tamarack

20 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

The high Greens in VT and the AT between Rangely and Katahdin are also sneaky dangerous if taken for granted.

Add the Mahoosucs.  I can't imagine going thru Mahoosuc Notch in winter.  In Sept 1985 a bunch of BPL folks went about halfway, entering from the east, then headed back out.  With no pack it was a fun scramble/slither thru the huge boulders.

39 minutes ago, dryslot said:

lol, I am my own boss and make my schedule, When there is snow, We go, The plan is a 200mi loop on Friday, But that's going to depend on weather conditions up there, So that's what i'm digging into now, Been off the board for several days but see i've not missed much.

Lots of sleds buzzing on the town trails in southern Franklin County, though the scenery isn't quite the equal of the top of Coburn Mt.

4 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said:

I have measured 13" of snow in Brattleboro since moving up here, considering the fact there have only been 7 recorded winter events between Nov.1-Dec.31 (amounts locked behind a $205 paywall, eff that), I got to imagine that most of what we have recorded in this area is the reports I been sending to NWS Albany since the 6th storm...

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

Maybe try cocorahs.org.  There's an active observer in Brattleboro, WH-29 (some inactives from the town with lower numbers).   I was able to get to that observer's data dump without signing back in, though as a member since 2009 I'm somewhat familiar with the site.

30 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

What are you the king of 

Rescue dogs

On the dim sun menu most of today, after the -12 low.  We must've decoupled earlier than the other rad pits.  We're almost never colder than BML/HIE on calm nights.

1 hour ago, George001 said:

Having a different way of grading how good a pattern is makes me dumb? All this talk about the pattern is just dancing around what the real problem is, which is CC. It’s not just bad luck, you even said it yourself. You are the guy who’s always talking about the speed of the flow being a limiting factor, and the role CC plays in it. So patterns that worked in the past no longer work. I’m probably oversimplifying things, but that’s what I got out of your posts. If it makes me stupid to question whether or not we had a favorable pattern when the temp anomalies for the winter are roughly +4 so far makes me stupid, then yeah I guess I’m dumb as shit. I prefer to look at the big picture rather than the smaller details. 

You've read enough of Tip's tomes to know that he thinks we're all neurotic about snow and cold, himself included.  And I won't argue that.     Always consider the source.

1 hour ago, UnitedWx said:

I argue with myself about that. I really like events like Tuesdays. I would happily take a solid day or three of snow only accumulating 8 inches "days and days" over a large event if it happened fairly consistent throughout the season... but ask me again in six months

Our 1st few months in Fort Kent (and some other periods there) displayed the lots-of-modest events snow.  From when we moved there on Jan 1 thru the 1.5" on May 7 as I tilled the garden, we had 93.5" with no events larger than 8".  (They did have at least one double-digit storm in Dec 1975.)

10 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

Thought never crossed my mind but nor that you mention it, its a good idea. I also checked New Hampshire, according to reports, a lot more people are going to Vermont than New Hampshire so I did look into that. Northern Maine is also an option.

Only 2 minutes totality at CAR.  PQI and especially HUL would be longer.  So would MLT.

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I said "this would make", as if this season were to finish below average.

You misunderstood.

And 23-24 would make the 6th since 17-18.  
(I think - I'm well known for misunderstanding things.)

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

We’ve measured 125” on Mansfield at this plot:

Bolton stands out big around here… from south to north:

Jay Peak… 187”

Smugglers Notch… 122”

Stowe… 125”

Bolton Valley… 165”

Mad River Glen… 109”

Sugarbush… 126”

Now, I’m not going to call anyone out but I will list the resorts who make note that they are actually measuring snow at set locations, have live cams on a snowstake or occasionally share photos of a constant location with a measuring device… Sugarbush, MRG, Stowe, Smuggs.

Infer what you want from that information.  There are two ski areas that I have never seen any proof of actual standardized measuring going on.

Mansfield co-op at 3,950' reached 149" in 1969, and hit the 130s in 1996 and 2001.  Jay base at 1,875' recorded a 110" pack in 1994 so 70% more near the top might not be impossible.  Would be better if they had a Stowe-like opening above 3k with a continuous spot to measure and photograph.

23 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I was hoping for this last year, but I'd take a Feb 1987 to cap the winter off. likely would cause some excessive melts inland though 

Feb 1987 was dry and near snowless.  However, we'd had 5 storms for 49" in Jan, so cry me a river.  

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, if February falls though I will start fading by that point and shifting to fantasy baseball, anyway. I'm exhausted by all of the hand-wringing and writing the past several years for what has amounted to very little winter.

Ready to just say "fuc k it" and hope a high-ACE La Nina changes things next year....this would make seven consecutive well below normal snowfall seasons for me.

Only 6 (17-18) but still a horrible run.

16 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Interesting how you’ve had more in NNJ than ME. 

My NNJ home average 40", current home just shy of 90 and our years in Fort Kent over 130.  Yet that 5-year period in NNJ had big storms like no other time I've experienced.
3/19-20/1956:  24"
2/15-16/1958:  18"
3/20-21/1958:  24"
3/3-4/1960:     18"
12/11-121960:  18"
1/19-20/1961:  20"
2/3-4/1961:     24"
(That 60-61 winter also had a 10-12" paste bomb on 3/23 with most falling in 4 hours, also a cold rain on 5/27 that had a few pingers.)

