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Dark Star

Meteorologist
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Posts posted by Dark Star

  1. 43 minutes ago, vegan_edible said:

     

     

    she's been taking care of family with poor health, flowers and snowfall wont get me too far. think im gonna start searching and possibly pull the trigger tomorrow? just incase

     

    thanks to you guys! also MAJOR shout out for not sending me to oscar meyer's weenie land

     

    Franks.gif

    • Haha 2
  2. 10 hours ago, lee59 said:

    1 inch this evening total for the day here 1.75. Was expecting more this evening.

    In general, I think most forecast models, almost at any time frame, were fairly reliable.  If you relied on future radar, not so accurate.  Future radar duped me once again.  It showed a potential for 3-5" from afternoon into the evening...

  3. 32 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

    Not trying to be a Debbie downer but it really doesn’t look all that impressive. I mean in comparison to the rest of the radar. , yeah but overall I think this will be an underperfomer. 3-5” for my area is going to be hard to reach. I have maybe an inch from this morning. Let’s see 

    Same here.  Snowing lightly.  An inch more, at best...

    • Like 1
  4. 1 minute ago, allgame830 said:

    Is the pecip going to back in or is the snow later coming from the south? 

    NYC is on the northern edge of the coastal.  This means the heaviest of precipitation will remain offshore.  The precip shield is moving north/northeast and is somewhat irregular in pattern.  A wider swath will move into the area, generally from the south at around 2-3PM today.  Maybe if we all cross our fingers, we could end up getting another 3-5"???

  5. 12 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

    the only issue with all this western trend is it's gotten a little warmer so city and east got much heavier radar depictions, it'll be a bit warmer. hopefully dynamic cooling could help out

    With everybody's temperature observations this morning, I was expecting to see, at best, a light mix of rain and snow.  Instead, central Union county NJ is snowing light to moderately at the moment (woke up with a light sprinking of powdered sugar on the ground).  As far as tomorrow's event, I can't remember a coastal ever "clipping" NYC.  It seems it is always a hit or a complete miss, so I'm expecting nothing...

    • Like 1
  6. 1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

     

    43 / 40 0.70 inthe bucket last night.  Should see clearing and sunshine around noon or so.  Overall above normall till Wed.  Trough into the east / Ridge balloons and colder / below normal by the 16th..  Still have storm potential Jan 15 - Jan 19 or so or is it mainly dry.  Beyond there still looks to edge below normal overall.

     

    GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

    A low cloud deck came in from the east around 9:30AM this morning and then dissapeared.  

  7. 25 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

    gas remains low in price. you are paying more because utilities are upgrading pipelines and infrastructure and passing the costs on to you. only about a third of your bill pays for gas, 2/3 pays for other costs. in fact, utilities do not make money on gas, but all this other stuff. source; npr, morning edition, oct 12, 2025.

     

    It has gotten complicated.  PSEG sold off a lot of their power plants.  They kept the transmission end of the business.  Natural gas is the cleanest of the fossil fuels, and is now renewable.  

    • Like 1
  8. 2 hours ago, the_other_guy said:

    My now dead neighbor in Queens when we went out to shovel “nothing special here. just a path.” As a kid, I knew this was extraordinary then. That was really the first in a parade of epic storms that spanned the next 20 years in the NYC area. 

     

    and if you lived in Queens back then, you remember that snow removal in New York City was much more primitive than it is now, even though it wasn’t that long ago. A lot less salt was used and the secondary and tertiary streets sometimes took days to get cleared.

     

    we lived on a secondary street in Whitestone and during those big storms we got a plow width and nothing more. Nowadays that would never happen

    My favorite storm of all time.  31" here in Garwood NJ.  It just kept snowing and snowing, and when the intensity dropped off just a smidge, it ramped up some more!!!

  9. 1 hour ago, Voyager said:

    Actually, I'm in the coal region of PA in Schuylkill County. I venture over here to read analysis, but rarely post out of my sub forum.

    Generally, we're colder than you guys in the metro, but I live in a row where I'm insulated both left and right, so I only have two exposed walls, but the house is 110 years old, so not a lot of extra insulation. Still, I'm fairly happy with our oil consumption all things considered.

    It could be worse. The single home across the street from me sees an oil truck every month in the winter.

    My parents were from Shenandoah, PA.  Spent many a night sleeping in my Grandparents house upstairs.  No insulation, heated only by a coal stove and a coal heater downstairs.  No bathtub or shower, just a toilet in the cellar.   My parents would tell me of nights where there was frost on the inside of the bedroom walls upstairs.  That's why they all had goose down comforters (feather-tiks)...

