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HoarfrostHubb

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Everything posted by HoarfrostHubb

  1. Schools in the Boston area closing already? I guess get the kids off the street? I can’t say I’ve ever seen that…
  2. That looks real. Not sure what office... Buffalo area?
  3. Thursday Night Rain, possibly mixed with snow, becoming all rain after 10pm. Low around 34. Breezy, with an east wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Friday Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 54. Windy, with a southeast wind 23 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Friday Night Rain and snow likely before 8pm, then a chance of snow between 8pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 11. Windy, with a southwest wind 24 to 29 mph decreasing to 17 to 22 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
  4. It is pretty location specific. Some exposed areas do well. My backyard is typically on the lower end, if that. Hope that streak continues. My bathtub will be filled just in case (no power = no well = no toilet flushing)
  5. Same here. BOX hitting the wind aspect pretty hard. I despise wind events... ah well. As mentioned as this low pressure system goes under rapid intensification to potentially a sub 970 mb low pressure system as it lifts into Quebec. A powerful SSE low level jet at 850 mb is depicted to be 4-5 standard deviations above normal along with indications of it falling outside the model climatology on our situational awareness table. The GFS/ECMWF are showing the potential for the 850 mb jet to max out over 80-90 knots...which is quite impressive for the global models. The big question is how much of this wind will be able to be tapped given a south to southeast direction; which is often the hardest to mix down. However...some of it often does find its way down in these highly anomalous patterns given rapid pressure changes and potential fine lines etc. We are thinking that a period of 50 to 60 mph wind gusts appears reasonable for much of the region. We could end up on the lower end of those numbers if winds underperforms, but a low risk for wind gusts to exceed 60-65 mph in a situation where more mixes down. All we can say at this point is the potential exists for a period of damaging wind gusts and power outages.
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