Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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Models spitting out 1/2"+ QPF in E MA now. Surprise event when BOX was saying less then an 1" yesterday.
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There's been some hint on modeling of an area right along the coast around EWB having a localized max. Seen it on the NAM/RGEMEuro/GFSv16
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Why wouldn't you use a short term model for an event that is mere hours away?
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Yup. We're finally looking to establish a solid barcoclinic zone which should aid in more cohesive storm development. Risk for cutters is still there though.
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I feel it's more a result of light precip rates and surface temps being on the "marginal" side, so the model spits out non-snow.
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Apparently Kev has now gone blind and can't see what models show.
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???
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My lean favors WTFNs. Could be a cutter, could be a miss, could be a hit.
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Wrong. Huge storms are all I care for.
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Not every day you see 36”+ spit out of the GFS over SE MA.
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Can always adjust up.
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6z Monday and ends like 00z wed.
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Days and days
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18z GFS! Sign me up for that. Blizzard.
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18z Reginald looking good.
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There's always that.
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Riveting for a ~48hr storm
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Me thinks I rain/snizzle for a bit..
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Still snowing on Thursday for you.
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You get some luvin' there.
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Your surface temps are in the mid/upper 30s. You're going to need rates to break through that and this does not look like the type of system to do that.
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Perhaps due to a little subsidence as low tries to re-develop east?
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You posted the 00z run.
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Ukie looks like it would whiff based upon 5h.
