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tamarack

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Everything posted by tamarack

  1. Over the years I've assembled top-15 snowfalls for sites from Wash D.C. to CAR, using several sources. Mostly the Utah State site until it became quite cumbersome 7-8 years ago, then using the CLIMOD2 site from Cornell, also some tables seen on these forums. I'm sure there re errors and omissions, but it's been a fun task, especially when I get to revise lists due to recent events. The very light snow has stopped, but I can see a tiny bit still clinging to the Forester's windshield. GYX had reduced yesterday's 3-5 forecast down to 1-3 this morning - moving in the right direction!
  2. I've lamented that storm frequently on this site. It was the 4th and last event that winter to verify at 1/8 (or less) of the lower end of the forecast range. Finally having some snow - at this rate we'll achieve a dusting by sunset.
  3. Faced that scenario in Dec 2022. I'd bought the Husqvarna a few weeks early and learned that it was underpowered on its first excursion, 22" snow from 2.41" LE, powdery but solid. Even at its lowest speed, the pack would stall it within 5 feet. Had to go 2-3 feet, set over a foot, then do alternate 5-foot runs moving back and forth so only half the distance was full frontal attack.
  4. One of the more ironic records, given that Cape May probably has the lowest average snowfall in NJ. Of course, that Feb. 1899 blast also cooled Tallahassee to minus 2.
  5. Nothing here except wind, and the 2 flakes that flew by at 10:30. Grandkids in SNJ get to play in 15"+.
  6. Echoes overhead since sunrise, nothing has reached the ground yet. 10 AM reports, SFM S+, the only inland site with snow, coastal sites PWM to RKD with snow. BOS wind 37G60. ACK was 44G72 at 9, no report at 10. Saw 2 desiccated flakes at 10:30.
  7. Temps have been good, pack retention excellent and snowfall thru yesterday (62") is right on the 27-winter average, but the south trend seems to be increasing. Yesterday's forecast for today was 3-5, now 1-3, and Friday is moving toward a possible whiff. May end up with a very good snow season despite lots of misses. 2014-15 was the archetype for that at our place - 4th snowiest winter here and plenty cold, but this old saying fits: "The saddest words of tongue or pen: these are the saddest, 'It might have been.'" Ignoring the mega bust of Jan 26-27, 2015 in SNJ, here are 3 mega busts for our area (forecasts were the final ones prior to 1st flakes): Date(s) Forecast Result Nov 2 4-8" 0.5" 10-12" midcoast Dec 9-11 10-14" 1.2" Paste bomb in the mountains Feb 14-15 12-18" 1.5" 25" at Machias (Had blizzard warning here, forecast morning of 14th was 18-24, dropped 6" by the day shift) Totals 26-42" 3.2"
  8. You are correct, thanks. Another 8-10" atop what might fall Monday and Wed/Thurs and we'd have quite the pack.
  9. Nice, though that includes 2 and possibly 3 different storms. Maybe some more high-ratio pow; average here is close to 10, highest winter (98-99) was 12.4 and to date we're at 14.3. Apt to retreat as normal temps climb.
  10. We may or may not get anything signif9icant, but the grandkids in SNJ (about 25 miles SSE from PHL) are progged for 10-16. With 2 decent storms already and the cold (especially Jan into Feb) they've probably had more days with snow cover of any winter since moving there in 2015. Three years ago, their total "cover" was a flurry that turned the grass to light green.
  11. High end of the forecast range due to high ratio - 5.7"/0.34" LE, ratio 17:1. 23" at the stake.
  12. Yesterday was pure sun, little wind, 39/2, mildest max of the month so far. Low was 1 this morning but clouds moved in late morn and probably won't let the temp get past the low 30s.
  13. Near 32, TD probably mid-teens (IZG 1 PM 32/15) and clouds thick enough to block the glow spot. Should wet-bulb into the 20s and maybe some decent ratio like 12:1.
  14. That's where GYX is for here, while channel 13 has us in the coating-2" color, and a lot closer to nada than to 2-4". Yesterday it looked like a whiff.
