MANDA

While not calling for a September hurricane shutout at this point the lack of a hurricane for the 2026 season could easily go on for another week. Pretty amazing honestly. We almost made it with Edouard. A track a little further offshore before landfall would have easily done it. It was very close but no cigar.

Keep an eye on next week. Wouldn't be surprised to see more locally heavy rainfall totals before the week is over.

Lowest min from NJWXNET was 40. Very refreshing. Overnight low here was 45.

Yep and NWNJ cool spots are in the 50-53 degree range currently.

First chilly morning of the coming Fall season over the Great Lakes region.

Finished with 1.63" rainfall here. Month: 3.26". Y.T.D.: 44.43", making a run at a 50"+ year. Heaviest rainfall totals from NENJ across Connecticut coast and into R.I. Isolated spots on L.I. got drenched with 3" totals. Nice this morning with a gusty breeze, low dp's and temperatures in the 50's for overnight lows across interior NNJ. Low of 58 here.

Rainfall totals OKX PNS: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off That Montclair total is amazing. The excessive totals were quite localized but excessive nonetheless. No matter what Fall delivers in terms of cool / cold it is nice to see the first Frost Advisories of the season over the upper Mid-West.

Glad we missed out on those totals around here.

Some breaks in the clouds. Rain over. As of 8:00 a.m. had received 1.01". Looks like maybe .30" in the gauge since then, will measure later. Glad the heavy totals stayed east. Doing fine on rain here. Don't need anything excessive.

The modeling that targeted CT/LI nailed the max totals.

You've had your share of "jackpot totals" this Summer.

Seems most areas seeing reasonable totals in the .5-1" range thus far. The excessive totals are more isolated. Hope your grass seed made it. Frustrating to have it wash away. Been there done that. These are amounts as of about 9:00 a.m. with the event still ongoing.

This ongoing and still strengthening El-Nino has allowed the 2026 tropical season (Pacific and Atlantic) to follow the Nino playbook to the letter and then some. If the coming Fall and Winter follow the Nino playbook as well as the tropical season has it is going to be a rough season for many in this sub forum. I'm taking an expect the worst and hope for the best approach. I think above normal precipitation and above normal temperatures (DJF) are pretty much a lock. We need to hope for a wet system to time itself with whatever cold air we can muster. Maybe we get a "big one" that way? Might be a big ask though. Maybe a more Modoki El-Nino can better save the day but think that is also a big ask. We'll see how we progress through Fall and go from there but keep expectations low. I suspect most sensible winter weather lovers are bracing for the reality that this Winter might suck.

Yeah, not so sure one is needed for this upcoming event. Seems a bit over zealous. Then again we've had a lot of local over performers this season.

Horrible. So sorry.