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packbacker

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Everything posted by packbacker

  1. packbacker
    We didn't want snow anyways...the ground temps would have ruined everything...
  2. packbacker
    Will know roughly in 10 mins.
  3. packbacker
    Well I was right about jacking max QPF but wrong about all the rain we are getting...LOL
  4. packbacker
    UK shifted much stronger and just off the coast...can't be good for thermals.
  5. packbacker
    Yes...but give me a few until I get better maps. The GFS is almost a perfect track for us, QPF max, but barely all snow, from what I can see. To bad it's SE of where it will end up. I am putting all my apples in the Euro basket and the UK.
  6. packbacker
    Canadians must not have gotten the new upper air data, if anything the 12z GEM looks a little weaker, like the RGEM did.
  7. packbacker
    Well I think whatever the Euro shows today will probably be a good bet inside 36. It will have all the upper data so hopefully we can squeeze some sleet and 1-2" of backside snow.
  8. packbacker
    The new upper air data must have really thrown a monkey wrench into things. Darn upper air...helped us at Boxing Day, kills us here.
  9. packbacker
    Amazing...what a disaster 36 hours out things usually fall apart for us. The Euro is going to be a mess for us...I guess we shouldn't be surprised, we never learn. Good news is our weekend won't be a complete lockdown for us.
  10. packbacker
    I don't know, a 30 mile NW shift now and we are mostly rain. Still 36 hours out...that's an eternity. Last time we see GFS run with this type snow for us.
  11. packbacker
    It's over...GFS shifted NW and we are tainting, by this time tomorrow we are 35F and rain. GSO to RIC to DC will jack...same ole same ole.
  12. packbacker
    Said yesterday...hug the least snowy model. Cold rain incoming....
  13. packbacker
    Que the Lucy gif...thank goodness I am in meetings all day and can't watch the train wreck 12z models come in.
  14. packbacker
    LOL...why I wanted to wait until 12z runs today, the shift was going to happen. I thought after the Euro/EPS ticked SE we wouldn't have to worry about this. Oh well, it's just snow :-)
  15. packbacker
    Just like Jan 2010. At this point I hope it runs up 95 and we just rain.
  16. packbacker
    LOL...we should have known this would happen. ColdRain was right...cold rain on the NAM's.
  17. packbacker
    Well this NAM run has that low a hair stronger again. Uh oh...
  18. packbacker
    3-5 would be awesome!
  19. packbacker
    Don't think we rain, I hope, but if we mix with sleet then that means we are in qpf max.
  20. packbacker
    GEFS was about 0.8" qpf and EPS was a little over 0.6". Let's hope these 12z runs hold.
  21. packbacker
    GEM is 1" QPF for you...sweet! 850's start at -6 and roughly stay there with temps dropping into mid 20's.
  22. packbacker
    Ummmm....it would be Dec 2000 all over again. But, RAH is like 30-40 miles from 1" so a SE shift and yes it would suck. That's something that could change day of the storm.
  23. packbacker
    Ground temps are a concern but will just make things worse as it will melt and then refreeze...assuming we get any snow. Which I am holding out until 12z runs tomorrow.
  24. packbacker
    Me too...but we are not getting six.
  25. packbacker
    Surely he knows now to take the lowest model and divide by 2 or even 3....
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