  15. A wider stripe but otherwise looks like today's miss. Maybe 1-2 here, and GYX has Monday as another miss (though that one's 5 days away and things will likely change a few more times).
  16. One more time on the fringe? Or like today with breezy blue sky.
  17. Two good storms here, 24" and 13.2", but by Dec 15 we'd gotten 51% of the snow season total, which was about 15" BN. January did have our coldest afternoon highs since Fort Kent on 14-15, with -11 and -8, and a stiff breeze. (The -11 was spoiled by the -7 at my previous evening's observations.) where's my projected 35" over the next 7 days???? Maybe move the decimal point one space to the left?
  18. Same here but without the flakes. Sun tried but failed.
  19. 3rd year with a stinker month within met winter? Feb 24, 3.7" Jan 25, 5.6" All the above maps leave this area in the north fringe, though it's 3-4 days out.
  20. So far, we're running behind Feb 2024 (our driest Feb of 27) for QPF. Have not had a truly powerful storm this cold season here - closest probably the southeast rainer on Dec 19. One could dispute my comment, citing 19.6" on Jan 25-27, but that was a product of freaky high ratios. LE of 0.77" and 10 mph breezes don't spell powerful to me. (That said, the 6 hours of floating feathers 7A-1P on Jan 26 is the prettiest spell of snowfall I can remember. That 6" addition was 98.5% air, far beyond any air/water ratio for a snowfall greater than one inch.)
  21. I've seen little snow devils but nothing like those pics. The only dust devil I've seen came in the hot summer of 1966, where I was cooking burgers and dogs in the lodge at Curtiss-Wright's employee lake resort in NNJ. On a hot but dry and near-calm August, the small (<20 ac) lake was suddenly full of whitecaps from a north wind gusting probably to 40 down the long axis of the lake. The spinner formed at the south end of the lodge, moved against the wind behind the building, then headed across the water. On the way it tossed the thick cushion from a 6-foot lounge chair about 50 feet up into an oak while flipping the wooden chair end-over-end to the water's edge, also flipping the 14-foot rescue boat. It picked up the thigh-high steel base of an outdoor ash tray and carried it round and round across the lake and 30-40 feet off the water before hitting the far side woods and dissipating. My guess on why it formed was that the wind passing north-to-south past the lodge caused low pressure at the south end of the building, and air curling into the "vacuum" started to whirl and kept on spinning for several minutes. The sudden wind itself lasted less than 15 minutes.
  22. VD07 was great here, 15.5" from 1.80" LE at temp near 10, especially appreciated as we'd gone nearly 2 years w/o a 6"+ snowfall. GYX has called VD15 their Valentine's Day Massacre. The night before, the forecast was 18-24 plus a blizzard warning. The day shift lowered snow to 12-18 and kept the blizz. Verified at 1.5", the 4th and final snowstorm that winter to verify at 1/8 (or less) of the forecast's low end. Meanwhile, SNE got buried and Machias, at 20' elev, measured 25". Looking forward to March 2001. The early storm was fine, 9.5", but nothing special. By month's end we'd had 55.5" with 48" pack on 3/31 as 35" came after the equinox.
  23. Radar says it's snowing here, but the dry air is eating away, and no flakes have reached the ground yet. Hit -3 earlier this morning.
  24. Might've been 1985. There was a giant Arctic high that encompassed nearly the whole country. Fort Kent, where we lived then, was at the east edge of the high and avoided record cold but never warmed up - January never got above 22F, but the coldest was a modest -23. Only the very AN Jan 1983 failed to get colder. In the other 8 winters we lived there, January's bottoms ranged from -30 to -47. 1981-82 had 185.8" total snowfall but had only 2 events with 12"+, 15.5" in Dec 19-20 and 17" in the April blizzard. January's coldest that year was -34 on the 18th, which came with winds 25-35 (WCI -101 on the old chart, about -70 in the new) and visibility of 3 miles in very light snow. Got all the way up to -14 that afternoon. Northern Maine can't compete with northern MN, but Jan '82's temp was 9/-12, only Jan 1994 was colder. (We'd moved to southern Maine in late 1985, and '94 there was quite cold, too.)
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