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tamarack

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Posts posted by tamarack

  1. 1 hour ago, dendrite said:

    Most of the areas in NNE have unimpressive or low depths. Mostly single digit depths outside of elevation. 

    IMG_5308.jpeg

    Between 10" and 11" at the stake.  28-year average is 10.30".  Not crushing it but thoroughly average despite BN precip Dec and so far Jan.  Average total snowfall thru Jan 12 is 31.9"; hard to be much more average than that.

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  2. 14 minutes ago, sankaty said:

    Agree with you that few folks like being cold, but being out in the cold (even the very cold) does not equal being cold. My friends and I who are out in the bitterest weather skiing, running, biking, and hiking surely tolerate more cold than some folks, but we're pretty comfy for the most part. There's a fair amount of truth to the adage that there is no bad weather, only bad clothing.

    Or as the somewhat urbane silviculture professor at U. Maine put it (in a rich southern accent), "There's no such thing as inclement weather, just improper clothing."

    I'll admit to no longer going ice fishing when it's well below freezing.  Tending my homemade topwater traps becomes a serious chore.

    In the 18 days since Christmas, we've had 6 snow events that provided a grand total of 7.8", with 2.3" the biggest "storm".  Looks like the parade of midgets will continue

    this week.

    sit outside in a lawn chair for 3-4 hours (even if dressed like an eskimo) and tell me its enjoyable or tolerable or likable 

    That's a good description of my deer hunting in late November, though I sit on a stump or log and probably move at least once during that time.  :D

    • Like 1
  3. 44 minutes ago, ariof said:

    Sure and if that verified then MSP would see its:

    First -20 temp since Jan 2019*
    First -30 temp since Feb 1996**
    First -35 temp since Jan 1888***

    Lock it in.

    * At almost 7 years since -20, it's the longest >-20° there; previous 5-year streaks ending 1961, 2004, 2009, 2014
    ** 30 years is by far the longest such run for -30°, three others at 19 years ending 1935, 1962, 1996
    *** -41° in 1888 is the record and the most recent <-35° of four occurrences. -34 did occur in 1934 and 1970.

    Only one -35 or lower, Jan 16, 2009  Same day that Big Black River touched -50, to eclipse Van Buren's -48 for the state's coldest on record.
    Six lows of -30 or colder, most recent Jan 27, 2022.
    73 lows of -20 or colder, most recent on Feb 4, 2023.
    2023-24 and 2024-25 marked the first time for consecutive winters w/o a -20, though last Feb had a -19.  Dec 9, 2025 got down to -18, earliest by 7 days to reach that cold.

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  4. 2 hours ago, moneypitmike said:

    Last night’s surprise 2.5  is 250x what ill get on the 15/16.

     

     

    IMG_6274.jpeg

    Nice!  We had some mood flakes while driving home from Farmington last evening.  Snow squalls are admittingly hit or miss, but we get the miss at a high percentage, except when we lived in Fort Kent where they were common.

    • Like 2
  5. On 1/10/2026 at 6:29 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

    Just went through them all. Just an unreal stretch of biggies.

    2 lists

    20”+ storms since 2000

    February 16-17, 2003

    December 5-7, 2003

    January 22-23, 2005

    December 19-20, 2009

    February 8-9, 2013

    January 26-27, 2015

    February 7-9, 2015

    February 14-15, 2015

    January 7, 2017

    January 28-29, 2022

     

    16”+ storms since 2000

    February 16-17, 2003

    December 5-7, 2003

    January 22-23, 2005

    December 19-20, 2008

    December 19-20, 2009

    December 26-27, 2010

    February 8-9, 2013

    March 7-8, 2013

    January 26-27, 2015

    February 7-9, 2015

    February 14-15, 2015

    January 7, 2017

    January 4, 2018

    March 13-15, 2018

    January 28-29, 2022

     

     

     

     

    Ten storms 20"+ is impressive.  Our locale averages nearly 90"/season but only 7 events 20+ (plus 19.9" on March 7-9, 2018).  Only common events were Dec 2003 and Jan 2015.  Even your 15 storms of 16"+ is one more than here (and only adds March 13-15, 2018 as common), though we've had 4 more of 15-15.5".  
    I've noted that big snowstorms are similar whether in NNJ where I grew up and any of the Maine locations where we lived.  Even in Fort Kent, which averaged 134"/season in our 9.7 snow seasons there, had only 3 of 20+ and 6 of 16+.  They had loads of the more modest events, though, 24 of 10"+ and 63 of 6"+.  In our 27 winters here, it's 47 of 10+ and 117 of 6+.

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  6. 2 hours ago, weathafella said:

    Between that and the July 66 manning the hot grill which was worse?

