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Keith Central PA

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Everything posted by Keith Central PA

  1. Keith Central PA
    I expect it to be warmer than what Euro is showing.
  2. Keith Central PA
    Really not that bad, if correct. I thought the whole USA would be red with a super nino
  3. Keith Central PA
    3-4 cools off to neutral by next June on CFS. Are you saying el nino will continue into 27-28? Or something like 83-84 with a weak Nina?
  4. Keith Central PA
    All winter we surely going to have this discussion. There will be storrms, but will it be cold enough?.Your gonna say perfect track but there is no cold air.
  5. Keith Central PA
    I've come down to the realization this is gonna be a warm winter. Now do we get a major snowstorm like Jan 2016? or get shutout like 97-98? Actually here in Central PA(didn't live here at the time? 97-98 wasn't that bad.
  6. Keith Central PA
    80's for one day in early October isn't earth shattering..overall a cool pattern starting next weekend.
  7. Keith Central PA
    86-87 was a moderate el nino..Mid Atlantic did very well with snowfall..87-88 was a weak el nino at it warmer than normal..the 88 with a strong La Nina
  8. Keith Central PA
    I think the reason we prefer 1983 is a blizzard in February l...1998 had 0 snow in NYC until March 22nd when 5 inches fell and that was it. So basically in 97-98 it didn't snow at all till the Spring.
  9. Keith Central PA
    1983 went into a moderate Nina in the fall...1998 it went into a strong nina in the Spring. Both had warmth continuing at 1-2 for a while.
  10. Keith Central PA
    Very rare occasions will it hit 80 in October and 80 in November is unheard of.
  11. Keith Central PA
    Many here last week were promoting mid to upper 80's for Weds and Thursday.
  12. Keith Central PA
    I do think we'll see some fall like weather next week with temps in the 60's to near 70 and rain chances as autumn arrives
  13. Keith Central PA
    I just look at 72-73,82-83,97-98 and 15-16..those are warm winters..those are the strong ninos of the past 50 years.Doesnt mean it cant snow..but many here will be complaining in December and January with temps in the 50s and rain, like we were those winters.
  14. Keith Central PA
    When I was growing up in the 60s and 70s there were many September days in the 80s especially the first half of the month.Even some days in the 90s..Its still officially Summer.
  15. Keith Central PA
    Mid 80's for mid September is not a endless summer.It's 10 degrees above normal. Happens every September. Now low to mid 90's is unusual
  16. Keith Central PA
    I doubt that this December will be +10..thats a once in a lifetime warmth..+3-5 seems more reasonable and in December it can snow especially in New England away from the coast.
  17. Keith Central PA
    December 12th 1982..then famous snowplow game in New England
  18. Keith Central PA
    December 1982 was very warm but it did snow in NYC in the middle of the month, which goes to show you when it comes to snowfall it's hard to predict.Of course it's hard to snow when the overall month is warm,but it can. it's December
  19. Keith Central PA
    No if you like warmer than normal, sure no doubt. Snow however is a totally different topic..look at 1983 and 2016
  20. Keith Central PA
    Crisp fall days happen usually in late September,early October.It can get hot in September, it's still Summer.Some days in the 80's and low 90's are typical early in the month
  21. Keith Central PA
    It also snowed a few weeks before Christmas in 1982,,NYC got 3 inches.Christmas day was in the 60's and Denver had a blizzard.Also in December 1997, there was a dusting of snow on December 27th and a few days later inland PA and New York had a snowstorm. The coast nothing but rain.
  22. Keith Central PA
    Already seeing some leaves change on rt 15 this morning..looks like it's a little early this year
  23. Keith Central PA
    Then it's a very tough winter.However inland did better that the coast. NYC had to wait till late March to get snow.
  24. Keith Central PA
    Great storm, 1983 was great too, shame you weren't born yet.
  25. Keith Central PA
    Problem is the evidence and history..Every Super Nino has lead to warmer than normal temps. But that doesn't mean it can't snow. Just prolonged winter weather is unlikely. I remember 1972,1982,1997 and 2015. Not fun,but we did get blizzards in 83 and 2016.
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