tamarack

1 hour ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

Nice 4th up here in Wilton,Maine.  85 and mostly sunny.  

About the same 2 towns to the east, with a nice breeze.  Low 60s dew still sticky but much more tolerable than Thursday's 70+.

29 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro going wild with that Typhoon

Didn't take long to increase from 65 mph to 145.

22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Every year. One NW wind  day can unwell 7 to 10 degrees colder

Many years ago (1960?) I was with a group of kids on a trip to Sandy Hook, NJ.  Expecting the mid-July ocean to be 70-72, we were a bit dismayed to find it at 57.  Went swimming anyway but not for as long.  Of course, some years earlier (1952) on our vacation at Spruce Head, part of Boothbay Harbor, I swam most every day in water that might've been even colder.  Of course, 6-year-olds don't feel the cold water until mom or dad sees the blue lips and pulls us out.

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Mins. The mornings we dream of.

If that 87 is EWR it's their new record.  7/22/2011 was 108/86.  (A Phoenix day, but with humidity.)

Storms slid to my south, 3-for-3 the past 3 nights.  Didn't even see any "heat lightning" (a term I've used since the 1950s for flashes from too far away to be heard.  Sorry, LR). 
The SFD from GYX talked about storms/rain/troughs but their forecast for 04955 doesn't include a single drop thru next Thursday.

11 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Saw this post today (screenshot attached).  Posts like this allow us to call out nonsense or hype, or at least question content.  This is a good thing b/c the amount of bad or misleading info out there is high.

So just take 133 heat index reading "as is" -- no critical thinking or independent thought?

133 does not fit surrounding sites.  We all too often assume what all wx sites report are correct.  Untrue, and some networks are worse than others.  You have so many out there, some just use personal wx stations (PWSs), and you know not all of them are sited or calibrated properly.  This same problem exists for some official wx sites as well.

And where did this individual get the information for the record of heat index values in NJ?  Is there even such a list officially?

Also, look carefully.  No info on what this network this is, the name of the location, or what time it is at.  It also does not give any information on where or when the previous heat index record occurred.  This is often done to make it harder to check/validate claims.

In addition, it is mentions the highest actual temp recorded in NJ, yet talks about heat index.  Inconsistent comparison and irrelevant in this case.  And it claims that "much higher humidity" for the heatwave today (compared to the 1936 heat).  Is that really true?  Ppl just say things for a narrative or hype arbitrarily so much on posts like these w/ no hard evidence to support.

Be vague and generic, and hope ppl don't bother checking.  Classic clickbait and hype tactic.

And when doing posts like this, I always take a screenshot and block out the poster's or site's name.  Do not want to make it available for more clicks/likes.  Which brings me to another point.  Some post bad, incorrect, or exaggerated info on purpose b/c it will get more clicks/likes.  It's all about content, facts and accuracy be damned.
 

Possibly a TD error - once dews get into mid-70s and above the HI goes nuts.  Some years back I found a couple sites at Iranian oil-handling islands on the Persian Gulf that were reporting 98-100F with TD 88-90 and HI well into the 130s.  Those readings were consistent over several days.  Maybe each site had data issues, or maybe that's the dewpoint capitol of the world. 
(Several times the reports included wind 25-30 mph with condition listed as "sand".  I can't think of a worse wx experience, outside of strong tor/canes.)

Follow-up to CAR minima:  They were reporting 73 at midnight, warmer at 10 and 11 PM, down to 71 by 1 AM.  Looks like their warmest minimum breaks the record, but by 2° rather than 3°.

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

JFK and EWR 100

No surprise at EWR, while Central Park gets surrounded by ever taler trees.  From 2000 on, NYC has reached 100 six times, the most recent in July of 2012.  EWR has notched 40 triples during the same 26 years (don't have June numbers yet) and 17 of those have occurred in the 2020s.

KNYC 100°

And 15 minutes later my data becomes outdated.  

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Those a bit more familiar with far NNE climo ... is 82 at 8:50 am impressive for CAR, ME.  I'm assuming so.. but how much.   

Impressive but probably short of all-time records.  They've reached 96 on 4 occasions, May 1977 and June 1944, 2020, 2024.  Those peaks came with lower dews than the current condition, and cooking water likely will modify the heat.
Their temp only rose 4° between 9 and 11, currently 86 with TD 71, so 90-02 looks better than 96 (unless mixing brings the dews to low 60s).  However, if the morning low of 74 holds, that will be their record mild minimum, currently 71 reached a half dozen times.

14 hours ago, VivaManchVegas said:

This is going to be unpopular, but cutting down trees to make room for solar panels should be outlawed.  Unless they are impeding on your house and possible storm damage.  I drive through Maine and see acres of clear cuts for panels.  Its gross. On top of commercial buildings, land fills, desert or other wastelands, fine.  

Edit.. I will add open hayfields to the ban. 

Our home has trees 70-80 feet tall within 10 yards on 3 sides - 4th side same tree heights but 30 yards from the house.  To make solar feasible we'd need to cut about a 3-year supply of firewood (5 cd/yr) and buy a new roof.  No thanks.