    • Like 2
  10. 4 hours ago, eduggs said:

    This was not a "four to eight inch" snowstorm for the NYC area. The map of NWS snowfall reportsid it was.  visually describes the event quite well. Please stop perpetuating this fantasy. Facts matter.

    I never said it was. I was disputing that very fact...

    • Like 1
  11. 1 hour ago, bluewave said:

    This was a solid 4-8” event for most of the OKX forecast zones from Newark on to the north and east.
     

    506
    NOUS41 KOKX 271454
    PNSOKX
    CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-280254-
    
    Public Information Statement
    National Weather Service New York NY
    954 AM EST Sat Dec 27 2025
    
    ...SNOWFALL REPORTS...
    
    Location                     Amount    Time/Date       Provider
    
    ...Connecticut...
    
    ...Fairfield County...
    4 NNW New Fairfield          9.4 in    0901 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    1 E Sherman                  8.5 in    0800 AM 12/27   Cocorahs
    1 SE Wilton                  7.3 in    0807 AM 12/27   Public
    New Canaan                   7.2 in    0800 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    3 SSE Weston                 7.1 in    0715 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Bridgeport Airport           7.1 in    0700 AM 12/27   Official NWS Obs
    2 ENE New Canaan             7.1 in    0528 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Brookfield                   6.5 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Bethel                       6.5 in    0700 AM 12/27   Emergency Mngr
    Norwalk                      6.4 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    4 SSE Easton                 6.2 in    0600 AM 12/27   Public
    Ridgefield 2.4 NNE           6.1 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Shelton                      6.0 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Stratford                    6.0 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Bethel 4.5 SSE               6.0 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 W Stamford                 5.9 in    0605 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Stamford 1.0 S               5.4 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Rowayton                     5.2 in    0914 AM 12/27   Public
    4 NNW Ridgefield             5.2 in    0903 AM 12/27   Public
    
    ...Middlesex County...
    Durham                       8.0 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Old Saybrook 2.9 NNE         8.0 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Clinton                      8.0 in    0645 AM 12/27   Broadcast Media
    1 SW Westbrook               7.7 in    0240 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Higganum                     7.0 in    0800 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Middlefield 1.4 W            6.5 in    0600 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    
    ...New Haven County...
    Wallingford 3.1 N            10.5 in   0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 NNW Meriden                9.0 in    0350 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Waterbury                    8.5 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 NW Cheshire                8.1 in    0830 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    3 ENE North Branford         7.5 in    0915 AM 12/27   NWS Employee
    2 NW Hamden                  7.3 in    0647 AM 12/27   Public
    4 SSE Durham                 7.1 in    0200 AM 12/27   Public
    Madison Center 1.3 N         7.0 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Guilford                     7.0 in    0700 AM 12/27   CO-OP Observer
    3 ENE Branford               6.5 in    0647 AM 12/27   Public
    Wallingford Center 1.1 N     6.0 in    0828 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 NW Ansonia                 6.0 in    0531 AM 12/27   Public
    1 SW Branford                5.4 in    0700 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    
    ...New London County...
    New London                   7.1 in    0730 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    5 SSE Salem                  7.0 in    0603 AM 12/27   Public
    Oakdale                      6.5 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    East Lyme                    6.5 in    0600 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Niantic                      6.5 in    0530 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Uncasville 2.4 NNW           6.3 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Mystic                       6.1 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Old Lyme                     6.0 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Norwich                      6.0 in    0700 AM 12/27   COOP
    Pawcatuck                    5.8 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Waterford                    5.5 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Mystic                       5.4 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Norwich                      4.9 in    0600 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    
    ...New Jersey...
    
