hazwoper

23 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

If that position of the low verified as shown, it would be a bit close to the coast and could cause mixing issues.

That’s a benchmark track.  No one from City on west would mix 

8 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Cape May looks like they're getting slammed. Ralph any reports down there?

Enjoy 

http://attheshore.com/livecam-capemaybeach

Euro and CMC look good for Friday 

The confluence just won’t let it come any further NW.

Flurries in Newtown bucks county

1 hour ago, hurricane1091 said:

I don't have kids so I don't care haha but I know people who do who would prefer them to be in school today!!

You’re still going to see accumulating snow.  Probably still a good call.

http://attheshore.com/livecam-oceancity9thboardwalk

Trend has stopped with 0Z gfs.  My call here in Wrightstown bucks county.  1-2”

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs

Trend has stopped 

Eagles heading to the playoffs BTW

Where is Birds 69?  It’s in the mid 30s at 9:15…..

0Z 3k NAM now gets snow into Philadelphia immediate NWburbs. Trend continues 

2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Pitt only dropped 3 degrees in 4+hrs 37F-34F (1pm-5:25pm)...and it's still 34F 

Harrisburg still at 50F

Philly 60F

Not saying it won't happen but they are not dropping like I thought... 

give it time.  My temp dropped another full degree since I last posted.

1 minute ago, Birds~69 said:

Models aren't gospel...

55F

Well, it’s dropped at least 5-6 degrees here in the last hour.

AND it’s pretty tough for them to be wrong with temps 6 hours out 

21 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

 

If not in the mid 40s by midnight or so I would be a tad concerned. Only a 1-3" event over 12hrs so the snow won't be rip roaring to drag down colder air...IMHO. 

All models indicate mid 30s at midnight. Temps are not the issue

5 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Anybody going to say 18z GFS is better or are we all smoking

 

18Z GFS went a bit SE I’m afraid 

22 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

What are you smoking?

Stuck at 58F

Dude it is…

18Z snow to river.

12Z not even close to river

WTF ARE YOU SMOKING 

18 minutes ago, RedSky said:

18z NAM 

It’s much further NW……

4 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Sure, they will drop some but I don't rely on evaporational cooling... 

we’re modeled in The low 30’s throughout 

1 minute ago, Birds~69 said:

They will eventually but in time, fast enough? 

I always look at central PA as a checkpoint on temps when cold air is approaching....State College and Harrisburg. If they're not dropping fast enough then we sure the hell ain't. 

Yes.  With the output the Euro has they will crash.  All modeling has temps in SEPA dropping quickly.

you can’t look at central Pa. For our future temps.  They will crash with precip 

8 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Yeah but if our temps suck it doesn't matter. I keep looking to our west and what their temps are...and if they're dropping like they should.

58F

Temps will drop

Euro is NW….

CMC and GFS for Friday couldn’t be farther apart LOL

PHL total snowfall by last three GFS runs:

0Z - 5”

6Z - 6”

12Z - 7”

6 minutes ago, Zeus said:

Seems like the trend NW hasn't necessarily continued on the 12z stuff in so far, but rather the trend W continues (things are slower) while the advancement north has stopped as it feels a bit flatter. If you consider only the heavy swath of the 12z GFS's precip shield to be "real" then it lines up fairly closely with the 12z NAM -- given the dry air coming in, this has the feeling of full on haves vs. have-nots when it comes to getting in on the goods.

GFS is NW of 06Z