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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    Meso's say we can smell it tomorrow, gonna b close. Still enough time for subtle shifts in a good or bad direction. I mean the difference in 20 miles is the difference between 0-4" verbatim. lol
  2. pasnownut
    Thinking the LSV may be on sideline for tomorrows deal. Hoping we get the goods on Thursday though. Looking good for lower 1/2 of Pa for that one.
  3. pasnownut
    Nooners continue the NW adjustments (albeit minor) and squarely have LSV in play. As suggested, still enough time to get next layer NW into accumulating snows for Super Sunday. Not sure if there is enough time for much more adjustments but I'd guess advisory event becoming more likely down here.
  4. pasnownut
    Not for many in our forum, as this one brings a bunch into something. You should get your chances in the next couple weeks as the boundary seems to move around a bit.
  5. pasnownut
    My goalposts due to being rather progressive, and a 6-8 hr event was 3-5" in MBY as decent qpf is being modeled down here. From Altoona to Poconos would be western periphery IMO. Pos tilt wont let this one come much further N/NW imo. Just running outta time, but hey I'd be glad to see further adjustments in favor or CTP.
  6. pasnownut
    thats how we in the LSV turn the - into the + as sleet is a pack densifier for retention purposes.....hehe
  7. pasnownut
    short term model runs/radar matched up pretty well IMO.
  8. pasnownut
    I think that disclaimer may be a safe assumption for a long time coming. Wonder how long its been since we've had a stall like that? I cant remember any in my lifetime.
  9. pasnownut
    awesome. we only got about 1/2" in Akron, but it was pretty to wake up to seeing loamy parachutes fallin. Sunday looking a little better for eastern locals as boundary is once again correcting north as we near short term (was my hunch a couple days ago) If that doesnt hit, something should in the next couple of weeks. Plenty of opps to follow. Love it.
  10. pasnownut
    Nice mood snow here in Lanco. Love it. SE Pa gets a SB refresher and we all wait for multiple chances. Im giddy.
  11. pasnownut
    Wow. That was a rather Bombtastic run for sure. deep winter and snowpack.
  12. pasnownut
    Told ya a couple days ago to keep any eye on this. May want to keep both eyes on it now.
  13. pasnownut
    Germans are back to the thought of some SS snow.
  14. pasnownut
    Lol. I kno. I was joking cause that’s what I think I had for contest.
  15. pasnownut
    At least Fridays 50's are gone, so we can save precious snowpack. for Super Sunday ICON is on an island....and its named Fantasy....Was hoping the Euro kept something but it definitely trended away from anything. Mid next week is still looking like we have something to ponder.
  16. pasnownut
    i heard 14.4 w/ 1.28"qpf or whatever I had in the contest....
  17. pasnownut
    I read that earlier. If one goes to Sunday and looks at 500/mslp panels, souther gets the nod, but 12NAM has LP in midwest and Icon has what i shared. GFS/CMC say no thanks but arent out of correctable range at 4 days. I've also read that the arctic hounds dont look as stout as earlier depictions, so that could argue for a more northerly correction once again. Just throwing out stuff to chew on for lunch.
  18. pasnownut
    Dunno what to think. Euro had Sunday event till last night, then suppressed the hell outta it after several straight runs. Go look at nooner CMC and tell me that isnt a parade of storms? Spacing too tight for bombs, but verbatim an active look. Guessing everyone is tired or afraid to discuss because of the model mayhem. lol Rest up gang.
  19. pasnownut
    This is for Cashtown, Carlsle, and Bubbles. And as always is just for fun. Just keep an eye on it.
  20. pasnownut
    Yeah it sure is. Fun times ahead. One benefit is that cold looks to hold and after Sunday we get a respite from the cutters for the next few storms. Yeah they may be suppressed, but as Canderson or someone suggested the other day....a cleaner storm pattern w/ less issues to worry about. I'm ready for "clean" A's to come n get us.
  21. pasnownut
    Yeah I know, but this one is a day closer and a nice event that has some support, so eyebrows should be raised at the minimum. Its not on its own, and for those that say toss it, we had some that were tossing snowmaggeddon that some are still digging out from, as they thought it would be too far east. Were here to discuss, and looks like we got some discussin to do win lose or draw...thats all I'm sayin. Love it.
  22. pasnownut
    ICON verbatim (I know I know), is MY idea of an acceptable Miller B track. Primary to central WVA then nice transfer under is. Yeah, typical LSV dryslot for a wee bit, but I'd sign for that loop every day and 2x on Sundays....especially Super ones!!
  23. pasnownut
    ICON doesnt miss whatsoever. Sweet Jesus.
  24. pasnownut
    Boy you guys are just killin it w/ this event. Wondering if the 3 day stall is helping pull the boundary south for Fridays refresher. That's something thats been on my mind for the last 24 hours.
  25. pasnownut
    Just parsing over overnighters and several models show the northern stream vort Mag called out yesterday and it’s dropping in for Super Bowl Sunday. CMC has it but Gfs misses the phase (but still is close enough to keep an eye on. Next Thursday looks good on several models and verbatim could be a good one. Overall pattern looks quite wintery and I feel good about next couple weeks. I’m going to enjoy this period for a bit before I start digging into long range beyond mid Feb. looks fun.
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