    ...Bergen County...
    2 NNE Franklin Lakes         4.1 in    0911 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Montvale 1.8 ESE             4.1 in    0800 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Oakland                      4.0 in    0800 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 N River Vale               3.8 in    0801 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Tenafly                      3.8 in    0730 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Fair Lawn                    3.5 in    0830 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    River Edge 0.4 NNE           3.5 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 S River Edge               3.3 in    0720 AM 12/27   Public
    North Arlington              3.0 in    0830 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Lyndhurst Twp 1.6 NW         3.0 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    
    ...Essex County...
    West Orange Twp 0.6 WNW      3.8 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Montclair                    3.5 in    0800 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 W Essex Fells              3.3 in    0933 AM 12/27   Public
    1 WSW Glen Ridge             3.2 in    0730 AM 12/27   Public
    Maplewood                    3.1 in    0830 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    2 NE Springfield             3.0 in    0400 AM 12/27   Public
    
    ...Hudson County...
    Harrison                     4.0 in    0442 AM 12/27   CO-OP Observer
    Hoboken                      3.9 in    0700 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    
    ...Passaic County...
    3 NE West Milford            4.2 in    0917 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Little Falls                 3.6 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    
    ...Union County...
    Newark Airport               4.2 in    0700 AM 12/27   Official NWS Obs
    1 S Mountainside             3.1 in    0900 AM 12/27   Public
    1 NNW Westfield              3.0 in    0911 AM 12/27   Public
    1 NW Cranford                3.0 in    0717 AM 12/27   Public
    1 NE Union                   3.0 in    0200 AM 12/27   Public
    Clark                        2.8 in    0846 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    New Providence               2.8 in    0730 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 NW Fanwood                 1.6 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    
    ...New York...
    
    ...Bronx County...
    1 NNE Fordham                4.3 in    0400 AM 12/27   Public
    1 NNE East Tremont           3.0 in    0841 AM 12/27   Public
    
    ...Kings County...
    1 SSE Williamsburg           4.3 in    0715 AM 12/27   Public
    Sheepshead Bay               4.0 in    0805 AM 12/27   Public
    1 N Bay Ridge                3.1 in    0603 AM 12/27   Public
    
    ...Nassau County...
    Farmingdale                  5.0 in    0900 AM 12/27   Public
    1 N Syosset                  4.6 in    0855 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    1 SE Malverne                4.1 in    0850 AM 12/27   Cocorahs
    Massapequa Park              4.1 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Massapequa                   4.1 in    0700 AM 12/27   Amateur Radio
    Malverne 0.5 SE              4.1 in    0630 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 N Centre Island            4.0 in    0529 AM 12/27   Public
    1 SW Levittown               4.0 in    0202 AM 12/27   Public
    1 WSW Plainview              3.5 in    0841 AM 12/27   Public
    Carle Place                  3.1 in    0645 AM 12/27   Amateur Radio
    Herricks                     2.9 in    0805 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    
    ...New York (Manhattan) County...
    Central Park                 4.3 in    0700 AM 12/27   Official NWS Obs
    
    ...Orange County...
    2 SSW Stewart Airport        5.7 in    0724 AM 12/27   Public
    4 SSE Chester                5.1 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    2 NW Stewart Airport         5.0 in    0628 AM 12/27   Amateur Radio
    Monroe                       5.0 in    0500 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    3 WNW Warwick                4.0 in    0603 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Port Jervis                  3.6 in    0630 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    
    ...Putnam County...
    Cold Spring                  7.8 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Nelsonville 0.3 S            7.2 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    2 W Putnam Valley            5.7 in    0605 AM 12/27   NWS Employee
    