2nd straight evening with all the action sliding to our south.  Not even a flicker.

13 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah I bet the neighborhood is bustling at -25F.

I love the cold and spend most time outside on the mountain in it, but it’s a fools errand to say more folks are outside in extreme cold than extreme heat.

Plenty of folks out up here.

Probably reached past -25 only once last (cold) winter - the frigid (2/-13) Sunday as the fluff bomb was approaching.  Most recent -40 would be Feb 3-4, 2023.  It's not an every-day phenomenon.  (Unless you're on the Rockpile)

Mid 80s here with somewhat filtered sun and TD about 70 - summer.  Forecast for tomorrow would predict a new hottest day here (currently 93) but our dense forest pumps cooling air into the atmosphere.  The co-op 3 miles to my SE has a much better chance to be 95+.

June 2026 numbers

Avg max:    72.8    +1.3     Warmest:  85, 12th
Avg min:     51.2     +1.6    Coolest:    35, 2nd
Mean:         62.0    +1.5

Precip:    5.51"     +0.72"    Wettest day:  1.27", 18th
This is the 2nd consecutive AN.  Last time that happened was Dec 23-Jan 24.
We had 6 days with thunder, one more than we had all last year.   June avg is 3.4.   

None of the TS were anywhere near severe, but they helped to bring AN total.  YTD is still 2.86" BN but the gap has narrowed.
 

2 hours ago, mreaves said:

We'll probably still get them - "Sunny and 88°, again"

Maybe.  My older brother was in the Corps of Engineers and during the monsoon season of his Vietnam year (1967 into 68) there would be thunder and torrential rain 3-5 PM, so regular that one could almost set one's watch by the storm times.

1 hour ago, OceanStWx said:

Maybe more impressive is that thing is just a ball of lightning. At its peak there were like 650-700 CGs in 5 minutes.

Around here 10 per minute is a lot.  My only experience with anything close to the above came July 15 years ago at DEC.  The storm was 6-8 miles to our south and the flashes were essentially uncountable - at least 100 per minute.  Thanks to frequency and distance, the thunder was a constant drum roll.

Had a brief (10 minutes with most of the 0.16" in the first 2) but noisy TS arrive at 5 last afternoon.  That makes 6 days with thunder this month, one more than all of last year.  (Annual average is 15.)

Time to get back to summer wx.  Every day June 16-26 was BN, though modestly - the period was only 2.9° BN.  The previous 7 days were 8.9° AN so the 18-day period was +1.7.  Month's precip up to 5.35", first 5"+ since May of last year.

Decent TS rolled thru here 4-4:30, pooch is still unhappy.  It's the 5th day this month with thunder (last June had none) and probably put monthly precip past 5".

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

One way to get big heat up here is over the top. The gfs op has a couple of good plumes advecting in from James Bay.

The euro still has some flies in the ointment trying to limit the heat potential.

Either way the ridge retros to the west after the 4th on most guidance.

I wonder if that's why the heat of June and August last year were different.  Both June 24 and August 12 hit 92 in our transpirationally-modified cabin in the woods, only one degree from our hottest.  The June heat came with dews over 70 (I was miserable, having had knee replacement surgery the day before) while August 12 was the middle day of only our 2nd heat wave in 28 summers here and had dews mid-60s. 
Those peaks were also different from some normally hotter MA sites.  On June 24 NYC/PHL/BWI were 98 to 101 and ACY reached 102.  August 12 was only 90-91 at the big cities and a mere 86 on the boardwalk (actually the AP) at ACY.

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

Actually most days have been AOA although yesterday and today no.  Remember, it’s June and this month averages about 5-7F less than July so expectations should be kept in check.  July looks to start hot but what’s Independence Day without heat?

July here is 5.1° warmer than June, thanks to the long plateau from 7/6 thru 8/10 in which the average temp varies only 1.1°.  I don't have June 1-3, other than the 84 max on the 3rd, warmest on the max-min while we traveled.  Though 6/4-22 had 9 BN days and 10 AN, the average is 2.8 AN thanks to the heat of 10-13.  When I derive 1-3 (from nearby sites), it's probably about +3 for 1-22.  If it finishes there, 6/26 would rank 4th or 5th warmest of 29.

York/Cumberland Counties with 2-2.5", gauge here had 0.25", ranking 83rd of 92 cocorahs reports.  The bottom 9 were many miles NE from here, mostly Aroostook.  June average total is a bit over 5" - still in play but probably won't reach it.  On average we get 3 months/year with 5"+; most recent fiver was May 2025.

43 minutes ago, alex said:

The DOT removed the dams because they are right next to 302, so it’s all set now. 
 

In other news, another 0.34” already since midnight. Can’t make this shit up. 

Brief moderate shower while I was driving home from Farmington.  Usually these showers die before leaving the mountains.

