tamarack

43 minutes ago, alex said:

The DOT removed the dams because they are right next to 302, so it’s all set now. 
 

In other news, another 0.34” already since midnight. Can’t make this shit up. 

Brief moderate shower while I was driving home from Farmington.  Usually these showers die before leaving the mountains.

11 hours ago, alex said:

I wish lol. We’ve gotten multiple rounds of 2-3” rainstorms. And I had to deal with beavers damming a stream behind my property so that about 20 acres of my property ended up flooded for days - fortunately not the section that the houses are on! Fun times. I’ll take some drought now…

Call the ACO - maybe that official will trap out the dam builders.

11 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Max I see so far is 2.76" Kingfield ME.  Meso models showed the NNE R+ well.  Mt. Mansfield 2.08"

Next town to the north (Carrabassett Valley) reported 3.04", and the eponymous river rose 7 feet at the North Anson gauge.  Had 1.27" in our Stratus, 3.51" for June.

On 6/16/2026 at 9:39 PM, vortex95 said:

In any given situation, the worst-case scenario is the least likely to happen in the mean.  The notion, "better safe than sorry" is a weasel line to give an excuse to always go w/ the worst-case scenario. 

Also, "we are saving lives!"  Forecasts and awareness has become so good in recent decades, one can't hide behind that as an excuse anymore.  Lives are lost now more IMHO b/c people have become numb and apathetic to the relentless hype.  They have no idea what to believe, so many just tune it all out.   That ends up costing lives when a truly exceptional event (worst-case) occurs, and it's made even worse b/c the exceptional events are greatest risk to lives.

I admit though this is an extremely complex social issue, among other things, and no easy way to figure out what works best.  One thing i will stand by solid though. "more [warnings/alerts} is not always better!"
 

We are in the 3rd flash flood watch since last Friday.  The first 2 provided 1.43" but flow on the local 4th-order watercourse (Sandy River) has barely stayed above the 25th percentile.  The initial watch verified in a small area around Conway NH with reports of 3-5" and quick flooding, while 99%+ of the watch areas had a nice drink.

On 6/16/2026 at 9:09 PM, vortex95 said:

That 34" in NJ.  That's only, what, 1" from the record for the state set in the Bliz of 96?

Blasphemy the 1947 event is called "Boxing Day Blizzard," at least for Scott.  All he ever talks about is the 2010 blizzard for Boxing Day!  LOL.

That 34" dump came at Oak Ridge Reservoir, about 10 miles west from where I grew up.  In January that site's pack reached 41", the only time I've seen for NJ pack >36" except for Feb 1961 when Oak Ridge had 50" and 15 miles farther NW, Canistear Reservoir topped out at 52".  We probably had 45" after the 3-4 blizzard that year.  A friend and I decided to wade thru the pack and it was navel-deep on me (was 5'7 or 8" at the time) and my boots likely didn't get within 6" of the ground.

The 35" record was set at the state's least snowy site, Cape May, in the Feb 1899 cold blast and storm.  Even Tallahassee had 2".  Initial reporting from Mt. Arlington (western Morris County) had 35.5" from the 2021 Jan-Feb dump, but QC follow-up lowered that to under 30".

1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said:

With how measurements are done now, these totals would likely be 1.5x what was reported here: Tblizz would be reporting a 30 burger with that storm track

My guess was 24" at our NNJ home, but only a guess due to the wind.  Coming 15 cold days after the "JFK inaugural" storm, Feb 3-4 brought the deepest pack in NJ records, reaching 50"+ at 2 locations.  The storm arrived on Friday evening and even with the weekend we had no school that Monday.  NYC schools were closed the entire week.
Closures that winter meant extended days in hot no-AC June. 

9 hours ago, vortex95 said:

*Any* wx anomaly or deviation now is news and hyped.  Inane.  As if everything should be exactly normal/avg all the time?  Guess what, normal/avg doesn't exist as many think it does!  And hyping how the planet works normally (that's what it has become now) and acting like something is wrong is pure drivel.

