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Posts
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About MANDA
Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KMMU
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Mt. Arlington, NJ Morris/Sussex County Border Elevation 1050'
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Interests
Meteorology, Science, Yankees and Finance
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For the first time in a LONG time I've got water trickling through my gutter downspouts! Nice sound I have to say. Gutters and downspouts have been solid ice for about a month now. Several houses in the neighborhood have had gutter ice dams cause indoor water damage. Lots of green Servpro vans in the area doing cleanup.
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Not worth quibbling about at this point by any means but if I could change things I'd like the ridge out west sharper and a little further west and the 500 closed low off the east coast to be w.s.w. by about 30 miles to ensure more inland locations (me) cash in fully. Otherwise I'll take it for now. For my area west and NW I like a surface low track west of the BM....more toward KBID/KMVY. Long ways to go for a final solution. Carry on.
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Track of 500 feature is ideal....as indicated. Remains to be seen how close to reality it is come Sunday night and Monday. A track as indicated would deliver the goods!
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It sure has the basics you want to see. Ridge over the intermountain west, perhaps a tad too far east but noise at this stage of the game. A 50/50 low. A northern branch s/w digging through the Ohio Valley with an already slightly negative tilt. Agree, at this point I'll take it and let the chips fall where they may. This is 5-6 days out and very far from a done deal either for a hit of some kind or a total miss. Most that can be said at this point is "moderate to strong storm signal for later in the weekend".
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My location lost all the new overnight snowfall during the day today and an additional little dent out of what existed prior. Should lose a good deal more through the rest of the week. The huge mounds are losing height VERY VERY slowly. Anything on the level is showing much more noticeable progress.
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1.3" here overnight from .08" liquid. M.T.D. precip: .11". M.T.D. snowfall: 2.0". Click map to enlarge.
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Got lots of Arborvitae shrubs in my neighborhood that have offered a good supply of food this winter. Many have been totally eaten and will never come back. Not sure why people plant those shrubs in particular with the deer population being what it is. It is like fine dining to them.
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ok...I think I will put my bagel and coffee off to the side for a while.
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Bring it ! Please!
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Without a significant turnaround during March and April can foresee water restrictions coming for the Summer season.
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In addition to all you have shown those maps clearly show significant changes in the pattern than what we have been in for the last 4-6 weeks. PV has retreated into north central Canada with the coldest of the air trapped underneath it. More energy coming into the west coast. High latitude blocking has faded. Western ridge has shifted west to western Alaska. STJ looks a little more pronounced. Looks like our weather pattern here will be more northern stream dominated over the next week or so. We'll be on the southern fringe of cooler Canadian air and northern fringe of milder air moving eastward from the central U.S. Hard to envision any meaningful snow over the next 7 to maybe 10 days.
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Same here.
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After steadily increasing QPF amounts over the least several issuance's the latest WPC 7 day QPF has been notable decreased. This has been an ongoing trend. Systems that offered promise in the longer range just dwindle as we get closer. I'm not even looking for snow at this point. I just want some rain.
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Two interesting videos: https://x.com/i/status/2020641229676089405 https://x.com/i/status/2020626195717714010