11 hours ago, alex said:

I wish lol. We’ve gotten multiple rounds of 2-3” rainstorms. And I had to deal with beavers damming a stream behind my property so that about 20 acres of my property ended up flooded for days - fortunately not the section that the houses are on! Fun times. I’ll take some drought now…

Call the ACO - maybe that official will trap out the dam builders.

11 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Max I see so far is 2.76" Kingfield ME.  Meso models showed the NNE R+ well.  Mt. Mansfield 2.08"

Next town to the north (Carrabassett Valley) reported 3.04", and the eponymous river rose 7 feet at the North Anson gauge.  Had 1.27" in our Stratus, 3.51" for June.

On 6/16/2026 at 9:39 PM, vortex95 said:

In any given situation, the worst-case scenario is the least likely to happen in the mean.  The notion, "better safe than sorry" is a weasel line to give an excuse to always go w/ the worst-case scenario. 

Also, "we are saving lives!"  Forecasts and awareness has become so good in recent decades, one can't hide behind that as an excuse anymore.  Lives are lost now more IMHO b/c people have become numb and apathetic to the relentless hype.  They have no idea what to believe, so many just tune it all out.   That ends up costing lives when a truly exceptional event (worst-case) occurs, and it's made even worse b/c the exceptional events are greatest risk to lives.

I admit though this is an extremely complex social issue, among other things, and no easy way to figure out what works best.  One thing i will stand by solid though. "more [warnings/alerts} is not always better!"
 

We are in the 3rd flash flood watch since last Friday.  The first 2 provided 1.43" but flow on the local 4th-order watercourse (Sandy River) has barely stayed above the 25th percentile.  The initial watch verified in a small area around Conway NH with reports of 3-5" and quick flooding, while 99%+ of the watch areas had a nice drink.

On 6/16/2026 at 9:09 PM, vortex95 said:

That 34" in NJ.  That's only, what, 1" from the record for the state set in the Bliz of 96?

Blasphemy the 1947 event is called "Boxing Day Blizzard," at least for Scott.  All he ever talks about is the 2010 blizzard for Boxing Day!  LOL.

That 34" dump came at Oak Ridge Reservoir, about 10 miles west from where I grew up.  In January that site's pack reached 41", the only time I've seen for NJ pack >36" except for Feb 1961 when Oak Ridge had 50" and 15 miles farther NW, Canistear Reservoir topped out at 52".  We probably had 45" after the 3-4 blizzard that year.  A friend and I decided to wade thru the pack and it was navel-deep on me (was 5'7 or 8" at the time) and my boots likely didn't get within 6" of the ground.

The 35" record was set at the state's least snowy site, Cape May, in the Feb 1899 cold blast and storm.  Even Tallahassee had 2".  Initial reporting from Mt. Arlington (western Morris County) had 35.5" from the 2021 Jan-Feb dump, but QC follow-up lowered that to under 30".

1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said:

With how measurements are done now, these totals would likely be 1.5x what was reported here: Tblizz would be reporting a 30 burger with that storm track

My guess was 24" at our NNJ home, but only a guess due to the wind.  Coming 15 cold days after the "JFK inaugural" storm, Feb 3-4 brought the deepest pack in NJ records, reaching 50"+ at 2 locations.  The storm arrived on Friday evening and even with the weekend we had no school that Monday.  NYC schools were closed the entire week.
Closures that winter meant extended days in hot no-AC June. 

9 hours ago, vortex95 said:

*Any* wx anomaly or deviation now is news and hyped.  Inane.  As if everything should be exactly normal/avg all the time?  Guess what, normal/avg doesn't exist as many think it does!  And hyping how the planet works normally (that's what it has become now) and acting like something is wrong is pure drivel.

You can make a living on-line now just finding anything going on across the globe to the smallest minutia and hype it as if it is significant.  Basically taking the fact that "something is always going on" and making a big deal out of it no matter what.  Have to have that CONTENT for clicks/likes, engagement bait, drive the algorithms, and monetize!  It has become a sideshow within a sideshow and race to the bottom.

All true, and the newsies seem always focused on the worst-case scenarios.  ("If it bleeds, it leads.")

50 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

 

 

I recently did maps and updated the site for all these storms. March 1960, two Feb 1969 storms, Dec 1992, Apr 1983 and others. Just finished Boxing Day Dec 1947 snowstorm last night.

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/historic-storms

 

Though it's now #3, that 1947 storm might've been Central Park's biggest, exceeded due to measurement changes.  My opinion is based on snow depth.  The 12/47 event pushed the pack from 2" to 26" (NYC's tallest on record), while #2 - Feb 2006 - only reached 17" and #1 - Jan 2016 - brought the depth from zero to 22". 
I think that Central Park records depth at noon, or why the 26th only reported 4" despite nearly all the snow fell before midnight, and that 26" pack was measured about 10 hours after accumulation had stopped.  The numbers:
12/25   33   19       0         0        2"
12/26   31   25   2.36"   26.1"     4"
12/27   35   29   0.04"    0.3"   26"

We'll never know for sure.