DavisStraight

1 hour ago, Modfan2 said:

Decent cold wedge in NE CT, temps 33/34, issue with FZDZ before we warm?

Here too, I was down to 32 but just went to 34

2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

So glad you asked.  I have been following it closely since the early fall, and so far, it is the best model.  Granted, my analysis is for our little area only, and is entirely empirical.  Here is a little anecdotal example:

I am also active on a Notre Dame football board, where I have installed myself as the weather nerd in-chief.  About 5 days ago, it appeared likely that we would be hosting Alabama on the 20th.  Of course, I went to the maps hoping for the most miserable cold possible for northern Indiana in December.  At that time, gfs and euro showed a nationwide zonal flow, with temps far above normal for SBN.  Euro AI on the other hand, had deep winter.  I am not ready to spike the ball, since we are only on the 15 yard line, but AI has held fairly steady while the others are showing signs of capitulation.  We'll see what happens!

I am ready to make this prediction:  Next year at this time we will all be going to the AI models first...with occasional references to the "legacy models".

Where do you access those models?

4 hours ago, tamarack said:

A wintry look this morning.

 

Is that your house Tam? Looks like a Maine home to me.

5 hours ago, mreaves said:

Similar here.  As I said last night, I left my driveway untouched in case of freezing rain figuring tomorrow will reset it to bare gravel anyway.

I didn't touch the few inches we had the other day; it was icy for a couple days but now down to asphalt. Would love to fire the snowblower up soon though.

13 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Well that was my point…they are young adults. But ok…I can understand. 

He doesn't want his students to know he's a weather weenie.

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Sorry, yeah meant here. But you guys are in the mix for strong gusts. 

Great, spend another weekend day picking up branches.

41 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

It's still early, but it looks like this will be another year with a green Christmas around these parts.

At least looks cold, maybe something will pop up at the last minute, lots of time left for things to change.

I just drove an hour and a half in rain in the dark, not a fun ride, maybe need those night time glasses.

Hope its not like last year when we said the same thing but come January we never got together in Worcester.

4 hours ago, tamarack said:

Happened thrice for me:  12/24/66 in NNJ (didn't believe it possible until the 2nd boom).  11/21/89 in Gardiner and 2/10/05 here in New Sharon.  Spacing would say that #4 was coming soon.  (Of course, like TCs, spacing means nothing.)

First time I experienced it was surreal, snowing 3-4 inches an hour and the sky lit up blue then the lights went out.

14 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said:

Rains may come mid week but for now looking good at the cabin. Close to 2 feet on ground.

Where's your cabin located?

52 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Not the most exciting stuff, but Tuesday looks pretty cold tucky as the mesolow moves into the GOM. May see alot fzdz right down into N MA if some of the meso runs are right. Not exactly setting the interior up for big winds unless we really see an amped low well to the west. 

I could do without the wind, I spent this afternoon picking up and cutting big branches all over my yard.

I had an inch, long gone now at 45.

2 hours ago, alex said:

Got the Xmas tree cut while it still feels Christmassy lol

Is that going in the house? Looks like you may have a high ceiling in the middle but that rivals the Griswolds tree.

1 hour ago, J Paul Gordon said:

We were in an absolute snow hole. My sister in law in Sturbridge got 8." We got maybe an inch here. Snowed all night into the morning, but lighter than light. There are still pitiful little patches here and there because it's been cold. Drove down to Sutton on the RI line and they had complete cover (though thin).  It was pretty though. Glad you got a decent amount. Look's post card pretty out there.

I got close to that next town over, Brookfield, town after Sturbridge must have close to a foot, I was there yesterday trudging through the snow, still dry, no crust and was about 10 inches.

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

the funny thing about the poster's content, he seldom says anything that is not true, or if so ...it patently clear it's sarcasm? 

i think this emotional quotient is too much in here. 

there are those that [probably] have created a kind of codependency to needing model cinemas in order to evoke certain moods, then .. .it is shared among like others with the same thing going on ... but it doesn't lend to lucidity with reality much of the time.  and, it's rubbing some the wrong way.   sure, the obvious argument for that is, go somewhere else where the bias doesn't bother or isn't being exposed. but, there's probably those that want to be a part of the weather forum, but have become like people voting for the wrong principled candidate simply because they can't stand this WOKE imposition. 

sort of a metaphor for the same thing in here. interesting.  

i happen to not have an issue with Forky because again ... i think he's ( or she? ...really don't know) is just trying devil's advocate much of the time, and the best way to do that is to use actual facts - which gets in the way of the mood.  other's should learn to ignore it.

 

No, we just don't like him.

2 hours ago, ROOSTA said:

When I first suggested Clarke's in Boston, must be over 15-20 years now. It was for members who worked in town, a spontaneous last-minute gathering to finally meet and celebrate the season. I know if I were still in New England the tradition would continue. My last outing before moving to Florida was a Clarke's gathering.
The chasing Noel down the Cape...oh the memories.      

