wxeyeNH

31. 8F  Light snow.   After this morning's ice storm we reached a high of 32.8F   We are now falling back with increasing wind.  This dusting of snow is actually good because at this temperature it is adhering to the black ice making the surfaces slightly less slippery.  Power is back after about 10 hours.  Let's see if it holds up with the increasing wind.

32.2F   No power for 6 hours.  Our whole hill is out.  This has turned into a significant event here.  There has been almost no melt off on trees or power lines today.  Untreated surfaces that were not treated are an ice skating rink.  Yesterday I wanted to put a big blue tarp over the part of the driveway we use but "someone" ha, in my family said that would look stupid and I'm overreacting.  The biggest problem is yet to come.  Maybe a very brief warmup with fropa mixing but with the wind and the trees this is going to cause more power issues.  Plus, the glaciated surfaces are not going anywhere fast!

32.2F here also.   I did briefly get up to 32.5F   We have to get this ice off the trees and surfaces before this evening or we are screwed.

32.2F   No power,  trees bending,  road is a sheet of ice.  Thankfully we have a wood burning stove and I filled up lots of pots for water last night.  Jackery power station works great for fridge, some lights and to plug in fiber internet.  Let's see how warm we can get before fropa later!

31.7F ZR. Our road is a sheet of ice a definite Birch Bender still have power

31 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I think you will get some decent icing. 1k way up there will give you an advantage over most of the population in NH. I could see you pulling 1/3” radial. 

...yesterday we  got a notice from our 3-man highway department. The town has 2 sanding trucks.  One broke down yesterday so the notice said to expect major delays in road treatment.  Our plow is fine but you know my location.  Only one steep way up and down. Wish me luck.  I hope we can get above freezing for a few hours before the wind and cold come roaring back.  Looks like we will have a glacier type landscape for awhile.  Speare hospital, get ready.  Lots of incoming slips and slides this week.

29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just noticed ice storm warnings issued. Wish we lived there 

You don't!  Still nightmares from 1998!

18 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Overblown. Cope.

Thank you, Brian, for your optimism.  I hope you are right!  28.7/13

I just noticed that the NWS upgraded my area to a Winter Storm Warning.  I know Dendy was not overly impressed yesterday and Tip for several reasons was not impressed earlier.  It is currently 34/14F.   Any changes in thoughts or basically just some slippery roads and some glazing but not enough for power concerns etc.

4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

No need to...  

the cold you are referring is particularly low level, and substantive in the mass loading into this system's preceding environment.  The "real" synoptic cold is still low ... 22-ish with DPs of 10 or so, but with such limited +PP ( positive pressure pattern (high pressure) ) situated N, a 20 to 25 kt sustained 925 mb low arriving flow will change the setting very quickly.   

These metrical limitations on this system are not going anywhere.   They are a predicament/detriment to this system's ability to maintain froze or freezing profiles.    

Lemme tell you something ... in late January 1994, we awoke one faithful morning to Winter Weather Advisory headlines in place, a temperature of 9 F on the weather lab's tele, and periodic flurries/grits coming down in the blue light of dawn throughout the Merrimack Valley.  Deep winter was in place.   By noon, sleet pellets had broken out, there was a south breeze, and the temperature had risen to 23 or so...  By 3 pm, it was 31 F with steady freezing rain.  By 6pm, it was 53 F with wildly swaying tree tops, and ice fog rolling off the snow pack and piles.  By 9pm, it was 61 F with 55 mph gusts.     

9 to 61, in 12 hours.   All because a cutter went through BUF-ish, and had no antecedent +PP to protect from the arriving WCB ( warm conveyor belt ) -related wind field.  

Now, this situation doesn't have a 65 kt 920 mb jet core fire hosing at it... but, the 40 kts with no leading surface high is going to still reverse the tables and do it probably at a speed that comes to some surprise to people, even in the valleys.  

I just saw this right after I made my post.  Would all these negative factors apply for us up here too?

Tip, yesterday, Dandy was also not very impressed for even up here.  What am I missing?   1.25" of liquid, temperatures in the mid to upper 20s rising to around 32F tomorrow afternoon.  Longer precipitation time up here too.  Weather bell clown ice maps show .75 to 1.00" of ice.  Even if that is 50% overdone, this seems like a big deal up here???? 

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You guys up in NNE should get some good icing . You being up on a hilltop may help as the valleys lock in the cold.  I’m not that familiar with your topography and how these situations work there  , but around here with in situ CAD valleys get the longest icing . Dendy I’m sure can assist .

We got slammed in 1998 and I think in 2008.   Lake level down below is 590 feet.  I'm at 1100 but only a dirt road one way up here in winter.  Our town only has 1000 people and the highway dept just sent out a notice that our sander broke but the plow truck is fine.  That won't help me.

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

WWA out for ice 

I just posted about this.  I have to look up to see what the parameters are for an Ice Storm Warning to be issued for parts of New England

I'm starting to get worried about quite an ice storm in parts of New England tomorrow night and Monday.  I have not looked at other models but QPF seems to increase up here each run with over 1" liquid.  Almost all freezing rain.  I'm not sure how accurate these Weather bell clown maps are for ZR but .50 to 1.00 of ice would cause quite a bit of damage and CAD always rules.  Even a brief few hours of above freezing would not melt all that ice before high winds and cold returns.  Snowstorms get all the attention, but ice storms are brutal, especially for me on top of a hill with only one way out. 

I'm starting to pay attention to Monday's storm.  Looks like a potentially pretty big freezing event for us here in Central New England.  If these amounts held would that require an Ice Storm Warning?  I know freezing rain accretion has changed.  What kind of damage would this generate if it were to hold true?

Brian,  you got more snow than me.    5.25" final. (around 17" season) I thought I would have had a bit more being slightly closer to the Norlan?   

Merry Christmas to all.

48.6F  temperature is now dropping.  Heavy rain mixed with small hail.  Winds gusting to 43mph

The same up here in my area of Central NH.  Powerful gusts in the 40s a bit earlier.  Now a lull before the CF.  Loosing our snowcover rapidly!  51.4F

23.6F  Light to moderate snow.   Vis about 1/2 miles.  Snow growth was poor most of the morning but intensity and snow growth has increased significantly the past 30 minutes.   About 1.25"  fluff

24 minutes ago, dendrite said:

12z mins

Brian,  I was paying more attention to the snow squalls vs how cold this air mass is.  It seems like last night's cold over preformed.  Was that true?   0F here but snowcover must helped.

1 hour ago, DavisStraight said:

1989 I think

It might have been 1989.  I had just bought my fixer-upper house up here but lived in Boston.  I had something called a Climate talker.  It was hooked up to my phone line and I could call long distance and get the outside temperature.  I believe it was below zero about 12 nights in that December.  When winters used to be real.

Extreme snow squall in progress.  Captured this image from my neighbor's webcam.  Right now vis is 1/16th of a mile.  When I can't see the other side of my pasture we know that heavy rates are happening.

3 minutes ago, alex said:

Jesus the front must be coming through here. It’s like whiteout conditions 

Here too.  Happy Holiday season to you guys and the kids!

The have's and have nots....

17 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Nice Gene your white Christmas is a lock this year. Enjoy. Pics??

  No wind,  powdery snow.  Easy pessy!   6.75"