    ...Queens County...
    1 WSW Howard Beach           4.6 in    0701 AM 12/27   Broadcast Media
    NYC/JFK                      4.2 in    0700 AM 12/27   Official NWS Obs
    NYC/La Guardia               4.1 in    0700 AM 12/27   Official NWS Obs
    1 SW Russell Gardens         3.9 in    0801 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Little Neck 0.3 SE           3.9 in    0800 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 NNE Elmhurst               3.7 in    0815 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    2 S Elmhurst                 3.5 in    0715 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    
    ...Rockland County...
    Stony Point                  5.0 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    New City                     4.2 in    0815 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    
    ...Suffolk County...
    Ridge 1.5 SE                 8.0 in    0500 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Babylon                      7.5 in    0645 AM 12/27   Amateur Radio
    Orient                       7.5 in    0615 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    1 W Shirley Airport          7.1 in    0914 AM 12/27   Public
    Mattituck                    7.0 in    0840 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    2 SE Ridge                   6.6 in    0904 AM 12/27   NWS Employee
    Islip Airport                6.6 in    0700 AM 12/27   Official NWS Obs
    Upton (NWS Office)           6.5 in    0700 AM 12/27   Official NWS Obs
    1 WNW East Patchogue         6.3 in    0915 AM 12/27   Public
    1 NNE Manorville             6.3 in    0730 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Baiting Hollow               6.2 in    0700 AM 12/27   COOP
    1 NNE Sayville               6.2 in    0700 AM 12/27   NWS Employee
    2 NNW Islip                  6.1 in    0935 AM 12/27   Public
    3 WNW Riverhead              6.1 in    0922 AM 12/27   NWS Employee
    1 NNW Remsenburg-Speonk      6.1 in    0740 AM 12/27   Public
    Center Moriches              5.9 in    0600 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 WNW Sound Beach            5.8 in    0700 AM 12/27   NWS Employee
    Stony Brook                  5.8 in    0700 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    1 SSE Bohemia                5.6 in    0550 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Setauket-East Setauket 2.1 W 5.5 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Blue Point                   5.4 in    0818 AM 12/27   Cocorahs
    Blue Point 0.3 ENE           5.4 in    0800 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 N Smithtown                5.3 in    0920 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Deer Park 1.0 NE             5.3 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Islip Terrace 0.5 W          5.3 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Deer Park                    5.3 in    0600 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Bay Shore                    5.2 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 WSW Poquott                5.2 in    0425 AM 12/27   NWS Employee
    Sayville                     5.1 in    0700 AM 12/27   NWS Employee
    1 ESE East Patchogue         5.1 in    0541 AM 12/27   NWS Employee
    1 ENE Commack                4.5 in    0807 AM 12/27   Broadcast Media
    1 SW Mount Sinai             4.5 in    0739 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    1 S Nesconset                4.4 in    0933 AM 12/27   Public
    Mattituck 1.4 SSE            4.2 in    0700 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Amityville                   4.0 in    0800 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    
    ...Westchester County...
    Armonk                       6.4 in    0200 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    Shrub Oak                    6.0 in    0600 AM 12/27   COOP
    Shrub Oak                    6.0 in    0600 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    1 N Port Chester             5.9 in    0857 AM 12/27   Public
    2 NNE White Plains           5.8 in    0800 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    1 SE Croton-on-Hudson        5.7 in    0800 AM 12/27   Trained Spotter
    White Plains                 5.4 in    0800 AM 12/27   Amateur Radio
    South Salem                  5.4 in    0715 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Armonk                       5.0 in    0800 AM 12/27   COCORAHS
    Thornwood                    5.0 in    0800 AM 12/27   Amateur Radio
    1 E Scarsdale                4.5 in    0800 AM 12/27   Public
    1 SSE Greenville             4.3 in    0800 AM 12/27   Public
    Mount Vernon                 3.0 in    0800 AM 12/27   Amateur Radio
    1 E Pelham Manor             2.8 in    0736 AM 12/27   Public

    Yex, except Union county,  NJ

  12. 1 hour ago, bluewave said:

    Your area missed out on the 4-8” that most of us got due to the H700-850 warm nose and fast flow pushing the dry slot in so quickly from the west.

    or perhaps that the system was just a tad too far north and the stronger dynamics allowed for less precipitation, leading to the warm nose to win out?

  13. On 1/2/2026 at 12:57 PM, SnowGoose69 said:

    I think more a general rule that applies is if January is way above normal there are almost no cases of the winter being snowy.  That is really the only rule I think that applies.  I just do not know though how many below normal Decembers with above normal snow saw torch Januarys though.  Off memory I don't recall any, maybe 2005-06? 1989 obviously was crazy cold but had no snow albeit we had 1 very close call where like POU/BDL/BDR saw 5-10 inches so these things are somewhat relative as close calls either way could have resulted in years fitting/not fitting into analogs.

    That's why you can "cancel" winter around the 3rd week in January after already experiencing mostly un-winterlike conditions.  By the end of the 3rd week of January, if no cold air is apparent in the 2 week long range, you can be pretty sure winter is over.  February is regarded as the snowiest month, and you can have snowstorms in late February into March, but winter is normally waning by the end of February.  To many, winter is a period of at least of 6 weeks of seasonably cold weather with some systems that produce(d) frozen precipitation.  Any snow that does fall is slow to melt.  Local small ponds freeze.  I know, we have this "discussion" almost every year.

    • Like 1
    • 100% 1
  14. 58 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

    Got down to 16, then came up to 22 and is now snowing!

    Awesome winter day with that squall this morning. Never got warmer than 27 after that. 

    Frankly this might be my favorite winter day in a long time, monster storm not required. 
     

    @NorthShoreWx

    Same conditions to your southwest here along the western border of Toms River. It’s getting us both atm. 

    Absolutely beautiful out right now. 

    Pleasant dusting in Garwood NJ...

    • Like 1
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