    7/3/66 takes (bakes?) the cake.  The coil thermometer at the end of the counter, 10-12 feet from the grill, reached about 140 - scale only reached 120 and the needle was well beyond that line.  I'm better off NOT knowing how hot it next to the grill.  :D
    In 1977 I could climb down to the 1st floor in 20 seconds.  In 1966 I was behind the counter all day.  Closing time was 8 PM but people were still pouring in 15 minutes later, so I went on the loudspeaker to say we were closed but would serve all who were already inside the lodge.  (Got a bit of flack from the park supervisor but he soon understood.)
    At that time, I'd never had a cup of hot coffee despite brewing the stuff in the 50-cup urn.  Ice tea demand went up and down with the temp; coffee demand went up and down by how many people came thru the gate.  Could not understand then but later learned the joy of hot coffee in all weather. 

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  7. 1 hour ago, weathafella said:

    You have no idea how close you have come!  I was in the loft of the piano craft guild on Tremont St where I lived.  My gf was with me and we were looking out across the courtyard and a couple was fully engaged with no window coverings.  No ac btw.  Gf looked at me as we were stewing in our own juices on that infernal night and we both concluded-way too hot to consider even for a second…lol.

    That makes me think of May 22, 1977, the day I chose to add insulation to the attic of our small (18x20) Fort Kent 2-story, while CAR tied its all-time hottest at 96.  We're so smart. :fulltilt:

    Hot Saturday was the only time I've been in Maine saltwater that felt genuinely warm, near Otter Cliffs in Acadia.  (After baking my brain while picking blueberries next to Rt 1 in Gouldsboro that morning.  A little sugar and we could've made jam right in the field.)

    Approached mid 40s here, about 5° above what I'd thought.  Nice wx for replacing the broken pull-starter on our snowblower.  Too bad they sent the wrong piece.

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  8. 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

    I’m probably gonna be up north, so I’ll miss whatever it is that happens, but that should lock in something decent for SNE due to me being out of state.  :lol:

    Current Sun/Mon forecast for Fort Kent is 4-8", with perhaps some little bits Tues/Wed.

    Had 0.15" last evening and today's max (38) came about 12:01 AM.  Only lost 2" of pack from the 12" after the last little storm, though sun and upper 30s might cost another inch.  By tomorrow night probably back to 12".  Driveway is glare ice - had to apply a half bucket of ashes so the letter carrier won't get stuck.

    • Like 2
  9. 19 hours ago, tavwtby said:

    yeah I think I still have the forecast from ALY for 2015 showing 24-30" for my area, had like 10 hours of sand...

    Had 20" of 9:1 cold sand at single digits from that storm, one of only 4 events (27 winters) to meet blizzard conditions here in the sheltered woods.  Unfortunately, I never saw a flake at home - was with family in SNJ, where the forecast 12-16" verified at 1.5", all of which was gone 4 hours from final flakes.  3rd of 4 times that winter that warned storms verified at 1/8 (or less) of the low end of the forecast range.  Got to shovel it all, however, getting home about 12 hours after it ended.

     

  10. 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

    In Jan 94 had a midnight high of 49 and still finished BN with  midnight low of 2 lol

    Jan 94   Gardiner, Maine
    26     3   -16     T      T     25
    27    11    -21    T      T      25
    28   45     -1   1.61   2.5   24
    29   41     18    .01            21
    30   18      0                     21
    31    15   -10                     21

  11. 2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

    How can anything in mid January, with most people below normal for snow, be considered pure gravy? IMO, we are wasting peak climo snow season for many currently. 
     

    if we have any shot at anything resembling a normal season, we need changes soon, and not just back to cold temps and 1/2” clippers 

    January here is usually snowy - 22% of season total - but doesn't have all that many big events. After 27 winters:
            10"+(47)  15"+(18)
    NOV       1           0
    DEC      10          4
    JAN       6           1
    FEB       11           5
    MAR     15           6
    APR       4           2

    • Like 1
  12. 1 hour ago, TheMainer said:

    One of my rox mounts actually did break and I had to zip tie to get home with it, had almost 6,000 miles of abuse and then a smooth ride with the wife at 50-60 mph with no bumps and it breaks :lol:

    I do appreciate the Maine insight you have, definitely a different world up here than other areas. Hope you guys do alright down there too, trends look promising. You should have good riding I imagine with the snow the past few days and what's coming this weekend. We need a good season after these past 5 disappointments.

    Haven't heard any traffic on the club trail thru our woodlot, though I might've missed some.  Had 12" at the stake this morning, but the northerly 100 yards of trail on us require 15-18" of dense pack to avoid having the groomer clanging on the rocks. 

