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Baroclinic Zone

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  1. Baroclinic Zone
    My hope is there isn't one, but my gut says there will based upon what I see in the upper/mid-levels. There looks to be a pretty solid front band that pushes inland from the initial storm intensifying S of us. That band will rot inland and another will develop along the southern areas as the low starts pushing eastward. This would be over Eastern areas.
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    My eyes will be looking at the 700mb heights. Need to watch where that subsidence zone is. You can see the differences in the models in where they place the snow bands. NAM I fell is too far N. The GFS is still too far S. The Ukie/RGEM/GGEM/Euro(lesser extent) are sort of in the middle. They bring that subsidence zone over the 495 belt W and N of BOS. Hopefully they are wrong and we see a more widespread precip shield with minimal breaks.
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    Time to start focusing on the smaller details as the large synoptic features are there. Where is there subsidence/dryslot issues. Where will there be enhanced snow areas, fronto and mid-level banding. Also, time to hand the baton off to the OP runs.
  4. Baroclinic Zone
    https://www.nbcboston.com/weather/
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    Subtle shift south on the ICON, but expected since it’s been on the northern side of guidance. Nice hit.
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    And still snowing over New England at runs end
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    3km NAM incoming
  8. Baroclinic Zone
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    Look at that kink at 500mb at 54hrs
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    That southern s/w doing the dirty work of carving out this deamplyfing trough. Allows the trailing piece to dig further.
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    I like it too
  12. Baroclinic Zone
    Once the afterglow burns off.
  13. Baroclinic Zone
    Ain't happenin' Rev.
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    Obvious caveats apply.
  15. Baroclinic Zone
    QPF queens approved.
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    Wow, still snowing into afternoon
  17. Baroclinic Zone
    This is looking Ukie-esque
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    That's a SNE approved model run. C/NNE sorry.
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    I think you're fine. Should be some ML goodies.
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    Nice consolidation of the 700mb low over LI at 63hr. That's a good sign.
  21. Baroclinic Zone
    Much better look then 12z run.
  22. Baroclinic Zone
    Looks pretty similar to 12z Eruo at 57hrs. 500mb level
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    And it's open
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    It's a less amplified trough then the 12z run.
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    Southern s/w dragging it's feet, less interaction with main ULL over IL.
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