wxeyeNH

41.5F  Ice pellets.  

Rain of leaves today.  Central NH rapidly becoming stick country

Midnight and it is 68f in Montpelier and Burlington. Impressive. 

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Don’t know what more Scooter wants to see. Acapulco  will never rebuild. The city is decimated and uninhabitable. Hundreds of miles inland . This had gusts to 215mph at ground level. 

https://x.com/accuweather/status/1717976505727303818?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

https://x.com/nerdy_addict/status/1717888316371062989?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

So much damage.  From the helicopter video I grabbed this shot of a highrise.  Windows blown out with so much structural damage you can see right through some units.  Wonder how their  highrise building codes along resorts compare to Florida?  Andrew was a near miss for dense buildings but would Florida's highrises look like this if a true Cat 5 came ashore in Miami-Dade?

33.1F up on my hill. 

I would say that the foliage peaked today here in the NW Lakes Region of NH.  I took the drone up for a quick look around before the rain.  My Aspens and birch were vibrant but I think the HDR settings made it a bit more saturated than what I saw with the naked eye

Looks like our foliage peak will be tomorrow or Friday here in the NW Lakes Region of NH.  Wind and rain this weekend will bring most of the leaves down except the oaks which always follow.

I would give this season a 4 out of 10 so far but colors are rapidly changing.  My guess would have been the peak this weekend if the storm and wind had held off.

September was the warmest ever.  Not surprising since this happens often now.  What is surprising is it was the most anomalous warm month in the data set going back to 1940.  Scary stuff

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/september-2023-hottest-ever-eu-copernicus-climate-change-service/

Luckily there is not an intense hurricane right now southwest of Phillippe's position.  The strong trough approaching would yank something northbound quick if placements were just right.  This is why New England usually gets it's strongest hurricanes later in the season when fall troughs arrive

It's amazing how the spigots shut off up here a couple of weeks ago while SNE keeps getting more and more rain.  Smoke is also increasing here.  Very dim sun.  (Sounds Chinese)

39 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Low of 41F, now sunny and already up to 60F.

Going to be another great day up north.

But lots of smoke?

Dry,dry, dry.  No rain as far as the eye can see.  Through 378 hours on the GFS

EX 984.6mb

Wow,  that was fast.  The surface center of Ophelia is now under the expanding CDO.  Recon about to go in for another pass.  987mb was last one.

Zero color in the high Whites

50 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Finally into steady rain, lit the wood stove about 2 PM as we've remained <60.

We had to fire up the wood stove too.  Stayed around 57-58F all day

About .65" of rain as of 630pm.  Looking at radar it looks like we are about done but models say, nope

Just enough of a shower here to wet the deck.  The best part about Lee was the huge cirrus shield on the western side last night.  Beautiful sunset over a wide area of the Northeast.

Here was the view from my front lawn

I am surprised that the National Weather Service has not issued a wind advisory for Inland areas. Gray Maine hasn't done it either. It's not like anything is really going to change with the track or intensity of the storm it's not already known so why the delay unless they don't even think it will meet that criteria?

1 hour ago, eekuasepinniW said:

The edge of the cloud deck is over powderfreak but I can still see the blue sky from here.  I find that pretty cool.

There should be a wide area fantastic sunset over many parts of New England tonight.  

Euro is about 25ish or so miles west of previous run

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

If they go hurricane watch, they will completely panic the coast. 

I think you are right.  Tropical storm watches would be a better choice as it may be marginal to get a few hurricane gusts. 

I've been mostly lurking lately but have been watching Lee closely.

Here is a  guess on watching/warnings if the track holds serve with just noise adjustments as models settle in. When would watches go up?  5pm or 11pm advisory tomorrow?  Again, I'm just guessing so no flame throwing!

Hurricane Watch from Watch Hill RI, Cape Cod and the islands and up along the coast.  Inland high wind watch RI and Eastern Mass, NH and inland Maine. 

If the track stayed as, a guess might be that as the track locks in watches would change to tropical storm warning RI, Cape and Islands and Mass Coast.  Perhaps hurricane warning downeast Maine coast but with north winds would hurricane gusts be recorded or just tropical storm winds.

I was totally obvious to the heavy rain in SNE.  We had 2 showers yesterday  .32"  and about .28" the day before.   I checked on Lee a few times during the day skipping AMWX.  Wow on your rainfall

Fwiw....

Is it a lock?