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  13. 17 hours ago, Layman said:

    Couple questions for the active snowmobilers amongst us here:  

    I looked at a property today that I'm really interested in but it's got a local snowmobile club trail bisecting a portion of it.  It's not a corridor or primary trail - it's specifically listed as a "secondary" and "club trail".  Is it possible to say what kind of frequency trails like this are accessed/used?  Is it frowned upon if/when trails are rerouted on the same property?  Are these trails used in the summer?

    This is a rural vacant building lot and a location to build a house is above the existing trail by about 250 feet in a straight line and maybe 75 to 100 feet in elevation.  Seems close for someone who's looking for significant privacy (me!) and am seriously considering this property.  

    Tagging a few people here who I've seen post about snowmobiling in case you have any input on this - TIA:  @WinterWolf @dryslot @mreaves

    Don't own a sled but the club trail runs about 1,800 feet thru our woodlot, passing within 450 feet of the house.  On a weekend day there might be 30-40 sled passes, when the trails are in good shape.  We can barely hear them from inside the house, though if I listen the buzz is easily heard.  (Traffic on the paved road 2,000 feet away makes more noise.)
    Caveats:
    1. Our town holds only about 1,500 people.  Next town west, Farmington (county seat) has just over 5,000.
    2. There's better sledding within a 30-minute drive.  Probably most on our trail ride from their dooryard.
    3. That 450-foot span is thick forest, though mostly hardwoods.
    Summer use is limited to a few walkers and a handful of 4-wheeler passes by club members doing maintenance.

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  14. 6 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

    cut them in Spring. They never seems to pop back

    The 1998 ice storm left a nice-looking white birch bent nearly 90°.  The tree was 7-8" diameter and had been 45-50 feet tall.  When I noticed it was lifting a bit, I tossed a rope over it about 25 feet from the stump, attached the rope to my come-along and to another tree.  Every few days I'd cinch up the rope and by mid-April the tree was back to nearly vertical.  We then moved to New Sharon on May 15 so I've no idea how that birch is doing now.

    About 2" here, with off-on light snow, temp low 20s.

    • Like 1
  15. 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

    Ray, Feb 1956 and Feb 1972 were good and both La Nina...'56 was a strong Nina.

    I'm stil trying to find a similar pattern as to the one being forecasted by ensembles....I agree Feb 2014 is prob the closest but that had the lower heights biased further west....more of a -PNA than is currently being progged. Late Jan/early Feb 2013 is another somewhat similar pattern too. 

    56/72 were 50-50 Februarys at our NNJ homes (moved 8 miles south in 1971).  Feb 56 was a nothingburger, only 4-5".   That winter's peak was in March, including a 24" dump on 18-19, the first double-digit snowfall I remember (I was 21 months old for the Dec 26-27, 1947bomb) then a 12" paste bomb in early April brought the total past 60" (avg about 40).  Feb 72 was the best of a mediocre winter, with a ~10" storm in mid-month and 2 lesser storms, the month producing more than half of the winter total.

    I had two of those, one on each side. Did lapro on one then 2yrs later had another on other side and went with open procedure. Also have shoulder impingement, that can go from one side to the next. getting older is not fun.

    No shoulder surgeries but I've damaged both.  At 18, I tossed a baseball 270'.  Today, I might not reach 70.

  16. 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

    I think the epic stretch was more December into early January...February was relatively tame....then March into early April ramped up again. I had 12.3" that February.

    In Gardiner where we lived during 95-96, DEC thru APR, first parts of months were super, last parts were awful.  Snowiest by 30"+ of 13 winters there but only 5th place for SDDs.

                                       temp  precip    snow
    First parts:  81 days   -6.4     11.56"    127.2"
    Last parts:  71 days   +4.8    14.58       9.2"

  17. 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

    Had nerve block yesterday.  Actually last knee was easy. Bionic man now so much hardware the body scan at the airport goes crazy. Two knees a shoulder an ankle and 4 rods in the back

    Way ahead of me - only the left knee last June (may your 2nd knee be as easy as my 1st) and neck fusion in 2011.  Other surgeries - prostate, and ablation for A-fib - didn't require leaving any hardware.

    • Like 2
  18. 15 hours ago, tavwtby said:

    historically, our best timeframe for hecs, or just coastal storms in general, has been the last couple weeks of January into the first couple weeks of February...and then again around the ides of March...if we can squeeze out some bonus snows before and after that period and hope for a nice bomb in between, we can maybe reach climo avg for the first time in years in SNE...and elsewhere for that matter... here's to wishcasting for the new year! also, another year without a storm on my birthday tomorrow so I digress.

