tamarack

43 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Great let's throw another 1.5" precipitation into a ripening snowpack that has 2.5 to 5 inches of water. Then throw some crazy 60s over 40s to melt it all at once. Guaranteed to be flooding 

May be okay if the melt time isn't accompanied by significant rain.  I've not seen any major (3rd/4th order streams and main stem rivers) NNE watercourses get beyond minor flooding with snowmelt only.  (Of course, much of the modest snow in March 2012 was gone before the 80s arrived.)

53 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Impressive depths, especially ft kent. Seems those days are long gone.

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
 

Had to fasten a stick to the top part of the stake that winter, as it's "only" 61 inches above ground.  Last time we reached 40" was March 2019.  Got to 36" in March 2023 but tallest since then was the very brief 28" during the January fluff bomb - was obvious that the 25:1 snow was going to settle big time.

March average snowfall here is 17.1" but it's often feast or famine.  Five times it brought 30"+, including 55.5" in 2001, but 9 times it ranged from 10.0" down to 0.1".  
15 of our 48 storms of 10"+ came in March, and also 6 of the 19 events 15"+.  Next highest is February (no surprise) with 11 and 5. 

Yesterday's low-RH 46° settled/melted 2/3 of the overnight 2.8", leaving a solid 20" pack.  We've twice had 48" depth in March, on 3/1/08 from the last siggy snowfall of that snowy winter, and 3/31/01 - had 19" dump on 30-31.  In Fort Kent we reached 65" on 3/14/84 as 26.5" fell atop a 42" pack. 

27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Again squirrel is very good made right. Try something new find a Rod and Gun club wild dinner. From squirrel to pheasant to bear.

Gray squirrel is quite mild - ate a lot of them in my teens in NNJ, but my wife has less than zero interest.  Never tried red squirrel.  Haven't eaten bear, either, and won't kill a bear unless I've had some and liked it.

Nice raw north breeze under thin clouds, GYX says 20% chance of snow tonight, 60% chance of muck tomorrow night.  Bleccch! 

42 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Am I the only one that likes a faint smell of skunk? Not the intense nearby spraying. It’s like smelling gasoline to me. 

To me, the faint smell is on the edge of being perfumy.  When it's much stronger it reminds me of burnt rubber.  My one experience of fresh in-your-face skunk (animal control officer friend got nailed, entered his home while I was visiting) it was like having a stick shoved up my nose - overwhelming.  He walked thru the door and instantly the stench filled the room.

Looks like another snowstorm stays south, though it looks like we get the FRDZ mess tomorrow night into Saturday. 
Daughter is flying into PWM tomorrow morning, hope all goes as scheduled.

Snowed 9 PM thru about 2:30 AM, nice fluffy 2.8" on 0.23" LE, 22" at the stake.  Forecast had been 1-3.  Bright sun already has cleaned most of the trees.

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

OH I get it... just pointing out the silliness of it.

Truth be told, all that grading BS is is how well did one's dopa get its hits.

Who cares ultimately if one gets their rocks off.   Everyone has a different number for weather boner inches anyway. 

For me it's 20% data and 80% subjective.    I don't mind the cold as much as do normal people, I like a sustained decent pack and dislike winter rain.  Snowfall to date is within a fraction of an inch of the 27-year average YTD.  It's been very dry (DJF 6.84", only 48% of avg and our lowest by 1.80") but the freaky ratios of Jan 25-27 turned 0.77" LE into nearly 20".  The Feb blizzard, 0.2" - can't in them all.

All this adds up to slightly above average, so far.  March is generally either wonderful or woeful - not many in the middle.

Clouds finally coming in, preventing a possible 50+ diurnal range, as the morning low of -12 rose to 34-35 before noon.  BML hit the 50s range, with 39/-14.

-12 of fake cold this morning, possibly the season's last subzero, 99% it's the last double-digit below.

Forecast up to 2-4 here.  Hit -12 overnight, probably a 40+ diurnal range today.  Currently pure blue skies.

18 minutes ago, dryslot said:

2-4" looks good.

Happy with 2", expect 1", then the thaw.  GYX has 53 for here Sun/Mon.  Would be the first 50+ since Nov 8 (51° and the month's only 50+).

1 hour ago, NoCORH4L said:

Stolen in QC 

Was actually in NB.

Beautiful sun today, a breeze pushing the low 20s around.  Low this morning was -16 and I heard the most tree pops of any day in years, likely due to the late season with sap running.  The -23 morning in January had almost no pops.

Saw some clouds, then nice and sunny after noon.

34 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

We often are muchly different from the US averages.  2009-10 was one of the coldest met winters for the country, and one of the mildest here.

Colder now than the morning minimum and headed down under full sun.

February numbers:

Avg max:   29.5   +0.1     Highest:  41 on the 28th
Avg min:      1.6    -4.7    Lowest:  -18 on the 1st
Mean:        15.5    -2.3    Coldest DJF since 2014-15.  Also the 2nd greatest avg diurnal range, trailing only Feb 2004.

Precip:  0.76"   -2.11"   Wettest:  0.35" on the 11th.  Driest February, breaking by 0.19" the former record from 2024.  

Snowfall:   12.5"   -9.2"    Greatest day:  4.7" on the 11th   Average depth was 19.4", half an inch AN

Dry and cold month, especially the first half.  1-10 all had subzero minima; with Jan, 20 straight days.  1-15 had maxima 32 or colder and 24 straight.
 

10 hours ago, vortex95 said:

That's a good point.  That table is not updated as the paper it was taken from is from Dec 2013.  Do you have the storm surge for those days in Jan 2024?

