pasnownut
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Everything posted by pasnownut
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Meh. We've known midweek was going to warm. Other than the warmies....not sure how much diff there is between 60-63 for the rest of us. 12z changes are just noise at this point. If you want to discuss the weekend, the Friday trough is sliightly more deep and the ridging after, a little less ridgy. Blizz's holiday weekend cooldown still looks on target (GFS Op and Ens guidance).
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saw 28 frosty degrees just outside of town on way to work. Yesterday and today feel great. True late autumn weather and new woodstove is burning. Midweek warmup is how autumn rolls, but if the Blizz maps have any verification, it will really feel like the holiday season. I'm down w/ that.
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that sure is a nice look. Been away for a while and just getting back into the swing of things. Thanks for making my Tuesday start out well.
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Mad Elf...... Thats some badass elf beer. LOVE it.
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you make a valid point...
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Sure was. I miss bats....bigly...
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woudnt have it any other way.... Truth told, i'm headed to cabin on Monday night and have friends and my son/his friends coming up for some time afield and just being together. Seems to rain whenever we are up there for a weekend. Worse things for sure, but I'm old enough to not enjoy sitting in a treestand while raining and 40 deg. is no longer the "fun" it used to be. I'll do it, but rather begrudgingly.
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Hoping it doesnt get crazy warm..plenty of time for changes....32 op runs to view....good or bad. No matter, I just want a dry weekend. Thats all I'm asking for.
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agreed. I saw 28 3 days in a row. Thought my digital car thermometer was stuck.....lol. I'm happy to see growning season done, but more happy to see skeeters, ticks other pesty bugs dead.
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wow. Didnt realize it was that late.
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Maybe i need glasses.... yesterdays view for thursday todays view for same timestamp someone tell me what I'm not seeing?
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You'll see it in the laurels, and I'll see it in NC Pa as I'll be in the mountains much of next week. Cabin is in good spot for upslope events off the lakes. If look holds should feel like early winter....NW flow should keep that cloudy/cold look anyway (in Mtns).
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Not disagreeing w/ your assessment, but I'm just suggesting that any Op run at 7+ days needs viewed w/ a notable dose of skepticism. Thats all. Op runs still capable of notable swings at 5+ lead time. For me 5+ is almost always more Ens over Op runs and to that end, 7-10 is really my Ens window.
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YEP I liked that show. I too have some of his "quirky" tendencies.....with 1/2 the smarts.........
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Look at the ensemble loops pal....IF GFS suite has a clue...it says big blue trough building in the east. Its a tough call as to which models to go w/ for sure, but I'd lean to ens, at D8ish stuff. JMO's.
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See....told ya I'm in good company. Nothing like raking(mowing) leaves on a fall day w/ a beer that stays cold (actually they never get warm in my hands ) or bringing wood down. Going in for homemade soup and watching a game late afternoon....Its the good stuff IMO.
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GFS Op vs ensemble GEPS is the warmer of the 2 ens, so I put it here to show that I'm not trying to wishcast. GEFS is 49 over our area.
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then i consider myself in good company.... I've got thick skin, can take a joke, and have been called far worse. NBD
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We were cut from the same cloth...its how I've always thought about late fall/early winter. Its the best
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I dont know why some of us wierdos love a dull and cool/cold late november day....but man I sure do. For me I think it's the lead up to the holiday season....and the best time for snow to stick. I know it defy's normal thinking of bright and sunny days, but it's probably my most enjoyable time of year.
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Enough to plow in Montague NY. I've stayed there quite a few times, and if ever there is a place that it wants to snow....this is the spot. http://www.northernchateau.com/camgd.php?updatefreq=5&camsite=59&cam=1
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I also saw pics of snow on soc. media in northern Lycoming/Potter border area (Black Forest Inn).
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28-29 on way into office. Also not a big fan of DS, but when it comes, it's just another step towards show time....so that makes me ok w/ it.
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Harsh...?? Huh? I've seen far worse things posted that are laughed at...especially when lol is applied, ya know...in humor.
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are you part Neanderthal? lol I like the cold, but my new woodstove has been fired up 3 evenings already.
