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tavwtby

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Posts posted by tavwtby

  1. 10 minutes ago, FXWX said:

    Couple of thoughts... I don't like warnings being issued for zones when the low end number in the forecast is less than warning criteria... Both high & low numbers in the forecast range should equal or exceed the warning criteria. Just my opinion.  Secondly, in this type of setup we are likely to see several mini maxes zones; western Fairfield cty, especially high terrain areas in Ridgefield / Danbury zone (overall greatest totals); another area of local enhancement from from high terrain areas of southern Litchfield cty into western Hartford cty, into northern / western New Haven cty; lastly another local max zone likely showing up in northern Tolland cty.  

    I agree with the low end criteria for warning at least being met for one to be hoisted, however I think it's because there may be so many people traveling, especially 84-81 and points west and south, maybe they want to get attention, a watch may be just ignored, just my thoughts on the reasoning 

  2. Just now, Ginx snewx said:

    Here we go 

    WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST
    SATURDAY...
    
    * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 5 and
      7 inches.
    
    * WHERE...In Connecticut, Northern Litchfield and Southern
      Litchfield Counties. In New York, Eastern Dutchess, Eastern
      Greene, and Western Dutchess Counties.
    
    * WHEN...From 4 PM Friday to 1 PM EST Saturday.
    
    * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will
      likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be difficult. The
      hazardous conditions could impact the Friday evening commute.
    
    * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Moderate to heavy snow will develop around or
      just after sunset Friday, and will remain heavy at times Friday
      night. Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour will be possible
      Friday evening. The snow gradually

    bit shocked they went straight to warning, but I guess they are figuring in travel etc., I'm expecting low end of that 5-7", but we'll have to see where the banding sets up, should go to town for a few hours overnight anyway.

  3. 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

    Dude, I went 4 years without a double digit event in ORH.....think about that for a second and take into account the climo and location. :lol:

    I think from 83-87 we had maybe one storm over 6", just going off memory but that was Waterbury not Winsted, and then I don't remember much else big until 95/96.

  4. 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

    from that one storm? seems high, Norfolk at 1,340 had 2.3" which was the highest report i could find. I bet some of that snowpack was from 12/2, that snow never melted going into the December 10th storm. It's been frigid especially up there in higher elevations

    yeah I still have a couple inches from the 12/2 event, only got like a half inch on 12/10. 

    • Thanks 1
  5. 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

    I suspect one mitigating factor on accumulations is that while it will be fluffy snow, it's a small amount of qpf over a fairly long period.  I think that might make for some reduction as compared to it being 3" over 4 hours, e.g.

    might be some sublimation issues north where it's cold up there under the DGZ, we'll see if we can get a good burst of nice rates and accumulate a couple/three inches.

    • Like 1
  6. 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

    That was a big winter and quite cold....esp January '82. Very cold month with decent snow. Same month as the Air Florida crash into the Potomic with lots of ice in the river. Dec '81 was very snowy in New England both north and south. 

    wasn't Feb of 82 one of the KUs we got? I thought 82 or 83 because I remember everyone freaking out because it wasn't far removed from 78

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