Not the surge due only by the storm, but IIRC the high water was 14.1 on the 10th and 14.4 on the 13th.  

19 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

In Fort Kent we had 27" at the stake on April 6, 1982.  24 hours of temps in the low-mid teens and 15" later, we had 26".  Also had a bit of wind.

11 hours ago, vortex95 said:

feb2010.pdf 4.57 MB · 0 downloads

I know that Jan. 13, 2024 was at/near astronomical peak tides, but I was still surprised that it didn't make the list, as it set a new high water record that day, by 0.3 ft breaking the record set three days earlier.  (Unless later calculations have changed those peaks)

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Nams are a nice look for CNE and NNE but work here too. 

Current forecast from GYX has us at 0.5", with a 10% chance of 2".  The midget march continues.  

As I've whined before, that was the absolute worst double-digit "snow" event in my wx-aware lifetime (1950 forward).  The 10.7" had 2.67" LE and was so wet that it would splatter on branches rather than sticking like the above pic.  That mess was made even worse by the 1.14" RA at 33-35°, powered by the same NE wind that buried Central Park.  Our snow blower was broken (probably would've broken anyway in the glop) and pushing a full snow scoop was a chore.  The driveway had been bare ground, so the scoop was dragging thru the mud while holding 15-20 lb per square foot.  A year earlier (Feb 22-23) we'd had a 24.5" dump of 12:1 powder that was far easier to move even though it fell atop a 27" pack and resulted in 7-foot banks by the time we'd finished.  

The cocorahs in Temple, 10 miles west and 830' higher, reported 26.4" in that event.

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

2010/2011 was the closest with two Cat 3s Boxing Day and Jan 11-12th

2020/2021 had a Cat 2 and 3

2016/2017 had a Cat 2 and 3

2014/2015 had a Cat 2 and 3

2013/2014 had a Cat 2, 2 and 3

I'm curious what Jan 25-26th will end up being. I'm guessing a 4 so might end up being two 4s or a 4 and a 3. That storm was major for most of the United States east of NM/Texas.

 

Maybe, but the NESIS rating is Northeast-centered so I don't know the extent in which areas get included.  Jan 25-27 was better BOS and points north, Feb 23-24 better for PVD and points south.

10 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Thanks for the info/input.
 

The 2/2/1976 storm, yes 957 mb at CAR is their lowest pressured on record.  BOS had 965 mb for its second lowest on record (has this been matched or exceeded since?).  Bliz of 93 was about 963 mb when it passed over central MA (up from 960 mb peak over the Mid-Atlantic).

What is the "OV Blizzard?"  The Feb 1976 one?  The Jan 2018 blizzard offshore SE of ACK was 950 mb.  I seem to recall in the New England Wx Book (Ludlum) stated a storm SE of ACK in the mid 20th century was 947 mb.

The "CLE Superbomb" Jan 1978 lowest was 956 mb in Mt Clemens MI.

The New England non-tropical pressure record is 955 mb at BID set on 3/7/1932.  And Canton NY had 955 mb in a Jan 1913 storm.  These are the lowest non-tropical pressures for the CONUS, although very close is 955.2 mb at Bigfork MN set on 10/26/2010.  The

Thanks.  "OV (Ohio Valley) Blizzard = CLE Superbomb.  Sorry for the confusion.

The 2/2/76 event caused a mega-tidal surge up the Penobscot estuary, and the water at BGR rose 15 feet in 15 minutes, drowning about 200 cars in the Kenduskeag Plaza parking lots.

29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

As impressive as the '82 temps were, I actually think the 4/5/95 cold outbreak was more impressive. It was bare ground and bluebird skies....full sunshine. ORH put up a 26/12 that day....that is beyond crazy for such conditions in early April. I remember that day vividly because I had to walk to and from middle school in that....across an open sports field too part of the way. The wind was like razor blades into your face. 

We lived in Gardiner in 1995 and the afternoon high was 16 with winds gusting to near 50, but it was 31 at my 9 PM obs time the evening before, probably the 2d worst "midnight spoil" max I can recall.  Worst was March 6, 2007, when the afternoon high of -2 was wrecked by the 19 at 9 the previous evening.  March 2017 had one that ranks with 4/95, 14° at 9 PM on 3/10 followed by a zero for afternoon high.  Co-ops with 7 AM obs time have preserved those cold afternoons. 
(1st CT Lake had a high of -24 on Dec 26, 1980 thanks to the 7 AM protocol.  Mt Mansfield has tied that mark and MWN has numerous colder ones, but nothing in New England below 3000' asl can match it.)

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

<= 32F high temperature is difficult even at ORH in April...only 7 Aprils have pulled it off since 1990 (a couple of them did do it on multiple days like 2016)....they are significantly easier to pull off even 2 weeks earlier in the 3rd week of March. 

Farther north, we've had only 10 days in 27 Aprils with maxima 32 or colder, only 3 below 30 and the 24 during a modest snowfall on 5/2003 is lowest by 5°.

200 miles NNE in Fort Kent, such maxima are much more common, 3.1/yr vs. 0.37/yr.  Of course, the 1970s-80s were also colder than 1999 onward.  We recorded 31 such days in our 10 Aprils there, 30 of which were 23 to 32, plus the 17 max for the 4/7/82 blizzard.

15 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

Stein has really infected NNE…seems worse the further north you go. 

For sure.  Feb precip up to 0.76" with yesterday's 0.02" and not much in the near future - maybe a few pennies late Saturday.  Driest of our first 27 Februarys is 0.95" in 2024, but DJ & M that winter totaled 23.49".  DJ this winter: 6.08".  I doubt that March will bring 17.4" (precip, not snowfall ) to match 23-24.  Would be exciting, though.