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Snowncanes

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Everything posted by Snowncanes

  1. Snowncanes
    Euro OP is a little east on H5 starting about 72 hours. A little too far east and positive tilt to really bomb it out but not too far off. Still time. Honestly makes me feel better not everything has us in the bullseye at this point lol
  2. Snowncanes
    Not bad, just not the Canadian lol. Also this is 10:1 so up those totals a bit
  3. Snowncanes
    Going neutral at 114 and looks similar to canadian
  4. Snowncanes
  5. Snowncanes
    This is 6hr Kuchera. 14.5” for RDU in *6* hours.
  6. Snowncanes
    Closes off and goes neutral at hr 117 just slightly west of where it did earlier. Like maybe 30 miles lol. Trend is looking good though.
  7. Snowncanes
    Icon trended west with the northern stream but Didnt phase and cut off and slid OTS. Kinda weird look at 500mb though. I thought it looked good about hour 50 and then just Didnt phase.
  8. Snowncanes
    For ease of comparison sake
  9. Snowncanes
    I’d say most models are spitting out about 15-1 ratios over most of central NC it seems based on comparing QPF to snowfall maps.
  10. Snowncanes
    True, I guess I hadn’t seen how bad the 12z run was haha. Definitely trended better for us
  11. Snowncanes
    AIGFS way south with the low. Doesn’t phase early enough and slides south. Still a little QPF but mostly light stuff from the northern stream energy.
  12. Snowncanes
    UK a later phase and we get an inch or two out of the northern stream energy but the rest slides off the coast
  13. Snowncanes
    CMC a big hit for basically all of NC/SC
  14. Snowncanes
    Look at these ratios… 15” for Raleigh with .8 qpf.
  15. Snowncanes
    Check the obs thread, plenty in there
  16. Snowncanes
    Light mist/drizzle in Cary. No real radar returns overhead either
  17. Snowncanes
    -IP/ZR mix here in downtown Cary. 21/4
  18. Snowncanes
    On mobile so sorry for the zoomed in on central NC view, but temps in the piedmont are generally running 2-3 degrees below both HRRR and NAM3k.
  19. Snowncanes
    Sleet in downtown Cary. 24/4
  20. Snowncanes
    Just another observation: lots of reports of precip with not much in the way of radar returns. Just a reminder that with a wedge airmass (especially a shallow one) we can get light precip thats not necessarily showing up on radar. In turn that means models dont resolve this well.
  21. Snowncanes
    Moistening the column a bit though.
  22. Snowncanes
    Brad P says he’s not buying the scattered nature of precip showing up on the models. Doesn’t think they’re handling the cad/lift well. Even if precip isn’t showing up on radar, we all know how cad days are always misty/drizzle. I don’t think we are missing out on this in the cad favored regions.
  23. Snowncanes
    24/4 here in downtown Cary
  24. Snowncanes
    Wow… NWS is bullish on the ice. Not good
  25. Snowncanes
    GFS has most of NC 35 or below for the foreseeable future. Could mean anything that falls sticks around for a bit.
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