Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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Still snowing on Thursday for you.
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You get some luvin' there.
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Your surface temps are in the mid/upper 30s. You're going to need rates to break through that and this does not look like the type of system to do that.
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Perhaps due to a little subsidence as low tries to re-develop east?
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You posted the 00z run.
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Ukie looks like it would whiff based upon 5h.
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I'll take the under.
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Indeed it is.
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Congrats Jeffaffa?
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Vladimir
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SWFE to start the month per GFS. Perhaps late bloomer coastal.
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Coldest air of the season being ushered in as we end Jan and enter Feb. Gonna below 0 readings in NNE and singles in SNE.
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Phase is only like 500 miles offshore.
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v16 a bit more robust with precip than its predecessor. Not huge though.
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GFS exemplifies this to a T. Could be wrong though as well,
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I loathed the wind/temps Sat/Sun. Give me mid 40s all Winter over that shit.
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I think the RGEM has the general idea of location of banding where the NAM was further N. Still think a disjointed mess is a possibility though.
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No but I'm in the emotional support group.
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I'd believe the RGEM over the NAM in this sort of setup.
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That's actually a damn great model run for the weens.
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12z RGEM has a nice band set up from the parent low down to the south coast. Again right along the line of best forcing.
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I still have caution flags flying in my head over widespread snows. I still feel that western areas will do better due to the initial forcing being better out there. It's getting shredded as it pushes east but we could be saved if we can back the flow some due to a little redevelopment S of us for eastern areas.
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Models are all pretty damn close at this point. We are talking about a 20-30mi difference where best banding sets up at this point.
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Nice! Bone dry on NAM.