Id like to go but it's a hell of a ride to go into Boston from where I am. I think I will take the train from Worcester if I go. Love going to Boston just not a fun ride.

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

I still can't believe the mountains are 50"+ on the season to date and BTV has yet to record its first inch.

You want to talk about microclimates... 15 miles as the crow flies between BTV and Mount Mansfield.  

One is looking for it's first inch, the other has had nearly 5 feet on the season with a settled depth of 30".  Even without elevation factored in, we've had 15" in town over the past two weeks or so.

I used to work with a guy from Burlington, I thought they did good snow wise and he said we get more down here than they used to get.

12 hours ago, klw said:

Question for the SNE folks>  Do you put snow tires on?

I have all weather tires, they're ok and never had a problem with my all wheel drive. Different story when I had a truck, used to get some good tires like Blizzaks that would go through everything.

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Jury is still out.  I want to try it under a variety of conditions.   It shoots the snow really far though.  The auger motor is pretty beefy.   
The batteries were right at the edge of pooping out after 45 minutes or so…but as mentioned, I have backup batteries. 
 

my gas one is 28” wide.  This one is only 24.  It did well at the plow pile at the end of the street. 

45 minutes will be plenty in my driveway up there and to make a path for my dog. I'll probably get an extra battery too, I have 3 for my mower and weed wacker.

47 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I measured 7” compacted.  I wonder what the greatest depth was. 
 

Also did my entire driveway on 1 charge (barely) with the Ego.   Prob would have been easier if the oil delivery truck (and our family cars) hadn’t compacted down tracks.  
 

I have spare batteries so I should be able to do bigger storms.  It drives weird though. 

So overall you like it? I may buy one next year when I move to Maine and sell my gas one.

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So much damage so little time 

I have a huge branch down too, have to use the chainsaw.

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

The sense I’m getting is that there’s nothing to extreme coming in the next few weeks. A complicated system with chances of snow and ice and rain from Sunday through Tuesday or Wednesday. A quick cooldown and then a warm-up for a bit. But the cold air source never really goes away. Then some decent signs that it turns colder with a ridge on the West Coast in the last week of the month. It doesn’t sound too bad. 

Im just hoping we get cold and maybe a little snow Christmas week. Hopefully the big stuff comes in the new year.

On 12/3/2024 at 9:58 PM, J.Spin said:

I hadn’t been up to the mountain since Saturday, so I was eager to get out for a ski tour when I had time today. There’s been no specific synoptic storms in the area, but the snow has been piling up the thanks to the continuous feed of moisture off the Great Lakes and the upper-level low pressure to our north. Seeing the snowpack depth at the Mt. Mansfield stake quickly jump up to near 20 inches is a strong sign that it’s been snowing around here. Having that closed upper low over Hudson Bay with broad upper level troughing is a great setup when you have a 4,000’ wall of mountains sitting downwind of a moisture source like the Great Lakes.

Even without data from the Mt. Mansfield stake to go on, I know it’s been snowing because we’ve recently had several inches of new snow down at our place in the valley, so the snow is hitting all elevations with the current temperature regime. Indeed, I found that snow depths were up substantially at all elevations during today’s tour. I toured again using the Wilderness Uphill Route, so I was able to check snowpack depths from the valley on up and compare them to what I’d last seen on Saturday. The updated snow depths are below, with Saturday’s depths listed first, then today’s depths following in bold. The depths I found up at 3,000’ and above are certainly consistent with what is being reported for the snowpack depths at the Mt. Mansfield stake.

340’: T-1: --> 1-2”

500’: 1” --> 2”

1,000’: 2” --> 3-4”

1,200’: 2-3” --> 4-5”

1,500’: 3” --> 6-8”

2,000’: 6-8” --> 8-12”

2,250’: 8-10” --> 10-14”

2,500’: 10-12” --> 12-16”

2,750’: 11-13” --> 14-17”

3,000’: 12-14” --> 16-18”

Concomitant with the increasing depths, the quality of the powder skiing even jumped another notch relative to the already great conditions we experienced on Saturday. In fact, even though it’s excellent right-side-up powder that is beautifully dry, it’s getting deep enough that it’s starting to be a bit too much for the lowest angle slopes if you’re in fully untracked snow. I’d brought my 115 mm fat skis for today’s tour because they had already been a good choice on Saturday, but I was glad to have them for planing more efficiently on the lowest angle slopes today.

Indeed, it was snowing today during my tour akin to what’s been happening for the past several days, but today’s snowfall was lighter and less consistent than what I experience on Friday or Saturday. Our next Clipper system is coming into the area though, so snowfall should pick up with that. We’re under a Winter Weather Advisory here along the spine of the Northern Greens, the latest BTV NWS Event Total Snowfall map currently has some areas of 8-12” and 12-18” shading.

I spent a long weekend up there right after we got hit with Nemo down here, snowed all 3 days I was there, only about 6-7 inches but it was great.

Just now, Weathernoob335 said:

Snowing again, replenishing some of what I lost to melting

My 5 inches got cut in half.