You can make a living on-line now just finding anything going on across the globe to the smallest minutia and hype it as if it is significant.  Basically taking the fact that "something is always going on" and making a big deal out of it no matter what.  Have to have that CONTENT for clicks/likes, engagement bait, drive the algorithms, and monetize!  It has become a sideshow within a sideshow and race to the bottom.

All true, and the newsies seem always focused on the worst-case scenarios.  ("If it bleeds, it leads.")

50 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

 

 

I recently did maps and updated the site for all these storms. March 1960, two Feb 1969 storms, Dec 1992, Apr 1983 and others. Just finished Boxing Day Dec 1947 snowstorm last night.

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/historic-storms

 

Though it's now #3, that 1947 storm might've been Central Park's biggest, exceeded due to measurement changes.  My opinion is based on snow depth.  The 12/47 event pushed the pack from 2" to 26" (NYC's tallest on record), while #2 - Feb 2006 - only reached 17" and #1 - Jan 2016 - brought the depth from zero to 22". 
I think that Central Park records depth at noon, or why the 26th only reported 4" despite nearly all the snow fell before midnight, and that 26" pack was measured about 10 hours after accumulation had stopped.  The numbers:
12/25   33   19       0         0        2"
12/26   31   25   2.36"   26.1"     4"
12/27   35   29   0.04"    0.3"   26"

We'll never know for sure.

Two TS last evening totaling 0.88".  First one (7-8 PM) began with a few giant drops - sounded like hail hitting the car - then 0.10" in 2 minutes followed by less intense rain.  2nd one came 10:30-11 PM and added 0.33".   

2 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Can you imagine if we ran a full month of +9F? Wow!

June, and especially July and August, probably have never finished at +9 in our part of the country; even +5 is extreme.  Winter is far different - December 1989 and Feb 2015 were 12-14° BN over much of the Northeast, and Feb 1981 at CAR was nearly +15.

Small warned TS passed just to our north, close enough to terrorize our dog but giving us only a sprinkle.  Radar had some echoes of 60+ dbz - maybe some hail in the towns to our east and northeast.

13 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Indeedsnow SEZ otherwise!  Just ignore the NW flow supercell in CT today.  How about that 5.47" in Albany NH ydy?

Beats my 0.07".  June has brought rain on 6-7 days but we're still under 1". 
Last year we had only 5 days with thunder, about 1/3 of the average and only the 2nd (of 28 years) that failed to get at least 10 - 2010 had only 8.

Morning low of 65 here, first 60+ minima of the season.  First TD near/at 70 as well.

10 hours ago, vortex95 said:

March 1960 was epic, and so was Feb 1969 for different reasons.

Two notable storms in Feb 1969.  The late month "100-hour" storm was a New England event; we had 4" of mush at our NNJ home.  The storm of 9-10 was the "Mayor Lindsey" snow.  The NYC forecast had been heavy cold rain, but the 15.3" of heavy wet snow that paralyzed the city as the sanitation crews (plows on garbage trucks) were not alerted.  The head of the sanitation union said of Lindsey, "He played it by ear but was stone deaf!"
Our scout troop was at Allamuchy Scout Camp in NW NJ that weekend, but my 1962 Beetle had no problems even though there was 8-9" new by the time we got home that Sunday.

10 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

December 92 was a rough one. But yeah Feb 2021 was brutal. March 01 was ok here. The month at least produced. We don’t talk about Dec 00 and Feb 01.

Dec 92 was a whiff at Gardiner, where we then lived - clouds, wind (thousands of white ash seedlings that spring) but no flakes.  March 01 is the 2nd snowiest (55.5") of any month I've measured, trailing only the 61.5" of Dec 1976 in Fort Kent.  The early month big dog was almost 20 hours of steady 0.5"/hr snow on 20-30 mph wind, but the capper was the pair of post-equinox storms that totaled 35" and boosted the pack to 48" on the 31st, deepest I've seen that late in the season.  Another even stronger storm had been forecast for 4/1, but it went east and crushed Newfoundland.