    Only one site and farther north, but here's the season-progressive chronological sequence for our biggest (15"+) snowfalls, 18 of them in 27 winters.  (But only 2 in the past 7.)
    Only 4 have met blizzard conditions here, marked by *. 
    Not including 25-26, snowfall thru Jan 31 has averaged 49.2", Feb 1 forward is 49.3", but 72% of the biggies have come in the 2nd half.
    24.0"   12/6-7/2003 *
    22.0"   12/16-18/2022
    15.5"    12/21-22/2008 *
    21.0"   12/29-30/2016
    20.0"    1/27-28/2015 *
    17.0"    2/5-6/2001
    21.0"   2/10-11/2005  (thunder)
    21.0"   2/12-13/2017
    15.5"   2/14-15/2007
    24.5"  2/22-23/2009
    19.9"   3/7-9/2018
    16.5"   3/13-14/2018
    15.5"   3/14-15/2017 *
    16.0"   3/22-23/2001
    22.0"   3/23-24/2024
    19.0"   3/30-31/2001
    15.1"    4/1-2/2011
    18.5"   4/4-5/2007

    • Like 1
  19. 57 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

    Hopefully because of this prolonged cold a number has been done on the tick population 

    Only where the snow is gone.  Otherwise, the small rodents harboring the little beasts will be snug under the pack, safe from owls and other raptors.

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  20. 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

    Prob been since 1/28/10 since we had overperforming squalls this good down in SNE. That event was better in western and central areas whereas the squalls this time overperformed in east and southeast areas. 

    That squall was the best I'd seen since living in Fort Kent.  At RUM (for a meeting) it lasted less than 45 minutes and dropped 2" horizontally while chopping the temp by about 15°.  Only 1" at home.  Unfortunately, that was the last 'genuine' winter event for that cold season.  The 10" of grayish-as-it-fell 4:1 glop modified by 1"+ cold RA doesn't qualify as snow, for me.  Neither did the 3" of paste in the 3rd week of April.

    Nice if short squall went thru here just after noon, with a few minutes of visibility below 100 yards with some 20s gusts.  Only 0.4" from 0.01" but fun for a bit.

  21. 2 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

    although, Jan 2014 was fantastic for SNE

    Biggest snowfall that month was 1.9" on 2-3, at temps 10-12 below zero.  Farther north, CAR got no snow but had their 2nd coldest daily max with -15/-28.

    Just had a quick squall, visibility briefly under 100 yards.  It's letting up but might approach the forecast 0.5".

  22. December 2025
    Avg max:   26.5    -4.2     Mildest:  49, 19th
    Avg min:      6.8    -6.6    Coldest:  -18, 9th
    Mean:         16.7    -5.3   3rd coldest (#1:  '17, #2:  '13)
    Precip:    3.85"   -0.98"   Wettest:  1.26", 19th
    Snow:    22.4"    +3.0"   Biggest:  8.0", 24th    Deepest pack:  10" 24, 25

    2025 YEAR
    Avg max:   52.24    -0.35    Hottest:  92, 6/24 and 8/12.  Tied for hottest in June, hottest day in August.
    Avg min:    31.54    +031     Coldest:  -19, 2/2   7th year w/o -20 or colder  (Also, 3rd year bottoming at -19.)
    Mean:       41.96     +0.05  (Some illogic, can't find why.)    Coldest year since 2019.
    Precip:  37.22"  -11.61"   2nd driest year, only 2001 had less.  Wettest day:  1.53"  9/25.  9 of 12 months were BN.
    Snow (calendar year)  70.0"   -18.8"   Biggest:  12/24

    2025 had perhaps the fewest of standout events of our 27 full years here.  No double-digit snows, no 2"+ rains, the fewest days with thunder (5, previous low was 8, average is 15), no especially heavy winds.
    Ironically, the only real standouts were the hot days in June and August, especially the heat wave of August 11-13, only the 2nd one here - in the coldest year of the most recent 5. 
    The very low precip doesn't fit my idea of "event" - more like watching grass grow.  Fortunately, we had no problems with our shallow dug well, though the garden suffered, as my late-June total knee replacement
    hindered my ability to overcome the lack of rain.


     

  23. 31 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

    before 2018, i averaged ~2 double digits storms per year. Since then i have had 5 in the last 8 years.

    1/4/18, 12/17/20, 1/23/23, 3/4/23, 3/14/23

    it's no coincidence that the winter of 2022-2023 was my only above-average snowfall season in that 8 years.

    Depending how close to 2.0/winter, you're doing better than here considering our considerably greater average snowfall, currently 88.5" thru 27 full seasons.  We've had 47 storms of 10"+ in those 27 winters, or 1.7 per.  Maybe we do better on 20"+, currently 8 plus 19.9 in March 2018.

    Early January looks cold (~8-10° BN) and dry.  Maybe, like December, it can be BN for precip but AN for snow (22.4" vs 19.3" avg).

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