tavwtby

27/26...just hit 3" and pounding, about 1/4 mi vis, hopefully stay on the white side of things, hate clearing slop but it's a nice fluff right now 

8 minutes ago, Ski Patroller said:

Colebrook, NW CT, start time 910AM, 0.5" at 1015AM. T=28.2F.

route 8 is a mess north of thomaston probably quarter mile vis, and nice snow growth, flake size 

the mix line is just North of Waterbury not sure how that translate East of here

first flakes here 9:00, sitting at 26/21

down to 17/11... it's now 20/17, onset about an hour away maybe. p/c still calling for 6 here, Aly going with about 3

22/16 and dropping, ready to ride the line tomorrow LFG anything white will be okay for me on 12/2...was hoping for a little more but I'll take 4 and be happy.

Just now, FXWX said:

Low confidence for your area... could be sharp gradient across short distances???  I would not give up hope yet for low-end warning levels?

hope is fading fast my friend, hopefully the cold tonight can overcome whatever may try to push in tomorrow during the event... hours from go, and still unknowns are more than knowns, at least here and borderline areas.

I went from a borderline warning event here to possibly being skunked by warm mid-level that'll probably work up the valley, also, the WU point and click showed 6+" for almost a week now is at 5", with a WWA and a Aly forecast for possibly 3-4", which keeps getting smaller...rinse repeat last few seasons, at least it's 12/2 and we still have time to correct, maybe. Would be nice to get a phase and stall here, going to be in and out in a few hours I think. Still thinking North ORH/SNH is gonna jack here 

original call here of 4-6 will stand until further notice, nice compromise of GFS and Euro, think jackpot North ORH cty, looks like double digits possible.

at this point it looks like anyone south of the Pike is mostly wet, anyone north of RT 2 mostly white, probably better WoR folks holding on with ptype issues, but we'll see as we get into the weekend runs, Euro ens have a nice cluster, and then there's next Saturday possible refreshing some... still below 32 here with a stiff NW breeze, expect possible streamers today if I can catch one right.

Seems every time a threat thread was made in the last few years, minus a couple, they fizzled or didn't pan out... my opinion is within 48hr if we're still in alignment model wise, it'd be fairly safe to start a thread...also, looks like some decent mid level magic may happen somewhere in SNE if it plays out as currently modeled, quick hitter though too, so be hard to get double digits unless rates are good and growth is good.

well I didn't have a surprise .25" of sn OTG this morning, went to start the wifes car to that, quite cold and windy still too, nice wintry feel, streamer has shifted south now 

4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Legit stuff in the Berks

catching the tail of that at my place, it was ripping on and off pretty much since about 10, I'm back at work next to BDL so nothing here.

it's been the little freezing and snowing for a couple hours here in Winsted 

basically had a flash freeze here after a pleasant temp day, saw first flakes, just a couple randos, but has a good cold feel out there...on a side note, my anemometer intermittently has stopped working so I don't know what speed gusts are etc, sucks I can't afford another station.

8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Wraparound. Quick…somebody text Ray.

yeah the Mon/Tue looked like a decent sig 10 days ago also, hopefully we get one to stick inside of 72 hours with high confidence otherwise is model porn...and the southern lake Michigan shore amounts have come down a bit huh, I was seeing 12-18", and it's still impressive but over a foot would be a huge early season win for that area.

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

They rip 

climate breakdown? sounds like a great time to me, and granted a little early in the season, but climate breakdown??? i need explanation.

bottomed out at 25 even, poor chickens, forgot to plug in the water heater, so they were pecking at ice..

25.3 coldest morning here so far, 10/27 was 26, we heavy frost...

19 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I wouldn’t put any stock in verbatim storm depictions (I know you know this), but it does look like the pattern lends itself to a few cold shots that could bring first flakes as more nuisance/novelty stuff. 

would be nice to have a good late fall early winter storm this year, we are so over due for a big winter, at least in SNE, I'll take some Currier and Ives in mid November though regardless, set the mood for the holidays 

4 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Euro & GFS say keep an eye around the 10th? Both also brew up a beast for center part of country around the 17th.

was just about to ask everyone's opinion, it's been a sig for a few runs now, if anything it looks to be pretty cold, possibly a few inches elevation depending? 

pretty pedestrian event when the line came, a few gusts and heavy rain but now just constant rumbling of distant thunder, usually comes before the rain but now it's after, odd, also sirens here in Winsted for over an hour, something happened before the rain not sure what yet 

bout a half inch on deck, cars and grass areas... started to accumulate on the driveway and side of the road but it stopped and sun came out now we drip until tonight, however, the hills around me, about 1200+', have the trees caked, very picturesque.

we coat, coming down good here, all SN too.

snow mixing now with pingers and rain, lovely April Day out there...