wxeyeNH

31 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Looks like the mesolow is offering me up a 2 day screwgie. All of the good rain and convection is in the deep S flow.

You and me both.  Yesterdays .17" brought me up to 1.70" for the month. Most of that was on 8/8 with .84"  It's raining but I don't expect much.  Looks like you missed almost everything today.

Glad many in SNE got some real  drought relief.

5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Looks like the synoptic flow is beginning to win the battle as BKN ( bacon skies as we used to call it...), along with a SW--> NE movement, are vis sat loop aspects pushing toward Rt 2.   The band is shrinking that demarcates the convergence between it, and that barrier jet that set up eastern-CNE this morning. 

May end up with some sun and furthering destablization here in the interior, after all.  We'll see.  

Boy...it would have been nice if that "quasi" Miller-B got going just a little sooner late yesterday, because it might have organized a broader swath of drought corrective rains right up eastern NE where it was/is really needed..   Maine got pummeled -

I have been out this morning and just got home.   The low level Cu were coming from the east/northeast a bit earlier but now the low level flow is backing to the south.  You can really see it on this timelapse from my cam over the past hour or so.  Cam faces SSW.  https://video.nest.com/clip/74d9e0ecfdd94f67b9ea2b98960dd9aa.mp4

I watched the meso low yesterday.  Heavy rain came right up through the Cape Cod bay.  A bit further west and metro Boston would have gotten pummeled.

I also just noticed the 12Z GFS pops a hurricane in a few days that heads somewhere Florida or Gulf

20 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Rainfall totals around Dallas are nuts. 

I think about 9" officially as of an hour ago but the highest totals are around 15".   That should help there extreme drought but if the soil is rock hard how much gets down to the roots of trees and plants after an endless amount of 90 to 100 days?   One thing for sure, the drought begets drought can bust pretty quickly.  In our neck of the woods some of the fish in Cape Cod bay are getting pretty soaking wet right now.

50 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Mesos starting to look better for NH

I just looked at the HRRR and it has zip for us with the first part of the system.  I am going to take under vs over with this.   

No Aurora last night but lots of people saw the line of the newly launched 53 Starlink satellites.  Here in Central NH they passed west to east around 945pm Friday eve

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Pushing 2.5” for Auggie at home. Had over 3” in July. We good. 

.31" final   1.73" so far August   About 3.25" July

Rain hole over me last night.   Only .21" through 7am.  Raining lightly now with this last band up to around .25"

Congrats to those who did get some beneficial rain.  

16 minutes ago, dendrite said:

0.02”

and counting

Move north young man.   Drip.drip.drip   ----RA    .12" so far

Rain backing in from the northeast has just begun.   Both Euro and GFS say around .60" but a very sharp cutoff in my area.  I will believe it when I see it.

Precip is still going strong at hour 48

I'm glad I am not an on air forecaster for this week.  Just no model consistency.   At least it now seems that the qpf will back in somewhere in New England.

Here is the 12Z Euro and GFS comparison. Pick your poison. 

12Z Euro through 200 hours compared to 0Z run from last night

Back to a total miss on 12Z GFS.  Comparisons from 06Z

How does this happen?  Super computers and such.  Only 90 hours or so out.

12 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Nothing to do now but sit back and wait for the shunt East.  

Not that there has been a lot of model consistency the trend (at least with the GFS) is westward ho.  Now watch the whole thing get cutoff and come in so far SW that SNE just gets some tropical rain showers.

Lots of watering this summer and some fertilizer has kept my lawn pretty good.  A bit of burn out under the maple tree.  The 1" of rain the other day helped and also being in a cooler climate than SNE.  High temperature this summer was only 91.3F

Jeez.  I had not looked at weather stuff since yesterday.  At that time it looked like a region wide soaker with just details as to where the heavy rain sets up.  I come back now (without reading all the posts since yesterday) but I just took a quick glance at the 18Z GFS and it has the Stein continuing and getting worse.  Almost no rain through 270 hours.  What a change!

51 minutes ago, dendrite said:

There's yellowing birches here in CON as well. At my place they all seem fine.

Brian,  I noticed on the drought map you posted, your in the +1 to -1 while just 20 miles to your NNW I'm in -4 to -6.  Hopefully next week New England gets a soak.

Bring on a SE flow of clean tropical air with quick hitting showers.

Bahama Blues!

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Logan made 98 ... That's prolly gonna do it as they're about 10 minutes away from TCU field with undercutting outflow... Probably a gusty shower too... 

This stuff wen by here with insidiously dark scary skies that produced 20 mph winds and light sideways rains with gentle thunder.   Weird.

Sun is out now.  Much cooler... it was 96 prior and it's 78 now.   I mean 78/75 ... but baby steps. 

I don't know if this is the "official" reading for KBOS.  It shows a high of 98.6F at 17:55.  If that is the case does it go down in the books as a 99F high?

Logan is 98.6F  as of 1:15pm with a dew of 69.8F   Very impressive heat index

2nd line of showers with a few flashes was a good producer of rain. I went through a thicker part of the line. Still raining but much lighter .82" this evening 

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Not one rumble of thunder either. Hit a peak rate of 8.35”/hr. 
 

And as I type this a rumble rolls in the distance to the E. 

Came through here.  Couple of rumbles.  .17"   lets see if the VT stuff can add on a bit?

Nashua at 7pm  82F and dew 81F  

58 minutes ago, weathafella said:

98 at Logan.  4 days straight AOA 95 with 2 AOA 98 and a 97 with the “coolest” 95.

The GFS and Euro has Boston hitting 95F or higher tomorrow and Tuesday.  If that happened it would be 6 days in a row of 95F or higher.  I wonder if that has ever happened?