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Posts posted by tavwtby
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man this is going to be a cold one, if it's snowing in Greenwich at 23/14, that's some good rates.
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23/0 here with lowering clouds, have to overcome the dry air before it comes down, I think we're going to wind up with two bands, one major and a secondary NE of the main one, who's in between is sucking exhaust imho... we'll see how it pans out, point and click has me at 9 now and ALY right there too, up from 5 yesterday.. go time!
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23 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:
I will be shocked if there aren't thundersnow reports in the Lower Hudson Valley/Fairfield County tonight
yeah there's a lot of convective energy there definitely
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10 minutes ago, FXWX said:
Couple of thoughts... I don't like warnings being issued for zones when the low end number in the forecast is less than warning criteria... Both high & low numbers in the forecast range should equal or exceed the warning criteria. Just my opinion. Secondly, in this type of setup we are likely to see several mini maxes zones; western Fairfield cty, especially high terrain areas in Ridgefield / Danbury zone (overall greatest totals); another area of local enhancement from from high terrain areas of southern Litchfield cty into western Hartford cty, into northern / western New Haven cty; lastly another local max zone likely showing up in northern Tolland cty.
I agree with the low end criteria for warning at least being met for one to be hoisted, however I think it's because there may be so many people traveling, especially 84-81 and points west and south, maybe they want to get attention, a watch may be just ignored, just my thoughts on the reasoning
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Just now, Ginx snewx said:
Here we go
WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 7 inches. * WHERE...In Connecticut, Northern Litchfield and Southern Litchfield Counties. In New York, Eastern Dutchess, Eastern Greene, and Western Dutchess Counties. * WHEN...From 4 PM Friday to 1 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Moderate to heavy snow will develop around or just after sunset Friday, and will remain heavy at times Friday night. Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour will be possible Friday evening. The snow gradually
bit shocked they went straight to warning, but I guess they are figuring in travel etc., I'm expecting low end of that 5-7", but we'll have to see where the banding sets up, should go to town for a few hours overnight anyway.
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straight to warning here
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6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:
They’ll update in afternoon package most likely.
ALY will probably hold, or at least a WWA...no watch yet I don't think here, maybe south Litchfield cty.
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2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:
I would have to think we see winter storm watches expanded through much of CT...maybe the trigger is pulled for a warning in Fairfield?
yeah I would think watches for at least wor counties, CT is such a weird state with 3 offices covering such a small area.
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5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:
Don't recall the last storm with heavy snow temps in the teens and wind chills around zero..
I wanna say that March storm in 17 or 18, can't remember but 2015 was frigid, that I recall
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I'll take Jan 2011 for the win please...
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42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:
Radar filling in over ENY and W CT heading East Let’s see what the afternoon and evening bring
just had a nice burst of snow, too bad temps are marginal everything that fell and falling is melting.
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I can't remember what year, 92/93 maybe, we had a solid sleet storm with inches of it, I remember driving around like a fool with like 3-4" of sleet, crazy time. But it was early 90s, I thought 93/94 was the really cold year, no? perhaps it was that year.
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11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:
Dude, I went 4 years without a double digit event in ORH.....think about that for a second and take into account the climo and location.

I think from 83-87 we had maybe one storm over 6", just going off memory but that was Waterbury not Winsted, and then I don't remember much else big until 95/96.
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1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:
Yup. Gonna move around…it’s only Monday. Just another model run. Many more to come.
those off hour runs tend to do that it seems 6z, 12z show one thing, the others something else, weird trend I've noticed.
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1" here and still pixie dust flying...congrats South folks on getting some white finally!
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1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:
from that one storm? seems high, Norfolk at 1,340 had 2.3" which was the highest report i could find. I bet some of that snowpack was from 12/2, that snow never melted going into the December 10th storm. It's been frigid especially up there in higher elevations
yeah I still have a couple inches from the 12/2 event, only got like a half inch on 12/10.
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over 6" in unity twp PA outside pitt
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1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:
I suspect one mitigating factor on accumulations is that while it will be fluffy snow, it's a small amount of qpf over a fairly long period. I think that might make for some reduction as compared to it being 3" over 4 hours, e.g.
might be some sublimation issues north where it's cold up there under the DGZ, we'll see if we can get a good burst of nice rates and accumulate a couple/three inches.
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I wouldn't be shocked if someone in SE areas of SNE saw 6" of fluff, column will be plenty cold in the DGZ for so good growth, a few more tics north we can all be in business
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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:
That was a big winter and quite cold....esp January '82. Very cold month with decent snow. Same month as the Air Florida crash into the Potomic with lots of ice in the river. Dec '81 was very snowy in New England both north and south.
wasn't Feb of 82 one of the KUs we got? I thought 82 or 83 because I remember everyone freaking out because it wasn't far removed from 78

Wounded Duck Strikes Back: Dec 26 & 27th Winter Storm Obs
in New England
Posted
21/4 nada here yet, looks like pound town SW of my area tho.