE #4 thursday hum dinger w/ lotsa ice to rain to snow. Pack densifier or reducer....time will tell.

CMC thru next week should be pay per view or view only with parental supervision. Damn.....

Looking further down the pike, I really wish next weeks midweek system had a nice HP up in quebec...that would really top off a great run...instead of washing a bunch of it away before we freeze.

and a reminder, snow maps are shown for consensus, not back yard forecasts. Just pay attention to N and S precip adjustments to see where things are trending. I could easily do the same thing w/ precip panels, but we see green a plenty throughout the year, so I'm merely taking advantage of the change of colors

6z 12z

Nooner German house model showin bump N into southern 1/2 of Pa. 6z 12z

wow. I had snowmobile out last night through yard and into fields and had plenty of snow (but yeah a few spots around pine trees were bare as always. )

some think my posts are meaningless WITH snow maps

yup yup.... never expected all of em to hit, but even half as modeled is quite a decent run considering where we thought we'd be headed 6-8 weeks ago. Its a big win for many of us.

PLEASSE take it back. Superstorm/Festus/and a few others along w/ me would be glad to get rid of it.

fwiw entire WRF suits shows a notable bumb N w/ qpf. I just showed the nicest of the bunch as the weenie in me comes out

Hoping Hump day delivers smiles to many faces for many reasons. Here may be one of em' as hi res models start to do their thingy. 0z 12z

You nailed it. S and SW events seem to be a little easier for that to happen. Thats one of the reasons I like A's over B's as that variable is negated greatly down here in the LSV. theres nothing worse than looking at a big blue blob headed our way from the W and Mag, then Bubbles, then Cashtown all are covered in puffy parachutes.....only to watch it go POOF as it gets to Anotherman, and then were left w/ enough flakes to count w/o taking shoes off.

agreed. We've both seen it enough. Based on geography alone, we really struggle in Lanco for any W or NW to E oriented events really are tough down here SE of the mtns.

I wanna believe, but feel this is overdone. As you know we often juice up only to dry out a bit once we approach go time. That said, it brings many of us back into something which is a win in my book. Laurels and S Central look to be prime spots for the next week.

Look at that damn snow hole in lanco again. Its like Voyager shoved his snow dome due S 60 miles over my casa. WTF!! Problem i have w/ it is that the last storm modeled a hole over my house....and the damn thing verified. UUGGGGHHHHHHH.

lol yeah, any that do this w/ regularity should know that one should not trust NAM'ins that look great on screen. I use/show for frozen potential and consensus for qpf distribution and whos getting sumthin and who isnt. Looks like overnights continued to tick north and lower 1/3 of state is in the game. Works for me as i never expected much for rd1 but now have to put more weight on it as rd2 is S of MD special. I'm just gonna dig multiple events comin at us in the next 7-10 days. Edit, and now that i've caught up in full...looks like my mind is in the right place after reading your assessments. Enjoy the show. Your in a great spot to do so.

18z 0z Still time for some of us IMO

Blizzard go look at NAM. Looking north and more robust qpf wise early on.

I’d b giddy with a 3-5” refresher.

First part is painful truth. For those that follow tellies/base state, we are kickin beyond coverage for what shoulda/coulda been a ratter. But for that second part, most of those snows didnt go poof....they went north or east...and thats the truth. lol

Agreed, and some of them are sitting in the catbird seat for snow....you know... the snow they were not getting 3 days before they got it. Yeah....that snow. It boggles the mind....well my tiny one anyway.