8 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Black flies are horrific right now.  Bloody arms and legs, from killing them as they bite.  They are insufferable once you get into the woods and especially at elevation.  Eventually they will die off, and then it will be deer/horse flies as the culprit. 

Very mild black fly period here, but the mosquitos are thick.  Also, fireflies have arrived.
This year makes 30 years since the worst black flies I've encountered.  On Friday, 6/7/96, I was with 3 others at Oquossuc Bald Mountain scoping out a sno-mo trail, and I don't think we saw 10 black flies.  The following Monday-Friday was our church's men's wilderness retreat, that year at Deboullie, about 25 miles SW from Fort Kent, and I predicted a modest black fly population.  We drove to Portage Lake, got out at Coffin's store, and despite the high 80s (black flies tend to hide when it's hot) the area was thick with the little beasts.  I slathered some Ben's 100 before launching our canoes at Pushineer Pond, and by the 75 minutes to reach the west end of Deboullie Pond where we would camp, the bug dope was no longer working.  Another application lasted but an hour - Ben's usually is worth 5-6 hours; no way I would put that stuff on hourly.  Next day when CAR hit the 90s, I was getting bombed while in the middle of the pond, 100+ yards from shore.  (Not enough air space over land?)  Only place to escape, other than the 100°+ temp sun-blasted tent, was in the rock crevices on the NW side of the pond, where there were still ice and snow.  The black flies weren't interested where the temp was under 50.

17 hours ago, MegaMike said:

+6 degrees within 5 minutes. 

Definitely didn't expect that. The first few observations looked suspicious too.

Good call, @CoastalWx

I guess I gotta' torch the sensor to collect on the over

Ancient history (2010) - in late April that year, PWM temp jumped from a cloudy 59 to a sunny 84 in 15 minutes when the east breeze switched to a strong SW wind.  I was at Mercy Hospital overlooking the Fore River waiting for my wife's knee surgery to be finished and had a full view to E (some fog) and W (much haze).

As May 2026 expired while we were in SNJ, I'll put its history here.  Some data are averages from nearby sites, though the 31 on 5/31 is a certainty.

Avg max:    63.9   0.8 BN     Warmest was 86, on the 19th.
Avg min:     39.2   0.8 BN     Coolest was 26, on the 4th and 9th.
Mean:         51.6    0.8 BN     As both March and April were AN, met spring averaged 0.7 AN.

Precip:   4.17"    0.20" AN.   Wettest day; 1.40" on the 15th.   May 2025 was also AN, but the 10 of the 11 months thru last April were BN.

Nothing out of the ordinary this May.  The 2nd and the 2nd from last were windy and cold (2nd had some IP as well) but beyond those 2 days, little was particularly memorable. 
 

51 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Bob tracking farther E made all the difference,  If you were in SE MA and CC, it was the BIG BLOW.  You can't expect too much when an accelerating HU passes E of you location at this latitude if you are looking for wind.  R++ OTOH? 

However sometimes wild turkey surprise occurs.  Edna in Sep 1954 BOS G88KT, it highest gust on record (beat G87KT from Carol 10 days earlier), and it was out of the NW as Edna passed over CC.  Edna was going ET rather quickly and I'd bet good $$ it was a sting jet over SNE.  If you look at HU Fiona's epic transition S of NS in Sep 2022, that's what likely happened to Edna.

Bob's landfall at BID was 90 kt, which is considerably above Gloria's (75 kt) and Belle's (65 kt) landfalls -- the strongest since Donna in 1960, so don't dis Bob! 

NWS BOX told me not long after Bob, they had a number of reports of "Scott spinners" on CC, but due to the extent of the straight-line wind damage and resources, they could not investigate those reports.  This was 2 years before the WSR-88D was installed, which now makes it much easier to pin down spinner reports and check specific areas, never mind cameras everywhere.  So the next HU that makes landfall in SNE, we'll likely see a number of spinners.
 

