Baroclinic Zone

I've been leaning whiff for a couple days, for next week. If there is a storm though it looks more like a strung out overrunning system rather then a discrete coastal low.

15" that storm. Some other entries. That March 13th storm was my last one over a foot. Baroclinic Zone 03/13/2018 16.50 Holy Crap Baroclinic Zone 01/04/2018 18.00 Almost Blizzard/ Almost a rainer Baroclinic Zone 02/09/2017 13.00 Blizzard with thundersnow Baroclinic Zone 01/07/2017 15.40 Miller A. Fluffer. 2-3/hr

GFSv16 as well,

I yield to the Forum.

Yep. Good luck resolving any single event more then 2-3 days out.

It's a precarious setup as currently modeled across guidance. Suppression definitely in play.

I know exactly what your saying. I also know what the current NAO state is and upper air floow over the northeast. I'm not talking about the system coming up the coast slamming New England with a snowstorm. You remove that shit stain streak and the storm would come "closer"

The storm would likely clip us if not for that piece of shit. That's thing just adds insult to the NAO domain.

There's our s/w diving out of Quebec like a heat seeking missile to ruin any chance of a storm this weekend.

Welcome to 3 days ago.

Definitely look better then the OP v16

GFS v16 comes close next week but just misses the phase.

Once the northern stream become active, we see models tend to show suppressed solution,s underestimating the southern stream energy. As storm threats materialize and come more into focus, we typically see bumps N in modeling. This weekends storm is DOA. with the lobe screwing the pooch. Next week is still viable from my perspective.

Rains to Maine?

She's a beast

Euro has the pot cooking next week. See what it brews up.

12z GEFS are "dry" for next 7 days

Pick your poison

Right, the pattern looks good, but the results were underwhelming. Did you not understand what I wrote?

Underwhelming OP runs overnnight verbatim. Pattern looks primed though to deliver if timed right.

Damaging...

GEFS look of by mid-month.

"relative" It's mid January and I'd expect to see those 850's covering most of Canada.

Yeah. Pattern still looks like shit mid-month if you take the op Euro fwiw. "Cold" no where to be found in relative terms on this side of the globe. It's over the Arctic or Eastern Canada.