18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

i know Ray’s had several 30 burgers so a 25 spot must not make his top 5 but regardless of personal experience, that amount is extraordinary for SNE climo. I mean, i’d do some really nasty things for 25”. I’ve only eclipsed that once in my lifetime…Jan96. 

Same here, 26.5" on 3/14-15/1984 in Fort Kent.  Reached 24.5" at my current residence on 2/22-23/2009, also 24" five times - one here, one in FK and 3 in NNJ between 3/56 and 2/61.  (That 2/3-4/61 depth involves guesswork due to high winds.  A nearby site recorded 27".)

2nd straight January with both temp and snowfall AN.  Last January was almost +9 for temps; this month will probably finish between 2 and 4 AN.

1 hour ago, George001 said:

Still will be incredibly difficult to avoid an 8th straight AN temp winter. We keep kicking the can, first it was after Christmas, then mid Jan, now it’s Feb. Lets just call it what it is, a ratter.

That piqued my curiosity, as we were solidly BN for 2017-18 and even moreso in 2018-19, in which the 4 coldest months were all BN.  2016-17 was AN for DJM but slightly BN for DJFM thanks to March being 5.1° BN.

15 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Theres been wind and heavy wet snow in several events this winter.  We had a weekly pasting event for like 3 weeks in a row in Nov/Dec.

99% of this season's tree damage came on Dec 18.  We get a gust to near 50 every few years, but that day the gusts continued from 10 AM thru 2 PM.

First 7 hours brought 3.5" and it looked like an underperformer.  Then 2" more 7-9 PM and light stuff past 10 for a total of 5.7", right in the 5-9 forecast.  Dry powder but only 9.7-to-1 ratio; probably less than 8:1 until the evening feathers.

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

3” in the nose here and radar says we don’t get to 4, but I’m open to surprises.  
 

go Jeff!  Radar looks awesome in ME

Better bands are mostly to my south (and west, and east, and north).  Adding to the dense pack, however.  Barring a record (and long) thaw, we should have snow OG thru late March.

33 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Road conditions are just terrible in Franklin County right now.

My wife just got back from Farmington and said the roads are awful in this Franklin (County) too.  

I thought with temp near 20 and discussions yesterday we would get high ratios.  Have not taken a core but walking in the stuff suggest maybe 8:1 sand.

27 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Weatherunderground app has 3" for Lew, We have close to 4" now.............

Maybe 1.5" here with S- and tiny flakes.  Forecast this morning gave a 90% chance of reaching 4" and an "expected" of 7".  We probably won't approach the 7 and I'm not too confident of reaching the 4 - latest map has 1" after 7 PM.  On the bright side, this one won't turn to rain and mess.

First flakes at 11:50.

1 hour ago, George001 said:

Even in March 2018, which was an amazing stretch of winter (I don’t remember seeing bare ground until like the 1st week of April), but even during that stretch we rolled snake eyes a couple of times in my area.  The last nor’easter was shunted just south, the 1st one hugged the coast and it rained. However, it didn’t matter because the favorable pattern lasted for a month, and we got so many dice rolls that we didn’t need all of them to hit for a great month. Now 2015… that was the perfect combination of 99.9th percentile luck and a 10 week window of opportunity (great pattern in the aggregate).

March 2018 had 4 huge storms, 1-2, 7-8, 13-14 and 21-22.  I can't recall another month with that many biggies.  We whiffed on 1 and 4, totaled 3 feet from 2 and 3.

Dec-Jan are +5 so far, but I'd guess by month's end, Jan will be in the +2-3 range, and that's plenty cold up here for snow, if things break right.  And BN temps don't always mean a lot of snow - 2004, 2013 and 2014 were all BN and they're the 3 least snowy of 25 Januarys here.

AFC games were as expected, NFC not so much, come within a late score of dogs going 3-for-3.  The Cowboys' playoff miseries aren't that much of a surprise, but no one expected the 10-1 Eagles to crash, and lose 6-of-7.  And getting blown out by a team that needed a week 18 win to even be in the game.  The Philly DC needs to teach the guys how to tackle.

31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No . You sir .. are confused. 

When I use the confused emoji, it means that I was confused.  ymmv.

This storm grows up in N. Maine - CAR forecast is 8-14.  Latest for home is 4-8, which has steadily edged upward over the past 2 days.  We'll wait and see what the GYX night crew thinks.

14 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I didn't know you were so close to Belgrade lakes. The views from the golf course are spectacular.

Aroostook lake is frozen but not quite ready for trucks . From last week,

"I was standing there screaming at him to stop when he headed out,” Perkins said Monday via Facebook message. “We watched him walk out with [an ice chisel] and he chipped a hole in about five hits. [We] figured he was going to walk out and fish. All of a sudden he came flying out with the truck and down he went."

 

9.7 miles from my snow stake to the northwesternmost cove of Great Pond, but to my SE, not south.

3 hours ago, qg_omega said:

Real lakes, not ponds 

I think that 75,000-acre "pond" north of Greenville might be frozen over.

Maine waterbody nomenclature is a bit different.  Growing up in NNJ, we lived 100 yards from a 50-acre "lake", where I did most of my very frequent fishing.  Ten miles south of my current residence lies a 9,000-acre "pond".  At least it's named "Great Pond", largest of the Belgrade Lakes.