Those 3 1954 storms all had names of my relatives - cousin, aunt, great aunt chronological.
Carol was nothing I can remember, probably some rain at our NNJ home.
Edna was mostly dry.  We flew kites in its breezes.
Hazel had wind in NNJ comparable to Bob in central Maine, dumping some trees and plastering our home with pieces of tough October leaves.

Returned from our SNJ week last evening - #2 granddaughter's recital (plays flute/piano) and HS graduation, also saw the dress rehearsal of her school's mounting of "Annie".  She had her blond hair dyed auburn as she played Annie.  Got stuck in stop'n'go from south of Lowell nearly to Haverhill, no AC, car temp 89-90.  1,136 total miles.
Last Saturday we had wind tossing twigs from the sycamores and temp topping about 65 - norm there for 5/30 is 78-80.  While we were away, our temp ranged from 31 (late frost, perhaps Sunday morning?) to 84 (probably yesterday), and 1.02" rain.

On 5/31/2026 at 12:02 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Bob was a yawner for most.

Maybe we got more than most - gusts to 60, scattered tree damage (some falling on SE winds, some on back side NW winds), and 6.41", greatest calendar day I've experienced.  It looms bigger because the following 43 years have provided only dreck for TCs.

6 hours ago, vortex95 said:

It's going to be that type of event where we may not know until it actually happens, if it does.  The fact that the GFS/ECMWF/GDPS/UKMET has shifted the heaviest QPF into NNE, that makes it more likely.  Look at the cold 850 temps NW of the 850 low.

It's never going to look like a lock, even close to it, for snowfall this time of year.  Fun 'n games watching noodles and cats paws on the car windshield.  Scott may just travel to NNE for one last look at winter 25-26!   LOL.

The 00z ECMWF for after the weekend event?  Omega "Supreme" does not want to go away.  Not 1, not 2, but 3 more cold 500 lows NEUS!  And another weekend potential ruined June 6-8 w/ back-to-back coastals. 

Morning discussion from GYX noted 0°C or colder 850s and the possibility of some graupel and/or snow at elevations this weekend.  Sunny 70s here today.

Rain shut off right at noon, 0.87" total.  Need about 1/2" to reach the May average.  Thought things would clear but there's been more clouds than sun this afternoon.

31 this morning, light frost and no damage to the fruit tree blossoms.  Median here for spring's latest frost is 5/23 - might hit that tomorrow morning (low chance).

Deep blue this morning, leaf development has leaped from <25% to >75% since last Friday - instant spring.

2 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

A 75:1 ratio….sounds almost impossible?  But I guess not. That’s truly impressive. 

That had been my thinking.  When I vertically inserted the snow shovel, I could see it 3-4" into the stuff - not really surprising for snow that's 98.6% air.

26 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

The January fluff bomb had more wind here I think…now it wasn’t true blizzard…but we had very low visibility’s for a good amount of time in that one…with windy conditions at times…went out for a walk at the height(probably was a mistake lol), and couldn’t walk back to the house forwards, which was heading north into the snow, due to the wind driven snow here..and the cold was ferocious with 5 degree air temps, and  sub zero wind chills.  So that’s more what I mean. I took a little video…but I doubt I could upload it here. 

From 7 AM thru 1:30 PM on Jan 26, we enjoyed some of the prettiest, and slowest falling (<2 ft/sec) feathers we've seen - 6.0" in 6.5 hours.  Walking on that 6" was like walking on air; I figured that the 6" had less than 0.2" LE and was shocked that it melted to only 0.08", or 75:1.  Twice I've had storms of 4.5" with just 0.10" LE, 45:1, and once a 1" dusting had only 0.01", but 6" at 75:1 was something I thought impossible. 
Jan 25-27 data:
25:    2  -13   0.17"    2.0"   15"
26:   10   -1   0.55"   17.0"   28"   (peaked at 30")
27:   15   -4   0.05"   0.6"   25